I’ve kept thinking about this argument over the M4A floor vote because while the debate itself doesn’t mean much, it divided people in a useless way. So maybe this’ll help make more sense of it:
Consider the fact that the left basically has no power rn. Right? Ok.
You can’t maneuver your way out of powerlessness. There’s no clever trick that abolitionists could have pulled in 1820 that would’ve ended slavery, even tho there were a few members of Congress against slavery
That doesn’t mean you shouldn’t debate tactics and maneuvers. You absolutely should. Some maneuvers are dumb, some are smart. Argue that out. But understand that that’s all you’re talking about. Your opponent in those debates is not your enemy. You might even be wrong.
Here’s @AdyBarkan making a similar point yesterday. It’s great to argue about tactics, but the question of what specific legislative procedure to take that’ll get you there is simply not a fundamental moral or political divide. It’s just a maneuver.
It reminds me of a phrase I first heard from @jonathansmucker when he said Bernie had gotten “within the margin of maneuver” — in other words, close enough that the fight can be won or lost with tactics. That’s not where M4A is.
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Real question that will help me engage with folks on here who I do think are coming from a good place: Why is a vote on the House floor for M4A considered so obviously better than other demands? What’s so useful about the floor? We already know who backs it and who doesn’t...
Ok I think I get it: people think the cosponsor list is fake but a vote would be real.
Sorry to say but that’s wrong: A vote on a bill that won’t pass the Senate is just as symbolic as the act of cosponsoring. They’re both posturing. So if you have leverage, get something real.
Biden could give everyone who had Covid Medicare by executive action. That could end up being 30 million people or more. They could try to extract a commitment from Pelosi to demand that in exchange for govt funding bills. Whatever. Real things are possible.
People on here, including, apparently, lurkers like @BarackObama, are confused about the 20th Century party realignment, and that has led them to a confused understanding of politics today. The myth is that LBJ signed Civil Rights and said, well, there goes the south /1
He may have said some version of that, but that's beside the point. In fact, the realignment goes back at least to the New Deal. In the '30s, the GOP was still the Party of Lincoln and Dems were the bigger racists, but the New Deal was very good for everybody. And so in 1936 /2
for the first time that we have a reliable record, a majority of Black voters went Democratic. Elite columnists thought it was absurd that Black voters could ever side with the legacy of the Confederacy which was still dominated at the congressional level by white supremacists./3
For people wondering why House Democratic leaders would be launching an attack on the Squad out of the gate, consider the math and the new power balance:
Dems will have a much smaller majority in 2021, maybe 8 or 9 seats. Think about what that means:/1 theintercept.com/2020/11/06/ele…
Dems gave @AOC 60 seconds at the convention and iirc the rest of the Squad nothing. Defund the police was a slogan that came from the protests. The Squad could vanish from the earth tomorrow and none of the centrist complaints about messaging would be assuaged.
Spanberger would have gotten the same attack ad. And she’s going to get it again in 2022. If she has something to actually run on to counter it, maybe she’ll be ok. Worth a shot, no?
That’s different than saying that any particular slogan is effective or not. The purpose of a slogan is to win mass support for your cause. If it’s working, it’s good, if it’s not, it’s not, and people need to be hard headed about that.
Glenn and I actually started out writing this Hunter article together, but he wanted to get deep into Burisma and media criticism and I wanted to focus on the China element, so we decided to write separate pieces. His piece was still in the edit process when all this blew up.
I was hopeful he’d be able to work out his differences on the piece with his editor and I’m still convinced that could have happened. This, as he says, has been brewing for a long time and was about more than just one story.
lol Cruz must figure he’s politically better off in the Senate minority when it comes to launching another presidential bid, happy to kneecap his vulnerable colleague to make that happen
To walk folks through the logic of how this politically benefits Cruz and other ambitious senators on the right, like this guy below, consider two worlds. One has Rs in the majority but Biden in the White House. That could produce a tough vote on some compromise bill every week