Oh, look: The federal environment department says that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's new carbon tax combined with his looming clean fuel standard will disproportionately hit low-income earners, the middle class, seniors, single moms and contribute to energy poverty.
'It is expected increases in transportation fuel & home heating expenses would disproportionately impact lower and middle-income households, those living in single detached households ... those without control over the energy efficiency of their dwellings that use heating oil ...
" ... as well as households currently experiencing energy poverty or those likely to experience energy poverty in the future ... single mothers are more likely to live in lower-income households, and may be more vulnerable to energy poverty ... "
"Seniors living on fixed incomes may also face higher transportation and heating costs resulting from the proposed Regulations. This may be most acute for seniors living in the Atlantic provinces ..."
"It is possible that there could be other socio-economic groups that may have disproportionately lower income, may be at an increased vulnerability to energy poverty, or may be adversely affected by the proposed Regulations."
"However, these groups may not be fully captured in this analysis due to lack of data availability, scarcity of research, or under-representation in available studies (such as the LGBTQ2+ community)."
Hat tip to @hollyanndoan @mindingottawa which broke the story here: Fifty Cents More For Gasoline blacklocks.ca/50%C2%A2-more-…
The full Trudeau government document can be found here: gazette.gc.ca/rp-pr/p1/2020/…
"Job opportunities in the oil and gas, or freight transport sectors are expected to be negatively impacted given that the proposed Regulations would increase production costs for these sectors and would decrease demand for fossil fuel products."
"Canada’s oil refining sector as an example, employs a high proportion of middle-aged men compared to the average working-age population, this group may face an increased risk of job scarcity due to the proposed Regulations."
"When searching for new employment, older workers in Canada (especially those aged between 55 and 64) face unique barriers including ageism; lack of education and access to training; difficulty finding and applying to jobs; health issues ... and lack of workplace accommodations."
"Facilities within rural communities may also be adversely impacted. Rural facilities often contribute to rural economies by providing high-paying salaries, municipal tax proceeds, and infrastructure investments. "
"As such, reductions in industrial activity, salaries, and jobs could potentially negatively affect economic activity and population retention in rural communities."
Does this mean Trudeau's carbon tax won't actually make the majority of people living in Ontario, Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba richer because of carbon tax rebates?

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More from @sunlorrie

20 Dec
I don't agree it's this bad but the idea 80% of households gets more in federal carbon tax rebates than they pay out in carbon taxes needs a reality check for several reasons: See below:
1) The claim depends on information the public doesn't have easy access to.
(2) It's based on formulas not easily understood
(3) The gov't emphasizes direct carbon taxes on gas & natural gas but de-emphasizes indirect costs passed on by businesses to the public.
(4) Large families and rural residents pay higher carbon taxes than smaller, urban ones, regardless of income.
(5) It may be true most households get more in rebates than they pay in taxes -- the credible Parliamentary budget officer says that's the case. But 80%? I'm skeptical.
Read 4 tweets
19 Dec
Why are people sending me outdated reports about the BC government's carbon tax by third parties? I'm using the actual data from the BC government.
Once again:
'The Climate Action Secretariat prepares and publishes the Provincial Inventory annually, with up to a two-year delay to allow time to assemble the information. The 1990-2018 Provincial Inventory was published in August 2020.'
'In 2018, BC's gross greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, as reported in the Provincial Inventory, were 67.9 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCO2e). This is an increase of 4.5 MtCO2e (7%) from 63.4 MtCO2e in 2007, the baseline year for our emission reduction targets.'
Read 6 tweets
19 Dec
You're the 2nd person who has cited this study. It's from 2015 which means it's based on data before that. My #s come from 2020 from the BC govtt itself based on its latest available data from 2018. (see below). Also, B.C. already has the highest carbon tax in Canada.
'In 2018, BC's gross greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, as reported in the Provincial Inventory, were 67.9 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCO2e). This is an increase of 4.5 MtCO2e (7%) from 63.4 MtCO2e in 2007, the baseline year for our emission reduction targets.'
'Net emissions in 2018, after including 1.0 MtCO2e in offsets from forest management projects not covered in the inventory, were 66.9 MtCO2e. This is an increase of 3.5 MtCO2e (6%) from 2007.'
Read 4 tweets
18 Dec
Ford government mulling COVID-19 lockdown in southern Ontario starting Boxing Day, sources say cbc.ca/news/canada/to… #onpoli
Multiple sources in and outside government who are aware of the proposal for southern Ontario say that the lockdown plan is similar to what will take effect in Quebec after Christmas Day. The plan is to be put to a meeting of Ford's cabinet Friday afternoon.
Quebec is closing all non-essential businesses and issuing a mandatory work-from-home order for nearly all office employees until Jan. 11 and asking all schools to go online-only for the first week that classes resume in the new year.
Read 5 tweets
28 Sep
Okay, it's not as simple as saying Trump paid $750 in taxes in 2016 and 2017. From the New York Times story:
'Mr. Trump paid alternative minimum tax in seven years between 2000 and 2017 — a total of $24.3 million, excluding refunds he received after filing.'
'For 2015, he paid $641,931, his first payment of any federal income tax since 2010.
His potential taxable income income in 2016 and 2017 included $24.8 million in profits from sources related to his celebrity status and $56.4 million for the loans he did not repay.'
'Each time, he requested an extension to file his 1040; and each time, he made the required payment to the I.R.S. for income taxes he might owe — $1 million for 2016 and $4.2 million for 2017.'
Read 7 tweets
28 Sep
Excellent site on history of US Presidents and tax returns with two key statements:
taxnotes.com/presidential-t…
(1) Individual income tax returns - including those of public figures and U.S. presidents - are private information, protected by law from unauthorized disclosure. The IRS is barred from releasing any taxpayer information whatsoever, except to authorized agencies and individuals.
(2) While Trump may be unwilling to release presidential tax returns currently under audit, that’s a prudential decision, not a legal one. There’s no legal bar to releasing returns that are under examination.
Read 4 tweets

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