I was on the @StockDtective podcast recently and we packed in a lot of information, especially for newer and individual investors. Hope the listeners enjoy this one.
Back on Feb 19th, no one could predict that the Market would go down 35% over the next month.
On March 23rd, no one could predict that the Market would go up 60% over the next 8-9 months.
Market levels at any time depends on the news, sentiment, Interest rates, Money supply, Money in/out flows between various assets, and actions of thousands of big institutions and millions of people in real-time based on the facts and a whole lot of noise.
4. Avoid the Latest Fads 5. Consistency 6. Bucking the Trend 7. Pay No Attention to the Science of Wiggles (Charts) 8. Do Not Try to Predict Short-term Ups and Downs in the Market 9. Pulling the Flowers and Watering the Weeds 10. No Derivatives
My fav parts in the thread below. Comments in ( ) are mine.
1. Know the Facts (understanding your Companies well).
1⃣ Selling good businesses too early
2⃣ Going down the Quality curve
3⃣ Waiting for a little lower price to buy
4⃣ Failing to consider overall market change and its impact
5⃣ Not experimenting enough in the portfolio
6⃣ Having a very large cash allocation
7⃣ Holding on to the non-performers for too long
8⃣ Thesis change, market view changes
9⃣ The need to be Contrarian
🔟Focusing on macro
I'm guilty of making most of these mistakes in the past.🤦♂️
Investing advice is very subjective as it depends a lot on the specific investor's goals, capabilities, time horizon, risk tolerance etc. but these are some great lessons for business focused long-term investors in individual stocks.
Reading articles from the actual period (instead of books written after he was already widely famous) provides more interesting details on how his investing process evolved over the decades..
->Pure Balancesheet & Valuation based investing(50s/60s)
-> Purchases based on Intangibles/Brands & Moats (70s)