A short thread on Hospitalisations and deaths in the UK/England.
After dipping briefly, hospitalisations with COVID started to increase a couple of weeks ago at the end of the lockdown reflecting increases in cases in the week before lockdown ended.
After dipping briefly, hospitalisations with COVID started to increase a couple of weeks ago at the end of the lockdown reflecting increases in cases in the week before lockdown ended.
Over all hospital occupancy is increasing again and will almost certainly breach April's peak levels in the next few weeks given the fact cases are still rising and we are about to enter a period of easing at Christmas.
In total around 113,000 people were recorded as admitted to hospital with COVID in the first wave (March to mid-August). So far (mid-August onwards) we have had around 92,000. This second wave looks like it will far surpass the first wave numbers (and fairly soon).
This chart of hospital admissions by region suggests hospitalisations are rising in every region with the possible exception of the North West. London is now rising rapidly reflecting the steep rise in cases over the last few weeks.
Finally, just looking at deaths in England. It's not surprising to see after a small reduction followed by a short plateau that deaths are now also starting to rise again and will continue to do so given the rises in cases and hospitalisations that we've seen recently.
Sadly the situation looks bad on many fronts and this truly will be a very bleak midwinter.
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