SCOTUS denies Texas’s suit to overturn the election in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Georgia. Justices Thomas and Alito would have heard the case.

Joe Biden is still the winner of the election, and the president-elect.
It’s been over for quite some time now, but that hasn’t stopped most of the GOP from mobilizing to try and overturn the results of the election. I doubt SCOTUS’s actions here will change that.

64% of the House GOP caucus signed onto this suit. Over a dozen state AGs.
Most importantly, Trump is nowhere near conceding. He will latch onto the next pale imitation of a deus ex machina and Newsmax/OANN etc will follow along. Just like they did for every lawsuit up until now, each of which was supposed to be “the big one” that would ensure victory.
As I was saying. It’s on to the next thing.

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More from @JacobRubashkin

10 Dec
"Texas has not suffered harm simply because it dislikes the result of the election, and nothing in the text, history, or structure of the Constitution supports Texas’s view that it can dictate the manner in which four other states run their elections." supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/22/2…
"The Court should not abide this seditious abuse of
the judicial process, and should send a clear and unmistakable signal that such abuse must never be replicated." - Pennsylvania's response to the Texas SCOTUS case.
Pennsylvania....does not think highly of the "statistical analysis" done by Charles J. Cicchetti (the "one in a quadrillion" dude) that Texas cites.

"Texas’s allegations and Dr. Cicchetti’s analysis are nonsense." Image
Read 4 tweets
3 Dec
The number of qualifiers in the write-up of this Georgia poll is a sign of the times...

"Here Is Best Runoff Polling Data We Can Offer Given Volatility Preceding Air-Force-One Atlanta Touchdown"

(It's Ossoff 50% - Perdue 48%, Warnock 52% - Loeffler 45%)

surveyusa.com/client/PollRep…
I've never seen a pollster go so far out of their way as SurveyUSA has gone in their disclaimers. Best bites below:
"Results need to be digested with caution and placed into the proper context, which is that no pollster can solve an equation in which every input is a variable and none of the inputs are constants. That said, as best we make it out at this hour:"
Read 6 tweets
16 Nov
Reading through this @J_Insider interview with Congressman-elect Madison "Face of the new GOP generation" Cawthorn and it looks like Tommy Tuberville isn't the only one who needs history lessons.
"Jesus is kind of a good guy" is 99.9% something that an uninterested Jewish person told Madison Cawthorn to get him to stop trying to convert them.
Perhaps Cawthorn's attempts to commune with his district's Jewish community have been unsuccessful not because services are online, but because he keeps on trying to convert them!
Read 4 tweets
15 Nov
The thing is, it’s most futile to try and figure out why any individual member lost and what specific messaging dragged them down when the presidential is what it is. FL-26 went from Clinton +16 to Trump +6. That’s why DMP lost, not because of any ads Giménez or the GOP ran.
So the pertinent question, at least for this race (and FL-27, though that race has its own quirks) isn’t why did DMP lose, it’s why did Democratic support collapse in South Florida?
South Florida is pretty unique — we can’t generalize what happened there to explain Democrats’ losses nationwide. But to say that DMP is wrong about what cost her the seat because of a few tv ads run against her and not take into account the overall environment is a mistake.
Read 4 tweets
9 Nov
It's ancient history but the original impetus for appointing Kelly Loeffler, outsider Atlanta businesswoman & WNBA team owner, was because she could appeal to the increasingly moderate Georgia electorate better than the too-Trumpy Doug Collins.
Loeffler and Perdue are clearly trying to thread a needle. With Trump making baseless claims of election fraud the central GOP message, they can't distance without alienating the voters they need either. But they also run risk of depressing turnout. It's a tough spot to be in.
Read 4 tweets
5 Nov
A brief thread on Georgia runoff elections -- may have something much longer on all this in next issue but wanted to get some thoughts down (thread 1/x):

Georgia is the only state where general elections for federal office are subject to an absolute majority requirement.
If no candidate receives 50%+1 votes, the top-two vote getters advance to a January 5 runoff. This year, there will be at least one Senate runoff in Georgia, in the special election to replace Sen. Isakson. Democrat Raphael Warnock won 33% of the vote, Sen. Loeffler 26%.
There may also be a runoff in the regular US Senate election, where Sen. David Perdue is in danger of falling below 50% and being forced into a runoff with Democrat Jon Ossoff.

The two elections would happen simultaneously.

This system has been in place since the mid-1960s.
Read 19 tweets

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