The big fiscal news is that the nation will not make the colossal error of letting stimulus lapse. That would have been hugely risky and ill advised.

But the set of compromises reached and not reached are-- in important respects--bizarre and unfortunate. This does not bode well
The lack of support for state and local government will mean hundreds of thousands more without work, more crime, more fires, and more kids falling behind. The business liability issue is in comparison a triviality that should have been compromised.
The business meals deduction that has been put back in may be the dumbest tax provision enacted in the last decade which, given the 2017 Act, is a strong statement. It make even the break for carried interest look good.
I cannot fathom the logic of allowing businesses to deduct costs that were paid for by refunded PPP loans. Am I missing something?
Except by invoking the idea that politicians like handing out universal gifts, I cannot see the logic of giving 10s of millions of families where the adults are fully employed and the big problem is that they can’t because of Covid go out and spend checks for $2000.
Much better to do more for the perhaps 20 percent of earners whose earning power has been way disrupted by Covid.
I hope that there will be more control of the business welfare aspects of PPP than the first time round.
Any dollar that can be spent on vaccinating, testing and bribing those who may be infected to stay home has payoffs of 10 to 1 or more and should be the biggest priority.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Lawrence H. Summers

Lawrence H. Summers Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @LHSummers

22 Dec
I spoke via Zoom last night at the Beijing Forum 2020: COVID-19 Shock to Global Health and Development.
I retold the story of Reagan and Gorbachev and their private walk around Lake Geneva in 1985. As the story is told, Reagan asks Gorbachev if he would come to the defense of the USA upon the invasion of aliens from outer space and Gorbachev says, “Yes, of course.”
Gorbachev asks the same of Reagan and gets the same response. The two leaders then agree to collaborate in defense of all of humanity.
Read 17 tweets
14 Dec
The U.S. is in danger of losing its dominant leadership position in global financial services, writes Henry M. Paulson Jr. wsj.com/articles/china… via @WSJ
1/ Budget deficit reduction is not a priority issue for the next few years given secular stagnation as @jasonfurman and I explain (brookings.edu/events/fiscal-… ). Nor are there strong reasons to worry about budget sustainability.
2/ Other deficits—with respect to infrastructure, investment in children, and innovation—pose much greater threats to our children and our national security than money borrowed for decades at rates close to 1 percent in a currency we print ourselves.
Read 5 tweets
30 Nov
1/ In Tax Notes today, former IRS Commissioner Charles Rossotti, @NatashaRSarin and I outline how the next Admin can collect more than $1 trillion in a highly progressive way:
Making people pay the taxes that they already owe.
taxnotes.com/featured-analy…
2/We've previously written independently on the need for a robust attack on the tax gap.

Here, we come together to lay out a roadmap for change, calling for more audits, tech improvements & third party reporting that will help IRS collect taxes due but unpaid, disprop by the $$$
3/ Our program would raise enough to fund important policy initiatives that will help those who need it most:
Could more than double the EITC or SNAP; or fund universal pre-K and paid leave programs.
Read 8 tweets
30 Nov
Following the great appointment of Janet Yellen, the Biden Administration is assembling a super economic team. This group will be laser focused on middle class prosperity, inequality and discrimination and addressing climate change. They will make a big difference for America.
I have known Ceci Rouse since she was student of mine @Harvard in 80s. She is a deeply serious researcher in the economics of education & inequality. She stood out in the Obama Admin & has been a great Dean. Her integrity will be a big asset for the CEA, Pres Biden & our country.
My friend @neeratanden is a force of nature. Her strength as a communicator is exceeded only by the strength of her convictions. No one works harder, with more of a sense of purpose. She will bring new thinking about government budgeting to the OMB that this moment demands.
Read 5 tweets
20 Nov
1/During a financial crisis, ⁦@USTreasury⁩ Sec Paulson understood in transition it was his job to help the Fed and the incoming Admin establish a basis for strong, cooperative efforts to contain the crisis. Sec.Mnuchin has done just the opposite. wsj.com/articles/mnuch…
2/In these complex times, there is room for debate on what types of government intervention in credit markets are appropriate.

There's not much room for debate on the merits of maintaining stanbdy capacities.
3/ We cannot predict when or if a panicky cascade will happen in credit markets. Aftershocks after financial crises (and earthquakes) are not uncommon. Removing a capacity to respond as @stevenmnuchin1 has sought to do is wrong.
Read 4 tweets
18 Oct
Told @FareedZakaria on GPS @CNN, America’s failure on COVID-19 is almost unimaginable. Heck, if the U.S. had handled the pandemic as well as Pakistan, we would have saved in neighborhood of $10 trillion.
The costs of an expanded testing system are trivial compared to the costs of tens of thousands of early deaths. Expanding testing should be a matter of utmost urgency.
Interest rates are essentially zero, telling us that the funds are available and won’t crowd out anything important. Instead it will push economy forward. All the dangers are on spending too little, not too much.
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!