La 4ª ronda del serológico ha pasado por los medios con dos titulares infantiles.
En España hay un 10% de anticuerpos QUE NO ES SUFICIENTE PARA LA INMUNIDAD DE GRUPO.

El análisis de los datos cuenta muchas historias interesantes. Vamos a ver algunas.
Aquellos que reconocían usar SIEMPRE la mascarilla se han infectado un 25% de los que confesaban no usarla NUNCA. 3,8% de usuarios fieles de mascarilla contra sólo un 3% de los Irresponsables Negacionistas culpables de la expansión del virus.

Llevar mascarilla AUMENTA el riesgo Image
Cómo sabíamos por el análisis de los datos laterales, las hospitalizaciones eran un artefacto humano.
El 87% de los ingresos POR covid de menos de una semana NUNCA lo tuvieron.
El 56% de los de más de 1 semana, tampoco, ni el 53% de los que contamos como UCI. Image
Las PCR no sólo arrojan muchas infecciones antiguas, por su alto Ct, también un número enorme de falsos positivos. No menos de un tercio y hasta el 50% de lo que estamos computando, NO es CV, por lo que nunca desarrolla IgG específico. Image
Eso sitúa la incidencia acumulada real más cerca de 100 que de los 214 que nos venden.

La presión sobre las UCIs, una vez corregida con esos falsos positivos baja del 20% a menos del 10%.

Y todo ello procede del informe oficial.
Nada de ello saldrá en la prensa o lo anunciará un político, la obsesión sigue siendo aterrorizar a la población con la ÚNICA esperanza de la vacunación masiva y el control completo de las vidas.

La ciencia real cuenta una historia MUY DISTINTA.
Es normal la ocultación en la infantil simplificación de todo el informe en "inmunidad de grupo=caca", puesto que como los trabajos de @SunetraGupta o @mgmgomes1 demuestran, los umbrales de inmunidad de grupo necesarios son mucho más bajos, debido a la heterogeneidad.
La mentira triunfa hoy, cabalgando el miedo. De ninguna manera podemos admitir que permanezca como hecho científico.

Una futura amenaza real no puede encontrar a la humanidad creyendo en los peligrosos mitos anticiéntificos del Covid.

Necesitamos recuperar la ciencia. Ahora.

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More from @plaforscience

30 Dec
I'm surprised about the persistence of two covid myths:

We know very little on CV.
There's a scientifical consensus.

Well, 84K papers in the issue deny both of them.

We know A HUGE DAMN LOT, about this virus; and there are MANY interpretations on it.

biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
There's NOT such a thing as a consensus ,but a very complex net of fractional insights. We only see aired the few undisputable supporting the fear narrative, even its quality is null, as Imperial College stuff.

They always come at appropriate political moment, and are models.
In the other hand there's a cloud of side studies, never as spectacular as the previous, but strongly scientifical; usually analysis rather than modelling; that points consistently AGAINST the exceptionality of this virus and the horrible mistake and disproportion of restrictions
Read 4 tweets
20 Dec
The 4th round of Spain's big serologic survey has been aired in the expected childish commercial way: ONLY 10% infected, not enough for herd Immunity.

It is INDEED much more to analyse there, but it's not very supportive for fear narrative.

Let's check.

portalcne.isciii.es/enecovid19/inf…
As this round has been made under masks mandatory, we can check how many of the participants were infected, under declared different masks usage: never, sometimes, always

The group with LESS infections was those NEVER using a mask, 3% Vs 3.8% ALWAYS users.

Masks are NOT working
You have 25% MORE chance of getting infected always using a mask than never using it.

Those partially accomplishing show similar, slightly higher, to mask wearers, 3,9% infections.

PROVED way to minimize risk: never using a mask.

But they're full mandatory, where's science?!
Read 14 tweets
17 Dec
Spain's gov will collect data of those vaccinated AND those refusing vax and the reasons why.

This is the dangerous and certain road for punish the dissident, and it's definitely off borders on civil rights.

Covid seems to have killed them too.

niusdiario.es/sociedad/sanid…
As the absurd number (~65%) in the HI myth is way over those willing to vax (only 25% enthusiasts), they will need to force people to. Doing it directly is unconstitutional, thus ugly blackmail and threaten appears plausible, in the shape of restrictions for the 'negationists'.
There's the mood for bannings on those refusing Vax, like no access to public transport, lose of economic public aids, maintaining masks as a terrible mark of the infectious...

We've seen a lot of rights destroyed, but this would be a dangerous rule change.

We CAN'T accept it
Read 5 tweets
24 Nov
Herd Immunity is so BADLY understood, and subject of innumerable lies, misinformation and myths.

There's CONSTANT hammering on simple ideas from fear propaganda. Main lie is we haven't reach HI, we're far away from it, as we need a 60-70%

Let's bring some scientifical light.
HI is considered a binary issue, you have it or not. That's BLATANTLY a lie.

With EVERY SINGLE infection, HI grows&provides some degree of common protection, as any infected will die or, over 99%, survive.

Both ways he gets out of any transmission chain.
It will slow any epidemic transmission & make the Rt descend

Proportional to HI growth, spread ALSO slows

Even in the SO WRONG 70% theory, 5% diffusion will slow spread, bigger ones like 15 or 20 will SERIOUSLY affect it

The NON exponential growth, but Gompertz, reflects this
Read 9 tweets
22 Nov
Italy's life expectancy is 83 years, covid deaths average there is 82.
98% of them have 1 or more comorbilities

So, this epidemic is killing ONLY those very weak about to die

The myth of CV killing anyone is more than over. We MUST settle this truth before consider ANY policy ImageImage
The restrictions we're applying are WEAKENING those vulnerable Isolation is proven a weaker for the oldies, it causes suffer, stress and life expectancy loss in the older, as all the good pre covid science knows

Living stressing situations alone, is worsening old people's health
Restrictions are ALSO worsening the rest of population health thru brutal health care access, intolerable levels of fear and stress and general poverty.

Education loss, preventive medicine and misery have a huge cost on lifes expectancy for them all.
Read 5 tweets
18 Nov
Denmark masks study is finally out!

The result again, is a blown in the restrictions' face.

Only 0,3% less infections in the masked than in control group.

Masks didn't avoid infections significantly, and both gross present very similar SMALL numbers.

acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M2…
Being numbers of infected so small and similar (42vs53) the confidence margin lead to a cloud of possibilities in which the most probable is NO DIFFERENCE at all.
Statistical extremes are masks being ~40% effective OR even ~20% perjuditial.

Masks aren't saving humanity.
We all have seen this crappy pure fictional graphs as science. They never were

Now we've the truth

The BEST, even so unlikely, mask benefit is only ~40%.

But the most likely, as science knew, is that NO DIFFERENCE shows. They're useless.

&what if they're WORSE?!
Read 6 tweets

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