This @GrassrootsSpeak thread about KY went viral. I didn’t realize until @JonathanSimon14 questioned it today that the 18% approval # was from a few years ago. In reality, McConnell’s KY approval was much higher closer to the 2020 election (& much higher than McGrath’s). 1/ 
2/ “Likely voters have a mixed opinion of Senator McConnell, with 44 % saying they have a favorable opinion of him, while 46 % say they have an unfavorable opinion of him. Amy McGrath receives a negative 34 - 47 percent favorability rating. “ - Oct. 2020 poll.qu.edu/kentucky/relea…
3/ McConnell was expected to win. That said, he won by a lot more than the exit polls predicted. tdmsresearch.com/2020/12/14/202…
This is one of the reasons I often stay away from numeric analyses. They have a way of slipping away. That said, it is helpful that Twitter facilitates public vetting of claims, including my own. Facilitating fact checking of ourselves is crucial. We all make mistakes. 4/
The other points raised in Alison’s thread are still worth looking into imo. But I don’t want anyone to think this is a stronger case than it is. 5/
I appreciate that Alison has never claimed her analyses “prove” fraud. But post 1 of her thread shld probably be deleted. Or at least an additional post at the end correcting it. 6/
Maybe the additional post at the end is the way to go. I know she put a ton of time into the rest of the thread. 7/
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