1\ Far from an original observation, but I keep thinking about what the advent of the "Gig economy" means for the value proposition of "citizenship"
2\ Under the old model, citizens (and particularly knowledge workers) were bound by financial and commercial ties to one city or country

Politicians used these monopolies to extract taxes, in exchange for which they provided sub-par services

It was a thinly disguised shakedown
3\ Now, hipster/bourgeois culture is global

You can land most places, take an Uber (or a local clone) to an AirBNB, use a food delivery app to order a poke bowl, find a date on Tinder, and then use the cloud to collaborate with co-workers in other countries
4\ A generation ago, there were maybe a half dozen Tier 1 global cities in the cultural mainstream. You had to live in one of them.

Today, there are scores of these cities in dozens of countries, some with better public infrastructure than is available in the sclerotic west
5\ With human capital increasingly mobile, "Passport as a Service" is possible, and it is putting taxing authorities in competition with each other

Californians leaving for Texas, New Yorkers leaving for Puerto Rico or St Kitts, Africans leaving for Mauritius
6\ As ever, when suppliers compete, consumers win

When public schools must compete with e-learning, when SF must compete with Miami, when the US must compete with St Kitts, citizens win

The race is on for better government services, supplied more efficiently
7\ Nobody has to understand this process for it to "evolve" towards efficiency

Californians who move to TX may indeed vote for the same policies that ruined SF, but as long as there is emigration, there is "selective pressure" for polities that chance into good fiscal policies
8\ 200 countries means 200 Petri Dishes in which different policies can be blindly explored

Rwanda, an unthinkable dystopia 20 years ago, is today called (perhaps with a touch of exaggeration), the "Singapore of Africa"

But some countries WILL get it right
9\9 Making big macro predictions is a guaranteed way to end up looking foolish

But I can't help wondering if the globalization of human capital is following fast on the heels of globalization of trade, leading to secular decline in taxes just as global trade exported deflation

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More from @ElonBachman

16 Dec
1\ A thread to commemorate COVID-19 heroes:

(DM me other examples and I'll add them)

Absolute king rents lift truck to flout lockdown and visit his aging wife:

nypost.com/2020/04/15/88-…
2\ Incredible stud paddle boards to own the Karens:

latimes.com/california/sto…
3\ Fearless chad risks drowning and worse to visit his Rapunzel:

theguardian.com/world/2020/dec…
Read 22 tweets
14 Dec
Countdown to "Gender appropriation" in 3, 2, 1...
What is the Woke logic whereby cultural appropriation is a crime but gender role appropriation is noble?

Is it possible to imagine a world where Wokesters celebrate white dudes wearing dreadlocks and bemoan men wearing skirts?

Is there some asymmetry I'm missing?
The obvious asymmetry would seem to be that "gender roles are assigned by patriarchy" whereas "culture is the organic property of noble savages"

But this is backwards: most culture was imposed by conquest, whereas gender roles are innate and mostly immutable
Read 4 tweets
4 Dec
1\ Having covered itself in shame by reporting fake hydroxychloroquine data, the venerable Lancet has now branched out into junk climate science

They claim a 54% increase in heat deaths among those over 65 over the past 20 years

h/t @MarqueSalamanca

indianexpress.com/article/lifest…
2\ This is a striking claim, because deaths from weather of all kinds are down 90%+ over the last century

GWP per capita has doubled in the last 20 years. Fossil fuels moved billions out of poverty, and hundreds of millions into air-conditioned homes

sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
3\ How can The Lancet find an increase in deaths where others find a decrease?

Here is one researcher cautioning about unreliable data:
Read 11 tweets
2 Dec
1\ Classism is FAR more invidious than racism and sexism

I suspect this is because, in our evolutionary past, status gradations were the key to reproductive success, whereas ingroup/outgroup distinctions were malleable and not fundamentally about race
2\ Modern society is worm-eaten with classist policy:

Usury laws
Sugar taxes
Vice taxes
Building codes
Minimum wages

We are grossed out by the choices faced by the poor, so we "help" the poor by taking away those choices through regulation
3\ Nobody can point to laws that are actually racist, and when they try, they end up pointing to the classist stuff I mentioned above

In the US, class is often co-extensive with race, so things like minimum wage laws that have disparate race effects are really just classist
Read 7 tweets
1 Dec
1\ I actually have a funny personal story about COVID-19 urban legends

This summer my in-laws' families were riven by COVID-19 disagreement

Half thought it was a plague, half refused to wear masks, etc.

People stopped speaking to each other
2\ They live in a city of a few million where many of the doctors are from a close-knit ethnic community

Well, the Karen side of the family sent around a philipic written by a local doctor, telling of COVID patients dying in hallways, etc, and warning people to mask up
3\ Locally, the thread went viral, mostly on WhatsApp

Well, my lady used to be a local pharma rep, and she knew the doc who was supposedly stepping over bodies to get to his ward

So she emailed him...
Read 5 tweets
30 Nov
1\ People compare COVID-19 hysteria to the Salem Witch Trials, to various political movements, and to other mass delusions of the fairly distant past

But the best model for understanding lockdowns is 1980s USA, when the world hallucinated a sprawling, satanic child rape pandemic
2\ As with COVID-19, there *was* a small kernel of truth beneath the hysteria

Horrible things did happen to a few kids, just as in a world of 7.7 billion, a handful of healthy youngsters have died from COVID-19
3\ As with COVID-19, the child rape hallucinations were endorsed by credentialed public officials of all stripes: educators, prosecutors, social workers, investigators, doctors

As with COVID-19, *most* experts didn't believe the hype, but only the most hysterical got media play
Read 8 tweets

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