Topgolf, which was recently acquired by Callaway, has over 50 locations contributing $1.1 billion in annual revenue.

The part you didn't know?

They're quietly building another $200M+ business.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
1) First, let's set the stage...

Despite the US population increasing from 298M to 331M from 2006 to 2020—an 11% increase—the number of golf participants in the United States hasn’t followed suit.

There has been a ~20% decline in golf participation during the same time period.
2) As participation has declined, legacy golf companies like Callaway have searched for ways to diversify their business beyond traditional golf.

The solution?

Acquisitions.

Since 2015, Callaway has spent ~$750M on premium brands like Jack Wolfskin, TravisMathew & Ogio.
3) By diversifying their business into premium categories, Callaway saw their revenue explode.

Revenue
2007-2015: $1.1B to $843M
————
2015-2019: $843M to $1.7B

After seeing success through diversification, Callaway decided to double down on a previous investment — Topgolf.
4) In October 2020, after building up a 14% ownership stake through 2 previous investments, Callaway agreed to acquire the remaining 86% of Topgolf.

The valuation?

$2 billion

Even better, the merger awarded us an inside look at Topgolf's fascinating business model...
5) Topgolf, which was founded in 2000, has reinvented the game of golf.

They've created destination style venues for professionals & novices alike to play technology-enabled games accompanied by music, food & drinks.

And it has been a smash hit.
6) Of the 23M Topgolf visitors in 2019, 51% of them identified as non-golfers.

Even better for a legacy brand like Callaway....

75% of the 11.5 million non-golfers who visited Topgolf now say they are interested in playing on a course.

But does interest lead to revenue?
7) From a financial perspective, Topgolf did $1.1B in revenue last year & is growing at a 30% CAGR since 2017.

Revenue
2017: $630M
2018: $862M
2019: $1.1B

The majority of Topgolf’s revenue comes from physical locations, but they also have a growing technology business.
8) From a venue standpoint, Topgolf has 58 U.S. locations, 5 international locations and 33 more venues currently under construction.

Economics:
— Cost $10M-$40M to build
— Target $17M in annual revenue
— Over 90% of revenue comes from venues

Next up — their tech business.
9) In addition to physical locations, Topgolf is also building out a technology component.

What is it?

Toptracer Range, a proprietary ball-tracking technology used by TV networks & driving ranges across the country.

Ex: the line tracks a players shot during a tournament.
10) Here's a breakdown on where Topgolf is today with their Toptracer Range Techonology:

— Licensed to 140+ TV broadcasts in 2019
— Active in ~7,500 driving ranges across the world
— $15M in annual revenue, growing 230% since 2017

Next up — expansion.
11) Callaway & Topgolf plan to increase revenue from Toptracer Range from $15M to $200M over the next 10-15 years.

Here's the plan:
— Charge $2,000 annually for licensing
— They've added 3,500 bays this year
— They plan to add 8,000 bays annually starting in 2022
12) Only time will tell if Callaway's bet on diversification will pay off, but the market has responded well.

After dropping 20% on the news, Callaway's stock has increased over 50% since.

Some of that increase is Callaway performing well, but some is Topgolf's outlook too.
13) While Callaway is making a big bet on Topgolf, the real question becomes:

Will Callaway be able to funnel recreational golfers into legitimate customers for their existing brand?

Only time will tell, but given Topgolf's customer demographic — I wouldn't bet against them.
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More from @JoePompliano

15 Dec
Dan Gilbert, who runs multiple billion dollar businesses including Quicken Loans & the Cleveland Cavaliers, is one of the best entrepreneurs in the world.

But like any great entrepreneur, when he saw a market ripe for disruption, he had to get involved.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇 Image
1) Let's start in 2015...

Dan Gilbert started to notice something interesting:

“The amount of interest & activity among my boys and their friends about sneakers was just crazy."

Thinking it might just be his kids, he asked other parents.

The answer?

"95% said the same thing”
2) As Dan Gilbert dug deeper into the secondary sneaker market, he saw glaring issues.

"Transactions were murky, information was limited & it was based on trusting strangers with your money"

His idea?

A stock market for shoes, where efficient pricing is set by supply & demand.
Read 15 tweets
12 Dec
With retail stores all over the world closed during the COVID-19 pandemic, consumer brands have suffered tremendously.

The interesting part?

Nike is thriving.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
1) What if I told you the following was true about Nike:

— Revenue is down 5%
— Inventory is up 15%
— 2,000+ employees have been let go

You would probably think—similar to Under Armour & Adidas—that Nike has been hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic.

But context matters…
2) Despite seeing a decline in sales, a rise in inventory, and thousands of layoffs, Nike's stock has performed well this year.

2020 Performance:
Nike: +35%
Adidas: +5%
Under Armour: -20%
———
S&P 500: +13%

How?

Because they've completely changed their business model.
Read 13 tweets
10 Dec
In 2016, Under Armour & UCLA agreed to the largest sponsorship deal in the history of college sports — a 15-year, $280 million deal.

The interesting part?

Nike ended up benefitting the most.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
1) First, some history...

From 2010-2016, Under Armour made an aggressive push into college athletics.

Why?

In an attempt to "move into Nike's turf," they selectively picked schools to sponsor, like Notre Dame & Wisconsin, based on geographic location.
2) Here's a few of the contracts Under Armour signed...

Wisconsin: 10-year, $96 million
Notre Dame: 10-year, $90 million
Cal: 10-year, $86 million
Auburn: 9-year, $78.1 million

The largest one?

An unprecedented $280 million commitment to UCLA.
Read 15 tweets
8 Dec
The greatest coach of all time used to work for $25 per week.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
1) Let's start in 1975...

Bill Belichick, the son of a football coach, has just graduated from Wesleyan University in Connecticut — where he played football, lacrosse, and squash.

Looking to start a career in coaching himself, Belichick asked a college coach of his for help.
2) After a college coach put in a good word, Bill Belichick landed an interview with the Colts.

Belichick told HC Ted Marchibroda that he was "willing to work 16 hour days" & would do anything asked of him.

Marchibroda offered him the job.

But there was just one problem…
Read 11 tweets
4 Dec
One professional athlete founded a business with more than 5,000 locations in 14 countries.

The crazy part?

He only made $1 million from it.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
1) Tim Horton, who was born in Ontario, grew up similar to other Canadian children — with an intense passion for hockey.

Eventually, that passion would lead him to a hall-of-fame NHL career.

The only problem?

Professional hockey players didn't make money like they do today.
2) Tim Horton played in the NHL for 24 years, becoming the only player in league history to have 2 different numbers retired — #2 & #7.

Accomplishments:
— 3x NHL All-Star
— 4x Stanley Cup Champ
— Hall-of-Famer

Even still, Horton never made more than $150,000 in a single season.
Read 14 tweets
2 Dec
LeBron James turned Apple's $3 billion mistake into a $30 million paycheck.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
1) Let's start in 2006 — Dr. Dre is approached by a major shoe brand looking to collaborate.

Dre, who worked with Interscope Records founder Jimmy Iovine for a decade, asked his friend for advice.

Iovine said, “F**k sneakers, let’s sell speakers!”

Why?

Apple...
2) Apple changed how we consumed music with the iPod & planned to release the iPhone in 2007.

The only problem?

"Apple was selling $400 iPods with $1 earbuds."

“It's one thing that people steal my music. It's another thing to destroy the feeling of what I've worked on.”
Read 13 tweets

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