Day 300, The Hospitals-are-full-(again) edition

Patients currently in the hospital:
(difference with yesterday)

🔴2.289 (127)

🔴Clinic: 1.703 (127)
🟡ICU: 586 (0)

Newly hospitalized:
🔴392 (150)

🔴Clinic: 359 (154)
🟢ICU: 33 (-4)

In 🇩🇪:
2

#corona #stayhome
New reported cases:

+9.872 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟢 that is 1.327 less ⬇ than yesterday.
🔴 that is 3.219 more ↗ than a week ago.

🔴 --> growth factor: 41% week on week.
🔴 --> doubling: every 14.1 days.
New reported deaths:

+116 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🔴 that is 85 more ↗ than yesterday.
🔴 that is 30 more ↗ than a week ago.

🔴 --> growth factor: 19% week on week.
🔴 --> doubling: every 28.5 days.
Ages and age distribution of the reported cases.
New reported hospitalisations:

+87 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🔴 that is 11 more ↗ than yesterday.
🔴 that is 22 more ↗ than a week ago.

🔴 --> growth factor: 21% week on week.
🔴 --> doubling: every 25.3 days.
Verpleeghuizen
Growth Factor week-on-week:

🔴 cases: 41.2 %
🔴 hospitalizations (RIVM): 21.1 %
🔴 deaths: 18.6 %

Growth Factor day-on-day (7-day moving average):
🔴 cases: 4.1 %

Growth Factor day-on-day:
🟢 cases: -11.8 %
Days since press conference:

[95] - Bar closes an hour early

[85] - We want R=0,9

[70] - semi-lockdown

[49] - stricter semi-lockdown

[35] - end of stricter semi-lockdown

[2020-12-14] - lockdown
1) Provinces
2) Cases: added today / correctd today.
3) Cases: compared to yesterday | Mondays
1) New cases in the 16 big cities
2) New cases in the provinces
3) Routekaart
4) Weekly totals
The Will-this-week-overtake-last-week-? graph

• • •

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More from @YorickB

23 Dec
🧵Het grote: Dit-draadje-is-niet-leuk-dus-lees-het-niet-! draadje🧵

Dit draadje gaat namelijk over het grootste superspreader event van het jaar.
Én de doden die erop volgen.

We moeten het hebben over de kerst🎄en de kerstdoden: besmet tijdens kerst, dood in het nieuwe jaar Image
De @MinPres geeft al aan: "Er zijn veel coronabesmettingen in Nederland." Dit klopt. Er *zijn* veel besmettingen.

Dan de vraag: "hoe kun je verspreiding voorkomen"?
Dan komt er een plaatje....  *zucht*

Het antwoord is natuurlijk: niet bij elkaar komen!

Waarom helemaal niet bij elkaar komen?

Nou, zoals @MinPres al zei: "Er zijn veel coronabesmettingen in Nederland."

Hoeveel besmettingen?
@DieTukkerfries laat zien dat er gemeenten zijn waar meer dan 1% van de bevolking besmet was afgelopen week.

1% (!)

Read 12 tweets
23 Dec
🧵Mutatie virus: OMT advies en maatregelen🧵

Brief regering en OMT adviezen.

Documenten daar --> tweedekamer.nl/kamerstukken/b…
Eerst het OMT advies.

Het OM T constateert dat er nog steeds een reële stijging is van het aantal mensen dat besmet raakt. Image
Als we niets zouden doen, zou het aantal IC opnames stijgen.

Echter door de lockdown verwachten de modellen dat dit weer zal dalen.

Wanneer precies? Dat is héél onzeker.
Steker nog. Het is een stapeling van onzekerheden. Image
Read 12 tweets
22 Dec
🧵RIVM weekupdate🧵

Aantal testen is toegenomen. Echter, het percentage positief steeg ook naar 13.6%. --> minder zicht op verspreiding.
BCO is lekker bezig. Voor het eerst sinds tijden heeft de GGD bij méér dan 50% van de gevallen een setting gevonden.
De R voor 5 december was 1,25.

Flink hoger dan de gehoopte: 0,75-0,99.
Read 7 tweets
22 Dec
🧵De dag die je wist dat zou komen is eindelijk hier:🧵

Ernst Kuipers laat weten dat de ziekenhuizen stoppen met het geven van "reguliere klinische non-COVID zorg".
De beddenbaas verwacht dat de piek pas zal worden bereikt in de eerst week van januari.
De ziekenhuizen kunnen nu 1.350 IC patienten aan, maar houden rekening naar opschaling1.450 bedden.
Read 13 tweets
21 Dec
Day 299, The darkest-day edition

Patients currently in the hospital:
(difference with yesterday)

🔴2.162 (49)

🔴Clinic: 1.576 (43)
🔴ICU: 586 (6)

Newly hospitalized:
🟢242 (-12)

🟢Clinic: 205 (-13)
🔴ICU: 37 (1)

In 🇩🇪:
2 (+2)

#corona #stayhome
New reported cases:

+11.212 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟢 that is 1.834 less ⬇ than yesterday.
🔴 that is 2.738 more ↗ than a week ago.

🔴 --> growth factor: 37% week on week.
🔴 --> doubling: every 15.4 days.
New reported deaths:

+31 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟢 that is 1 less ⬇ than yesterday.
🟢 that is 4 less ⬇ than a week ago.

🔴 --> growth factor: 16% week on week.
🔴 --> doubling: every 32.8 days.
Read 9 tweets
20 Dec
Day 298, The winter-is-coming-(tomorrow) edition

Patients currently in the hospital:
(difference with yesterday)

🔴2.113 (48)

🔴Clinic: 1.533 (28)
🔴ICU: 580 (20)

Newly hospitalized:
🟢254 (-81)

🟢Clinic: 218 (-72)
🟢ICU: 36 (-9)

#corona #stayhome ImageImageImageImage
New reported cases:

+13.066 today. (New daily record⚠)

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🔴 that is 798 more ↗ than yesterday.
🔴 that is 3.174 more ↗ than a week ago.

🔴 --> growth factor: 35% week on week.
🔴 --> doubling: every 16 days. ImageImageImageImage
New reported deaths:

+32 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟢 that is 24 less ⬇ than yesterday.
🔴 that is 3 more ↗ than a week ago.

🔴 --> growth factor: 22% week on week.
🔴 --> doubling: every 24.3 days. ImageImageImage
Read 9 tweets

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