On a more serious note. Here's another #ADFPopQuiz
Based on data & surveys gathered from the endless amount of DMs I received over the years, including all the traders I've interacted with, met, or even mentored, what was the #1 hurdle the vast majority of traders faced?
Quiz Answer time:
77% of people chose C, and they are all correct.
The #1 problem facing traders of all stages (beginner or advanced) is not strategy, executions, or lack of capital.
It is simply adhering to rules. THEIR OWN rules. And almost no one is immune to this curse.
Now I already made endless threads/tweets about why this happens and how to fix it (search my tweets on "amygdala", "primal" , "brain" for more details).
But in summary, here are the top 5 fixes for this issue:
1) Trade setups, not ur intuitions
2) Systematic entry/exits: no guesswork
3) Stock selection: dont expect A+ results if u keep trading C+ stocks
4) Size: if u cant laugh at a loss, u're trading too big
5) PNL box: Never use ur PNL to dictate ur next trading decision. HIDE IT
Remember, the market is designed to BURY emotional traders.
YOU are supposed to profit off emotional traders
But how can u accomplish this if you';re constantly emotional yourself?
u cant be both the customer and the dealer. so PICK A SIDE.
To the struggling trader out there who is still wondering "man, is this even worth it? should I quit now?" Listen u little fuck. Endure the small losses. Endure the sleepless nights. Because TRUST me, once u finally activate beastmode, it would have all been worth the pain.
Just follow these 3 SIMPLE rules:
1) FOCUS on just ONE setup at first. Just one, simple, scalable, cunty little setup. just ONE bro. u dont have to learn every fucking strategy out there. just find ONE and make it your bitch. u can worry about other setups later.
And that's the goal of my tweets.. to REDUCE ur learning curve. to REDUCE the amount of tuition u have to pay to the market before things finally "click". So if I can make u learn something in ONE TWEET that took me YEARS & a ridiculous amount of money lost to learn, i did my job
u see me talk about PROVEN concepts that sound simple at first.. #vwapBoulevard, bloodbath setup, 1-3pm selloff due to filing requirements, ADF score, volume forecast etc. and u think "gee thanks. that was easy". but do u have ANY idea how long it took me to crack those things??
~17hr days (~119 hour weeks) stuck in front of screens all day, sifting through charts, reading sec filings all night, plowing through tedious, boring excel sheets. Blowing up account after account. Bc i didnt have the luxury of a mentor. A trader's learning curve is a BITCH
Interesting tweet I just got tagged on. Let's get one thing straight:
first off, ANY profitable trader who tells u they dont "backtest" is lying their ass off. EVERYONE "backtests". we just use different approaches. Backtesting simply means consulting history to make a decision.
Ask ANY profitable trader "are there certain trades u avoid?". and they'll tell u yes. Ask them "why", they ll tell u "b/c historically i dont do well on those". guess what.. that's a form of backtesting. u're just consulting ur own historical performance to make that decision
did you ever get advice from a friend or mentor and used it to guide u in your niche or trading? well guess what.. u just consulted that trader's experience or historical performance on that specific niche to guide u. THAT's a form of "backtesting".
1R is just your max loss per trade. In caveman speech, just think of the amount of money ur account is able to lose 20 times in a row before blowing up (or going under PDT). And that's for an aggressive trader. so for a $50K acct ur max loss should be no more than $1250 per trade
so with a risk/reward of 3:1 (absolute minimum 2:1), on that $50K acct, u're risking $1250 (per stopout) to make $3750 or $2500. If u take 2 trades per day of good quality setups, with decent win rates (even 50% winrate), ur account WILL grow. it's pure math.
The reason u fuckers keep blowing up is b/c u dont have a fixed 1R (max loss). one day u lose $100 another day $2000 another day $700 etc. what the fuck? imagine living in an apartment where u dont know what the rent will be. u should KNOW what ur losses will be BEFORE u take em
✅pull out ur data tracking sheet on excel
✅identify the best faders ever (reverse if u're a bull)
✅find out the top 5 things they all had in common (fundamentals, technicals, sentiment)
Compare those w/ the other 5 things ur best trades have in common.
Find the common thread
for example if u notice that YOUR best shortselling trades, & the BEST faders u've tracked, share a few common factors, over & over again, then u can use those factors to rank ALL ur future trades based on how many of those factors they share. 1 out of 5? 3 out of 5? 5 out of 5?
✅how often does this setup occur
✅at what time does it usually occur
✅what is the avg range
✅what signal/indicator usually marks the top/bottom of this setup
✅what are the fundamentals usually like on this setup?
✅what is the most reliable exit signal for this setup?
✅what is the most reliable entry signal for this setup?
✅where is the best place to place stops on this setup?
✅what do the BEST performers on this setup have in common?
✅how much volume does this setup usually trade?
✅at what time does HOD usually happen on this setup? LOD?
✅How does float size effect this setup?
✅Does this setup respect the key moving averages? if so which ones?
✅Does this setup perform better on day 1, 2 or 3?
✅Who is my competition on this setup? Dumb $ or smart $?