Context on how a flatly false claim like this spreads.
For months, careless or dishonest people have been citing this table as if it includes all deaths in 2020, and comparing this number with past years' complete number. cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr…
It does not: the first week reported in that table is February 1, because the point of the table is to show COVID deaths.
Also, CDC's numbers are based on statistics forwarded from local jurisdictions, which takes time. And the numbers are clearly incomplete. For example, deaths obviously did not drop over 80% last week.
When reporting is complete, they will be higher than normal.
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Context: People continue to spread this false claim citing this table—which does not include deaths from most of January—and comparing this figure with past years' complete number. cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr…
From the NCHS Mortality Surveillance Data, you can see all deaths recorded for 2020, which are ALREADY HIGHER than ever recorded with a month to spare and incomplete data for recent weeks. cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
Context: This take makes pretty angry. People mention Cain to Republicans because he was a Republican. His untimely death is hardly the youngest nor the only well-known death.
And of course, celebrity deaths are not the only ones that matter.
@atrupar The first is that over 99 cases per 100,000 is an incredibly high number; higher than most countries have *ever* recorded (including the USA). Coding states with that number as yellow is insane. (The chart below shows cases per million, so 99 per 100,000 is off this chart high.)
Context: Eight months ago, a Hoover Institute group talked to the press about their planned seroprevalance study, which they hyped as possibly showing that California was close to herd immunity (that so many people had been infected, the virus would stop spreading on its own).
It was clear on the date this article was published that it was a pipe dream, but “herd immunity is nigh” theories have been remarkably immune to evidence.
Context: The excess deaths are real and unmistakable. To the extent that the quoted claims are based on deaths among the elderly being about in their normal proportion, this is unsurprising—the virus kills all ages, but skews old, just like all deaths do.