Learning Market history & correlations/lessons within is important for long-term success.

Nice article with historical perspective of US Mkts (from 1970s) & some long-term lessons. (Ignore the promotional parts by the author).

@saxena_puru @Gautam__Baid

markskousen.com/seven-golden-l…
LESSON #1: Government policy can greatly affect your investment portfolio, for good or ill.

LESSON #2: Bull markets climb a wall of worry.

LESSON #3: Don’t fight the Fed. Adjust your portfolio when money is tight, and again when money is easy.
LESSON #4: Gold is money and the best insurance against an inflationary future and bad government policy, but don’t go overboard buying gold. (Not for everyone, but the author mentions that it should be done only as insurance. I guess Bitcoin is the proxy for it these days).
LESSON #5: Don’t be tempted into blindly turning your hard-earned money over to a money manager, or any one mutual fund. Diversify. Investigate before you invest.
LESSON #6: Invest in good Co.'s for the long run & take advantage of bear markets to buy. Don’t panic. The key to investment success is time, not timing.

LESSON #7: Investing in quality income & growth stocks offers the safest way to make money in the stock mkt in the long run.
Some good pts.

- There is a natural tendency under free enterprise for companies to expand and pay more dividends. But there’s nothing automatic about it. In order for the markets to flourish, government policy must “do no harm.”
- Wall Street dislikes tight money, when the Fed takes away the punch bowl. But Wall Street hates inflation even more, so occasional tight money policies are worth the price, despite political opposition.
- Being an entrepreneur is not for everyone. If you are not suited for creating your own business, the next best thing is to invest in other successful businesses. And that’s done through the stock market. Invest in good businesses that can’t help but grow over time.

/END.

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More from @RamBhupatiraju

25 Dec
Investing in its purest sense (Analysis of Intrinsic value, buying with Margin of Safety) has been out of fashion recently, but here's an excellent resource for anyone interested in learning the core concepts.
h/t @Vintage_Value👏

@dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid

vintagevalueinvesting.com/wp-content/upl… Image
Content ⬇️

✔️Main Concepts of Value Investing

✔️Famous Value Investors (Graham, Buffett, Schloss, Klarman, Marks, Burry...)

✔️How to value a Stock

✔️Qualities of Great Companies (Enduring, High ROIC, Economic Moats)

✔️Behavioral Finance

✔️Recommended Reading.
Core concept Image
Read 8 tweets
23 Dec
On Seeking Alpha, "Integrator" (not sure about Twitter presence) is one of my favorite authors along with
@FromValue
@andrescardenal
@EconomyApp
Bert Hochfeld
👏👏

Few of my fav articles of his.

1⃣ The 5 Elements That Make For An Outstanding Business

seekingalpha.com/article/435687…
2⃣ On Lessons from Buffett.

-Seek Economic Moats in any investment
-Having an awareness of your circle of competence
-Investing for the ultra long term
-Take advantage of a bargain hiding in plain sight
-Preservation of Capital, Above all

seekingalpha.com/article/436733…
3⃣ 5 Common Mistakes In Evaluating High-Growth Companies

-It has already gone up so much.
-Fearing short interest
-Fearing future Competition
-Fearing stock dilution due to secondary offerings
-Fearing current losses

seekingalpha.com/article/437064…
Read 10 tweets
22 Dec
Two phenomenal articles by @mastersinvest on "Fighting the Fade". 👏

cc: @Gautam__Baid @dmuthuk

1) On limitations of traditional DCF & other analysis (that assume low terminal growth & mean-reverting) when it comes to exceptionally durable businesses.

mastersinvest.com/newblog/2020/1…
2) Reasons for the fade (of weak/mediocre businesses) and some characteristics of extremely durable and long-term compounding machines.

mastersinvest.com/newblog/2020/1…
My fav points from Part1. 👇
Read 7 tweets
21 Dec
Excellent in-depth article on the topic of "Capital Allocation".

Very useful stuff for individual investors also in judging the Management quality.

icgn.org/capital-alloca…
Good overview. ⬇️ Image
Investor perspective ⬇️ ImageImage
Read 9 tweets
20 Dec
Thanks Irnest. My investing philosophy is that we need to start with good first principles/frameworks like the ones in that document, but then adapt it to the current Business/Market environment.

Few random thoughts on this in the thread below.
-Valuing CO's that are going for growth instead of Profitability when there's lot of opportunity to be captured yet.

-Intended lack of Profitability (in many cases) causing over-valuation of (or negative) Earnings based metrics.
-Co's investing mainly thru Income statement (R&D, S&M) to grow and create value rather than Balance sheet (Hard Assets, CapEx)

-Importance of Intangibles and other metrics not captured by Accounting (Mgmt Quality, emerging Moat, Culture....)
Read 5 tweets
20 Dec
Pretty good and simple document on Research Methodology used by Davis Funds. 👏

✔️Characteristics of great businesses
✔️Evaluating Management
✔️Ideal way of valuing Businesses (Owner's Earnings) ✔️Selling discipline

cc: @Gautam__Baid @dmuthuk

davisetfs.com/documents/ETFR…
Good Flowchart.

Bottom-up analysis of Companies, while being aware of Top-down (Trends/Views) is extremely important these days.

davisetfs.com/about/investme…
Methodology. Many similarities with the frameworks of Buffett, Chuck Akre, Terry Smith etc..
Read 6 tweets

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