Omar Wasow Profile picture
18 Dec, 5 tweets, 3 min read
Observational study examined 190,000+ patients from 50 states. Found higher levels of vitamin D were strongly associated with lower rates of testing positive for Covid, ”a relationship that persists across latitudes, races/ethnicities, both sexes & ages.” doi.org/10.1371/journa… ImageImage
For a helpful overview of more studies — both randomized and observational — I highly recommend @gshotwell’s collaboratively built collection of research summaries. I also recommend following him as he’s a careful evaluator of the evidence. vitamin-d-covid.shotwell.ca
Meta-analysis of 25 randomised controlled trials found “Vitamin D supplementation reduced the risk of acute respiratory tract infection among all participants” & ”Patients who were very vitamin D deficient experienced the most benefit.” bmj.com/content/356/bm… HT @julierehmeyer
Observational studies can’t prove causality. A small randomized trial in Spain found effects: ”Of 50 patients treated with calcifediol [a main metabolite of vitamin D], one required admission to ICU (2%), while of 26 untreated, 13 required admission (50%)” doi.org/10.1016/j.jsbm…
Small randomized trial in India targeted patients with mild Covid and vitamin D deficiency. Study found ”10 out of 16 (62.5%) participants in intervention group achieved SARS-CoV-2 negativity compared to 5 out of 24 (20.8%) in the control arm (p=0.018).” pmj.bmj.com/content/early/…

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More from @owasow

20 Dec
”In August 1956, while at a civil rights training center with Rosa Parks, a bomb exploded in their front yard. Five months later, another bomb hit their house, shattering windows, this time while they were asleep inside with their newborn son, David.” nytimes.com/2020/12/19/us/…
“There are nice fuzzy liberals, and then there are the Graetzes,” said @JeanneTheoharis, a professor of political science and author of ‘The Rebellious Life of Mrs. Rosa Parks.’ ”It’s not a one-off resolve. To do what they did requires doing it every day.” nytimes.com/2020/12/19/us/…
”The Graetzes returned to Montgomery several times, often with their children — they ultimately had seven — including for the last leg of the march from Selma to Montgomery in 1965 in support of the Voting Rights Act.” nytimes.com/2020/12/19/us/…
Read 5 tweets
20 Dec
”’In the worst part of the battle, the general was missing in action,’ Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan said of the recent surge.” washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/…
“People are still dying every day. There’s thousands of cases every day and yet he won’t do the right thing.…To see a sitting president directly refuse to help during a crisis is just flabbergasting to me,” said Olivia Troye, a former Pence adviser. washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/…
“He’s a salesman, but this is something he can’t sell. So he just gave up. He gave up on trying to sell people something that was unsellable,” said Paul A. Offit, a professor of vaccinology at UPenn and a member of the FDA’s vaccine advisory council. washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/…
Read 18 tweets
14 Dec
With the Electoral College voting today, I thought I’d share two critiques of the institution. First, a historical critique beginning with Paul Finkelman’s paper documenting ”The Proslavery Origins of the Electoral College.”
Second, supporters of the Electoral College often argue it helps legitimize the victor by converting narrow margins into commanding wins. In recent elections, though, the opposite is true. The Byzantine rules of the EC often delegitimatize the victor & destabilize our democracy.
The Electoral College turns the US into a semi-stochastic democracy. Essentially, the EC introduces a non-trivial amount of randomness into selecting the president. In theory, semi-random selection might ”thwart undue influence, bribery & abuse of power.” scholarworks.iupui.edu/bitstream/hand…
Read 13 tweets
13 Dec
”Californians say they want big, progressive changes. But when it comes to their neighborhoods, or anything that might even marginally slow the stratospheric ascent of their property values, many balk. And too many legislators cower at their discontent.” latimes.com/opinion/story/…
”LA’s land use policy is, generally, a disaster. Strict zoning regulations (born largely out of overt racism) prohibit building anything other than single-family homes in most of the city, making it nearly impossible to add enough affordable housing.” latimes.com/opinion/story/…
“NIMBYism is always going to be a problem. But LA has gotten grim. We’re dealing with homelessness, racial injustice and simultaneously fighting a climate crisis. The status quo just doesn’t have the same appeal it used to.” latimes.com/opinion/story/…
Read 5 tweets
11 Dec
For democracies that like to gamble, the choice is clear.

Popular vote: boring definitive winner
Biden: 81,282,376 (51.3%)
Trump: 74,222,576 (46.9%)

Electoral College: exciting like a coin toss
In WI, GA & AZ, Biden defeated Trump by 42,918 votes

42,918/(155,504,952)=0.000276
Sources: (2) From @robertisnthere:
“Across Wisconsin, Georgia & Arizona, Biden defeated Trump by 42,918 votes, a narrower margin than Trump defeated Clinton by four years ago with 77,744 votes across WI, MI & PA…”
statehood.substack.com/p/2020-was-amo…
Read 7 tweets
4 Nov
Remember folks, the Electoral College:

— Designed to increase power of slaveholding states via 3/5ths clause

— Winner take all rules created, in part, to deny equal voice to Black voters

— In 1970, popular reform blocked by filibuster led by segregationist Senators
“Under 3/5s compromise, 5 slaves were equal to 3 free people in order to increase the South’s representation in Congress. Thus, in electing the president, the political power southerners gained from owning slaves would be factored into electoral votes…” people.uncw.edu/lowery/pls101/…
“Thanks to 3/5ths clause, slave states got extra votes in House, just as in Electoral College.

As a result, every president until Lincoln was either a Southerner or a Northerner who was willing (while president) to accommodate the slaveholding South.” nytimes.com/2019/04/06/opi…
Read 8 tweets

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