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Partisan gerrymandering returns to SCOTUS today as the North Carolina legislative defendants are due to file their jurisdiction statement asking the Justices to hear the case. We’ll post it here 👇when it is available: brennancenter.org/legal-work/com… #fairmaps #ncpol 1/
The NC legislative defendants are asking SCOTUS to overturn the ruling of a three-judge panel striking down North Carolina’s congressional map as a partisan gerrymander. That ruling here: brennancenter.org/sites/default/… #fairmaps #ncpol 2/
What ordinarily happens next under the Supreme Court rules is that the plaintiffs have 30 days (until Nov 1) file a motion asking SCOTUS to decide the case without oral argument. The plaintiffs could waive the right to file such a motion, but that’s rare. #fairmaps #ncpol 3/
Read 12 tweets
BREAKING: Federal court rules that plaintiffs in North Carolina partisan gerrymandering case have standing to pursue claims (with one exception) and affirms earlier ruling that congressional map is unconstitutional. brennancenter.org/sites/default/… #fairmaps 1/
Decision is 2-1, with Judge Osteen dissenting. Majority opinion runs to 294 pages. #fairmaps 2/
Court says it has not yet decided whether to give the North Carolina legislature the opportunity to attempt to redraw congressional map, but says that if the NC lege wants to redraw map it needs to finish process by 9/17 at 5 p.m. #fairmaps 3/
Read 28 tweets
So here’s one way to think of the differences over what it would take for Democrats to win a majority in 2018.

Imagine that there is a 10.6 foot wall. Democrats somehow need to get over that wall to get a majority. #fairmaps 1/
Now, one way to do so would be to build a 10.6 foot ladder - or better yet an 11 foot one because a bit of extra is helpful in these things. #fairmaps 2/
But some think, we’ll, maybe you won’t need a 10.6 foot ladder because it’s been raining a lot and I think there are probably going to be some mudslides that push up against the wall. Ds may only need a 7-8 foot ladder. #fairmaps 3/
Read 9 tweets
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Democrats could win a majority in the U.S. House this November, but thanks to gerrymandering, doing so would require a near unprecedented win in the national vote. @lauraroyden and I explain in today's NYT: nytimes.com/2018/03/25/opi… #fairmaps 1/
For more detail, here's the study that @lauraroyden, @yurijrudensky, and I wrote looking at the impact of extreme gerrymandering on the 2018 midterm. #fairmaps 2/
We find that to be favored to win back a majority, Democrats would need to win the national vote by nearly 11 points (i.e., 55.5% to 45.5%). That would be a larger margin than either the 2006 D wave or the 2010 R wave. #fairmaps 3/
Read 18 tweets
BREAKING: SCOTUS partially stays new North Carolina legislative maps. Thomas & Alito would have stayed in entirety. Ginsburg & Sotomayor would denied stay in entirety. #ncpol #fairmaps 1/
Stay by SCOTUS is as to special master's revision of state house districts in Wake & Mecklenburg counties. #ncpol #fairmaps 2/
The issue in Wake & Mecklenburg counties was that the NC legislature altered districts that were not found to be racial gerrymanders or that abutted districts that were racial gerrymanders. #ncpol #fairmaps 3/
Read 9 tweets
This week will be a momentous one on the redistricting front - with action in legal challenges to two of the worst congressional maps of the decade: Pennsylvania & North Carolina. #fairmaps 1/
In PA, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court will hear oral arguments on 1/17 in a challenge seeking to have the state's congressional map invalidated as a partisan gerrymander under state law. #fairmaps 2/ brennancenter.org/legal-work/lea…
Although several other ongoing cases in federal court challenging various maps under federal law, the Pennsylvania case is the first major case to raise a challenge under state constitutional law - which makes it worth watching for several reasons. #fairmaps 3/
Read 14 tweets
BREAKING: North Carolina congressional map struck down as partisan gerrymander. #fairmaps
Map struck down was North Carolina’s second congressional map of the decade. First was invalidated as racial gerrymander. Lege redrew but required new map to maintain 10-3 GOP advantage. #fairmaps 2/
Here's the court's (200+ page) opinion striking down the North Carolina congressional map. brennancenter.org/sites/default/… #fairmaps 3/
Read 10 tweets
Here's Justice Breyer's four-part manageable partisan gerrymandering test from today. Part 1: Is there single-party control? #fairmaps
Part 2: Is there partisan asymmetry? #fairmaps
Part 3: Is the asymmetry durable and an outlier among maps? #fairmaps
Read 4 tweets
A4: No, no, no, no. In a word: NO. The “Big Sort” does not explain pro-GOP maps. 1/ #fairmaps
Want more proof? Consider North Carolina. NC didn’t have biased maps until 2011. brennancenter.org/analysis/curio… 3/ #fairmaps
Read 11 tweets
A1: Short answer - Gerrymandering is manipulation of legislative & congressional district boundaries for political gain. But 1/ #fairmaps
It’s more complicated than that because gerrymandering, like cancer, is a broad term. 2/ #fairmaps
Just as you have different kinds of cancer (liver, brain, skin, etc) so you have different kinds of gerrymanders. 3/ #fairmaps
Read 25 tweets
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