Gideon Saar, ex-minister, Likud MK, a former cabinet secretary of Netanyahu’s and the only Likudnik to challenge him in recent years, is expected to announce tonight he’s forming a new right-wing party.
Saar came first three times in Likud’s primaries for the Knesset slate but lost to Netanyahu last year in the leadership primary winning only 27.5 percent of the vote. Nevertheless, his departure is a major blow, and a significant addition to the right-wing’s anti-Netanyahu bloc.
If early elections are held, a Saar-led party would weaken Likud and increase the likelihood of someone other than Netanyahu forming the next government. It could also, conceivably, increase the pretty slim chances of an alternative coalition being formed without another election
Here’s my @haaretzcom profile of Gideon Sa’ar from a year ago when he was challenging Netanyahu for Likud leadership
haaretz.com/amp/israel-new…
I very much doubt the opposition is capable of getting its act together, but the numbers are there for an alternative coalition. 2 other Likud MKs are expected to split along with Sa’ar. Netanyahu can rely now on the votes of only 51 out of 120 MKs (Likud+Shas+UTJ+Peretz+Levi)
Either way, the chances of an early election have now reduced significantly. Netanyahu will be wary of going to the polls with his right-wing base in jeopardy and could suddenly find himself compromising with Gantz on the 2021 budget’s timing.
Sa’ar now in his televised statement announces he’s forming a new party which will oppose Netanyahu. Accuses him of transforming Likud in to a “personal tool” and “personality cult.”
“The order of the hour is to replace Netanyahu.”
Sa’ar announces he will be resigning tomorrow from the Knesset. In other words he won’t try to form an alternative coalition in this Knesset but is founding personal right-wing platform that will run in the next election. The anti-Netanyahu field on the right getting very crowded

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More from @AnshelPfeffer

12 Jul
So why has Israel lost control of Covid-19? The simple reasons are it emerged too hastily from lockdown, without a clear exit strategy and without a contact-tracing system. But why was that allowed to happen? I tried to answer in ⁦@haaretzcom⁩ THREAD haaretz.com/israel-news/.p…
The most simple thing whenever anything goes wrong in Israel is to blame Netanyahu. But in this case, it does start and end with him. He made 2 good decisions at the beginning of the pandemic, to close borders and shut down the country. But he dropped the ball from then on. Why?
Netanyahu has many political and leadership qualities, but he’s no manager. And he’s bored by social issues he doesn’t see as part of his duties as leader. Netanyahu has literally been astonished by what he’s discovered in the health and social benefits systems in this crisis.
Read 19 tweets
29 Mar
I spent a heart-breaking Shabbat afternoon in Bnei Brak and Sunday morning in Mea Shearim and Geula. I’ve spent 23 years writing about the ultra-Orthodox community and I doubt it will ever be the same after the rabbis’ terrible response to coronavirus
haaretz.com/israel-news/.p…
The major outbreaks of #Covid_19 in Haredi neighborhoods will soon almost certainly lead to a surge of more serious cases and pressure on the ICU units creating tension between the ultra-Orthodox and other sectors of Israeli society who have been isolating properly for weeks now.
No one will forget Rabbi Chaim Kanievsky who today ordered the ultra-Orthodox close all synagogues and pray alone, 2 weeks earlier insisted that all their schools continue teaching as usual, while the rest of Israeli schools closed down. A massive blow to rabbinical authority.
Read 10 tweets
18 Mar
A majority of opposition members of Knesset are now barricaded in the Israeli parliament (socially distanced for each other) demanding the outgoing speaker (Likud) allow voting on a new speaker and committees which will reflect that Likud and its allies are the minority.
Speaker Edelstein claims that a vote now will jeopardize national-unity talks between Likud and B&W but it's B&W which is demanding the vote. Likud Whip Zohar refuses to empanel new committees because of coronavirus concerns but has rejected suggestions for video-conferencing.
Netanyahu's stooges are using the coronavirus crisis to ignore the results of the election which took place only 2 weeks ago and to prevent the new Knesset from executing its parliamentary oversight duties.
Read 24 tweets
28 Jan
A US President facing impeachment and an Israeli Prime Minister indicted for corruption, leading an interim minority government, are about to announce a plan to solve the conflict with the Palestinians, without any Palestinian present. Unbelievable farce.
Interesting that Trump begins by giving double billing to both Netanyahu and Gantz, “a man trying very hard to become the prime minister of Israel in the longest election in history.” Netanyahu smiling, but he wouldn’t have liked that.
Trump now raphsodizing about his meeting with Abbas in Bethlehem in 2017. It actually consisted of a short shouting-session in which Trump berated Abbas. He doesn’t mention that since August 2017, there’s been no dialog whatsoever between the administration and the Palestinians.
Read 17 tweets
14 Jan
24 hours to deadline for filing candidates lists for March 2 election and political neophyte Rafi Peretz now isolated with a shell of a party which was once Jewish Home and his pact to run with neo-Kahanist Ben Gvir. There’s a good chance they won’t pass the electoral threshold >
Netanyahu now petrified Jewish Home-Jewish Power will fail to enter next Knesset, costing his bloc 1-2 seats and making a majority even less likely. A wonderful irony since it’s all a result of his endless machinations to force the religious-right to join with the Neo-Kahanists >
Netanyahu will spend next 24 hours pressuring Bennett to agree to Peretz+Ben Gvir joining his religious-right list. He’s even threatening to fire Bennett from MOD if he refuses. Bennett so far isn’t budging. He doesn’t want to be tainted with Neo-Kahanism and this is Bibi’s mess>
Read 9 tweets
21 Nov 19
Netanyahu now responding to the indictments:
“I’ve gave my life for this country. Fighter for her and in recent years fought on the international stage to make it a world power. This is a very difficult day for me and those who support me. With a heavy heart i have to say...”
Netanyahu: “I have to say that I respect the law authorities in Israel, they’re justifiably world renown. But something bad has happened there. We are seeing an attempt to carry out a legal revolution. It is a process tainted by foreign interests meant to topple a right-wing PM”
Netanyahu blames indictments on “those who want to see an Israel with a bowed head... what happened in the tainted process against me included tailoring of cases & creation of new accusations. It shocks decent citizens and raises difficult questions over the police & prosecutors”
Read 9 tweets

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