Day 298, The winter-is-coming-(tomorrow) edition

Patients currently in the hospital:
(difference with yesterday)

🔴2.113 (48)

🔴Clinic: 1.533 (28)
🔴ICU: 580 (20)

Newly hospitalized:
🟢254 (-81)

🟢Clinic: 218 (-72)
🟢ICU: 36 (-9)

#corona #stayhome ImageImageImageImage
New reported cases:

+13.066 today. (New daily record⚠)

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🔴 that is 798 more ↗ than yesterday.
🔴 that is 3.174 more ↗ than a week ago.

🔴 --> growth factor: 35% week on week.
🔴 --> doubling: every 16 days. ImageImageImageImage
New reported deaths:

+32 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟢 that is 24 less ⬇ than yesterday.
🔴 that is 3 more ↗ than a week ago.

🔴 --> growth factor: 22% week on week.
🔴 --> doubling: every 24.3 days. ImageImageImage
Ages and age distribution of the reported cases. ImageImageImage
New reported hospitalisations:

+102 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟢 that is 2 less ⬇ than yesterday.
🔴 that is 19 more ↗ than a week ago.

🔴 --> growth factor: 16% week on week.
🔴 --> doubling: every 32.7 days. ImageImageImage
Verpleeghuizen ImageImageImage
Growth Factor week-on-week:

🔴 cases: 35.5 %
🔴 hospitalizations (RIVM): 16 %
🔴 deaths: 22.1 %

Growth Factor day-on-day (7-day moving average):
🔴 cases: 4.3 %

Growth Factor day-on-day:
🔴 cases: 6.5 % ImageImageImageImage
Days since:

93 press conference: 'Bar closes an hour early'

83 press conference: 'We want R=0,9'

68 press conference: 'semi-lockdown'

47 press conference: 'stricter semi-lockdown'

33 press conference: 'end of stricter semi-lockdown'
1) Provinces
2) Cases: added today / correctd today.
3) Cases: compared to yesterday | Mondays ImageImageImage

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More from @YorickB

22 Dec
🧵RIVM weekupdate🧵

Aantal testen is toegenomen. Echter, het percentage positief steeg ook naar 13.6%. --> minder zicht op verspreiding. Image
BCO is lekker bezig. Voor het eerst sinds tijden heeft de GGD bij méér dan 50% van de gevallen een setting gevonden. Image
De R voor 5 december was 1,25.

Flink hoger dan de gehoopte: 0,75-0,99. Image
Read 7 tweets
22 Dec
Day 300, The Hospitals-are-full-(again) edition

Patients currently in the hospital:
(difference with yesterday)

🔴2.289 (127)

🔴Clinic: 1.703 (127)
🟡ICU: 586 (0)

Newly hospitalized:
🔴392 (150)

🔴Clinic: 359 (154)
🟢ICU: 33 (-4)

In 🇩🇪:
2

#corona #stayhome ImageImageImageImage
New reported cases:

+9.872 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟢 that is 1.327 less ⬇ than yesterday.
🔴 that is 3.219 more ↗ than a week ago.

🔴 --> growth factor: 41% week on week.
🔴 --> doubling: every 14.1 days. ImageImageImageImage
Read 12 tweets
22 Dec
🧵De dag die je wist dat zou komen is eindelijk hier:🧵

Ernst Kuipers laat weten dat de ziekenhuizen stoppen met het geven van "reguliere klinische non-COVID zorg". Image
De beddenbaas verwacht dat de piek pas zal worden bereikt in de eerst week van januari. Image
De ziekenhuizen kunnen nu 1.350 IC patienten aan, maar houden rekening naar opschaling1.450 bedden. Image
Read 13 tweets
21 Dec
Day 299, The darkest-day edition

Patients currently in the hospital:
(difference with yesterday)

🔴2.162 (49)

🔴Clinic: 1.576 (43)
🔴ICU: 586 (6)

Newly hospitalized:
🟢242 (-12)

🟢Clinic: 205 (-13)
🔴ICU: 37 (1)

In 🇩🇪:
2 (+2)

#corona #stayhome ImageImageImageImage
New reported cases:

+11.212 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟢 that is 1.834 less ⬇ than yesterday.
🔴 that is 2.738 more ↗ than a week ago.

🔴 --> growth factor: 37% week on week.
🔴 --> doubling: every 15.4 days. ImageImageImageImage
New reported deaths:

+31 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟢 that is 1 less ⬇ than yesterday.
🟢 that is 4 less ⬇ than a week ago.

🔴 --> growth factor: 16% week on week.
🔴 --> doubling: every 32.8 days. ImageImageImage
Read 9 tweets
15 Dec
🧵Draadje technische briefing🧵

Geen briefing aan de Tweede Kamer, wel aan het Kabinet.
Stukken daar --> rijksoverheid.nl/onderwerpen/co…

Draadje Kamerbrief en het OMT advies:


Draadje of de regering de lockdown niet zag aankomen:
Ik begin met het einde:

"In modellering signaalwaarden buiten beeld gekomen"

Met andere woorden: als we niets zouden doen, dan was er geen enkel model dat nog een verbetering verwachtte van de situatie.
De signaal waardes zijn buiten beeld gekomen omdat dat de input (de cijfers nieuwe gevallen / ziekenhuis) nu weer omhoog gaan, zoals Jaap Van Dissel (werkzaam bij het @rivm) laat zien op deze slides.
Met plaatjes van de @NOS die zijn gemaakt op basis van de data van het @rivm.
Read 23 tweets
15 Dec
🧵Het grote: Had-de-regering-deze-lockdown-vorige-week-niet-zien-aankomen-? draadje 🧵

@Nieuwsuur stelde deze vraag ook aan @hugodejonge.

Hugo zei dat, in tegenstelling tot vorige week dinsdag, we nu een stijging zien.

Maar, die stijging zagen we >>>

>>> afgelopen dinsdag toch ook al?

Jup!

Op de dinsdag zagen we onderstaande info, alle zwarte lijntjes gingen omhoog.
- nieuwe gevallen (hele grote stijging)
- kliniek
- IC
- de R
Maar waarom sprak De Jonge👟dan over over gelijk blijven?

Omdat het OMT dat zei!

En waarom zei het OMT dat?

Daarvoor moeten we terug in te tijd... 4 dagen eerder. Naar vrijdag 4 december toen het OMT bij elkaar kwam.
Read 6 tweets

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