Anyway it would be cool if all the fun QBs who enter the league got to join teams that already had promise rather than sticking them on the Bengals & Jets of the world. There's an alternate universe where watching Mahomes isn't nearly as fun
His entire reputation was basically built off 3rd downs in one season and we know those aren't sustainable if your name isn't Mahomes
Taking a closer look at ESPN's win probability model and this spike in Cleveland's WP was caused by a 9 yard Baltimore run on 1st & 10, which caused CLE WP to go from 55% to 75%
????????????????
In ESPN's win probability model, a 4 yard Trace McSorley run on 1st & 10 with more than 13 minutes left increased Cleveland's win probability from 18% to 34%
My model actually thinks the Browns going for 2, down 8 last night was a bad decision- it didn't think the difference between being down 6 vs 7 was worth the additional risk
So I think it's time to cancel this chart (sorry whoever made the chart) because it assumes "convert 2 --> kick PAT" results in a win and that is obviously not the case
"They’ll only have him for another 16 games" is what would happen if he DID sign the tag, no long-term deal were reached, and he weren't tagged against next year.
So again, this tweet doesn't make sense
Note that this appears to be a change in strategy by Frank Clark's agent, who said this on the record in October 2018 espn.com/nfl/story/_/id…