Fuel Dynamics: Is India really bad on fuel price?

Taxes on Retail Fuel Price

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India - 69%
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France - 64%
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany - 64%
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Britain - 62%
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain - 53%
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan - 47%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China - 38%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada - 33%
Crude Oil Import as a % on Overall consumption

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain - 100%
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany - 97%
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India - 80%
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan - 78%
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France - 64%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China - 60%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada - 56%
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Britain - 11%
Total Oil Consumption in bbl/day

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China - 14,056,000
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India - 5,271,000
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan - 3,812,000
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany - 2,281,000
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada - 2,403,000
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France - 1,530,000
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain - 1,226,000
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Britain - 1,118,000
Total Registered Motor Vehicles in Millions

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India - 330
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China - 240
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan - 78
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany - 66
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada - 38
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Britain - 38
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France - 34
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain - 25
Maximum Income tax rates across the world

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan - 55%
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain - 52%
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Britain - 45%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China - 45%
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France - 45%
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany - 42%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada - 32%
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India - 30%
Working population in overall population

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China - 72%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada - 54%
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan - 54%
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany - 52%
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France - 42%
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain - 42%
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Britain - 40%
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India - 30%
Income tax payers in overall population

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada - 48%
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan - 40%
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany - 40%
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France - 36%
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain - 27%
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Britain - 5%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China - 3%
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India - 2.5%
Retail price of Fuel in USD per Litre

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France - $1.51
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany - $1.46
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Britain - $1.36
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain - $1.29
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China- $1.22
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan - $1.18
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India - $1.1
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada - $0.89
Final Inferences:

โšก๏ธ Japan, China & Canada have the least Taxes on Fuel
โšก๏ธ China, Canada & Britain import the least oil on their overall consumption
โšก๏ธ France, Spain & Britain consume the least oil per day
โšก๏ธ France, Spain & Britain have the least registered motor vehicles
โšก๏ธ Germany, Canada & India have the lowest income tax rates.
โšก๏ธ Spain, Britain & India have the least working population on overall population
โšก๏ธ Britain, China & India has the least income tax paying population

Despite these
โšก๏ธ Japan, Canada & India have the least fuel price
โšก๏ธ When India improves on Bringing more people in income tax bracket, Direct taxes improve and the need for indirect taxes will gradually reduce.

โšก๏ธIndia is already working on transition to Methanol economy since 2016
โšก๏ธ Despite high Duties, less proportion of direct tax and importing more than 80% and consuming high, India has done reasonably well in containing the fuel price.
Read Britain as 50% and not 5%. Typo error
โšก๏ธ Spain*, China & India has the least income tax paying population

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More from @ikkmurugan

14 Dec
USD to INR Exchange Rates: During different time lines

1980 - 85: Increased by 4.52
1985 - 90: Increased by 4.63
1990 - 95: Increased by 15.42 (High inflow of investment but exchange skyrocketed) - The Economist as FM

By March 1997, India held just $29.3 billion in reserves. Image
Then comes Vajpayee between 1999 and 2004. Exchange rates saw no change. But did not last long, the beginning of the new rise started in 2006.

As of March 2004, reserves stood at $107.4 billion. Increase of $78 Billion in 7 years Image
2005 - 13: Increased by 15.97 in 9 years.

Foreign reserves was about $250 Billion in the year end of 2013-14. Increased by $143 Billion in 10 years.

The actual issue was elsewhere. Declining trend of Reserves/GDP ratio from the beginning of 2007 ImageImage
Read 7 tweets
11 Dec
Total Sqm area of the new secretariat building including both blocks is 1,55,000 Sqm - But this plinth area is not seated area.

Almost 40 to 50% of the plinth area in Block A is double height atrium which has only two floor. Plinth area is not necessarily habitable area. Image
Secondly, the cost mentioned is estimated cost and not the final cost of the project. The final escalated cost of the project is more than 1474 Crores cited BBC.

India today called it a 1200 Cr project and Wiki sources say it is 1100 Crores. So the cost mentioned is wrong. Image
Secretariat costed โ‚น95,000/Sqm in 2010/11.

Parliament building is constructed at a cost of โ‚น1,41,230 in 2020

At 6% inflation, the secretariat building construction will be โ‚น1,70,131/Sqm today

The same secretariat would have costed 2637 Crores Today.
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7 Dec
After AAP sacking YoYa in 2015, he started campaigning for Farmers in Haryana & Punjab. Gave a lot of interviews during this period till 2019 Lok Sabha election.

No mention of Middlemen in any of these interviews. Not even once.

All his interviews focused only on increasing MSP
He spoke of everything except middlemen in this interview in 2018. Demonetisation affected but no mention of middlemen anywhere google.co.in/amp/s/amp.scroโ€ฆ
Farmers want guaranteed income but no mention of middlemen again google.co.in/amp/s/www.downโ€ฆ
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7 Dec
Large Farmers to Middle men to Large Farmers - The vicious cycle

Punjab is an agriculturally developed but land scarce economy. The ownership of land is an economic asset and carries a social prestige in the society. The small farmers find it difficult to keep their land intact.
The number of operational holdings in the state was 11.17 lakh in 1990-91, which declined to 9.97 lakh in 2000-01. The picture of small farmers (< 5 acres of land) was very precarious as their number has declined from 5 lakh to about 3 lakh during this period.
This shows that about 2 lakh small farmers have either leased out or sold their entire land or part of it. A report on the status of farmers who left farming in Punjab states that out of 2 lakh families who left farming, about 36 per cent families have sold their entire land
Read 8 tweets
5 Dec
The Arhtiyas (Middlemen) of Punjab

The Arhtiyas of Punjab are political connected.

In July 2017, in a public function the Arhyiyas felicitated Amarinder Singh with the title of โ€˜Fakhr-e-Quamโ€™(Pride of the Community).
Post that function, the CM had said it would be difficult to waive off the debt owed by farmers to the arhtiyas.

As many as 86% of farmer & 80% of agricultural labours are mired in debt, says a study on Indebtedness among Farmers & Agricultural Labourers in Rural Punjab.
Its authors, researchers at Punjabi University, Patiala, say over a fifth of that debt was owed to commission agents and moneylenders.

No less than 8,294 farmers took their own lives between 2000 & 2015, says a study presented last year before the Vidhan Sabhaโ€™s Committee.
Read 14 tweets
3 Dec
Will Rajiniโ€™s entry affect DMK or ADMK or both?

โ˜€๏ธ DMK got 22.5% Votes-1991
โ˜€๏ธ DMK got 42.1% Votes-1996
โ˜€๏ธ DMK got 30.9% Votes-2001
โ˜€๏ธ DMK got 26.5% Votes-2006

๐Ÿƒ ADMK got 44.4% Votes-1991
๐Ÿƒ ADMK got 21.5% Votes-1996
๐Ÿƒ ADMK got 31.4% Votes-2001
๐Ÿƒ ADMK got 32.6% Votes-2006
Votes Polled
๐Ÿ—ณ 1991 - 2.5 Cr
๐Ÿ—ณ 1996 - 2.8 Cr
๐Ÿ—ณ 2001 - 2.8 Cr
๐Ÿ—ณ 2006 - 3.3 Cr

How many votes did DMK & ADMK get when they lost?

๐Ÿƒ1991 - ADMK - 1.11 Cr
โ˜€๏ธ1996 - DMK - 1.18 Cr
๐Ÿƒ 2001 - ADMK - 88 L
โ˜€๏ธ 2006 - DMK - 87 L
How many votes did DMK & ADMK get when they lost?

โ˜€๏ธ1991 - DMK - 55 L
๐Ÿƒ1996 - ADMK - 60 L
โ˜€๏ธ2001 - DMK - 86 L
๐Ÿƒ 2006 - ADMK - 107 L

ADMK lost 51 Lakh votes in 96, DMK lost 38 Lakh votes in 2001.

In 2006, DMK just gained 1 lakh votes & ADMK gained 30 Lakh votes but DMK won
Read 18 tweets

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