Based on the new population projections released by Census Bureau today, New York would lose two congressional districts rather than one - but we will have to see how numbers from a very unusual census bear out. #fairmaps #2020Census
Based on today’s estimates, CA, IL, MI, MN, OH, PA, RI, WV all would lose a congressional seat (in line with what has been expected for some time).

AL would keep its current seven seats, but just barely (6210 fewer people and it would lose a seat). #fairmaps
AZ, CO, MT (just barely), NC, OR, would all gain a congressional seat. Florida would gain two and Texas would gain three. #fairmaps
All of the gains in congressional seats are what has been expected for some time.

But again, it will all come down to the census - Texas gets its third seat with a 163k person margin. Florida gets its second with a 121k margin. #fairmaps
Large undercounts in the census - and Texas spent $0 on census outreach - could impact. #fairmaps

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More from @mcpli

23 Dec
Aside: I think it is interesting that of Joe Biden’s Asian appointees to his administration noticeably very few have been of East Asian descent compared to those of South Asian descent.
Not quite sure why that is. My sense is it is not so much bias (though perhaps a bit) as opposed to the greater tendency of people South Asian descent to get the law, economic & policy degrees - and to take the type of gateway jobs - that lend themselves to administration jobs.
Or perhaps it is a greater willingness of people of South Asian descent to be involved in the messiness of politics, including all the networking and intra-party stuff.
Read 5 tweets
22 Dec
Well, I will spot her this one - Robert E. Lee probably did feel more patriotic sentiment about America than does the country of China
Though I will point out that everyday Chinese people have long had a fascination with the United States, dating back to the gold rush, that continues today.
To wit: the 90 something father of a friend of mine who has become a NBA fanatic (to the point of immersed in trades and the draft). Or the fact Taylor Swift is one top selling artists of all time in China.
Read 4 tweets
30 Nov
Time for oral argument in the case challenging the Trump administration’s attempt to exclude undocumented immigrants from the apportionment base. #2020Census
Roberts starts off by noting that SCOTUS expedited the case based on the understanding that a decision was needed by 12/31 to enable the Census Bureau to meet statutory deadlines. Asks if that deadline is still operative. #2020Census
Acting SG Jeffrey Wall says the Census Bureau is not on track to meet 12/31 deadline because of delays but holds out the possibility that some data might be available in January (i.e., before Biden takes office). #2020Census
Read 21 tweets
28 Nov
Barack Obama talks about the “idea of America” in his book and about not being ready to give up on it - and about the need of the world for the idea. I’ve been thinking about that. 1/
I don’t think there is any question that the United States has played an outsized role over the last 200+ years - from the very outset of the Republic, it has been an inspiration for the idea of self government (even if that idea was never perfectly realized). 2/
But ultimately the question it seems to me isn’t whether “idea of America” survives. 3/
Read 9 tweets
17 Nov
A few years back when I read Christopher Hedges’ “War is a Force that Gives Us Meaning” - which is about the war spirit that envelops and takes over societies in a war - I immediately thought of politics, where something similar happens. 1/
Most anyone who has worked on a campaign has at some point experienced a version of this - where you come to believe that your opponent is capable of anything. Stealing yard signs, violating norms, etc. 2/
Worse, in that war-like moment, it’s easy to get lulled into conspiracy theories. And it’s easy to get pulled into really hating the other side. 3/
Read 6 tweets
8 Nov
Having watched a fair amount of political coverage this cycle, one thing that stands out is how few Latino commentators & analysts there were (ditto Asians - but the Latino absence is particularly notable). 1/
To be sure, there were occasional Latino/-a operatives or activists on as guests. But not many - and mostly from Florida.

And really no regular analysts or commentators or reporters with deep experience with the Latino community or issues. 2/
Given the increased diversity of the country, it seems like a huge miss and blind spot - and something to do better on for 2024 because the country is only going to get more diverse. Increased diversity, in fact, is one of the giant stories of this decade. 3/
Read 6 tweets

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