An interesting article from @jg_environ@michaelvandenb6 that says that it critiques arguments on climate policy advanced by me, Hulme, Sarewitz, Rayner
It is very confusing because it posits "critique" in the guise of enthusiastic agreement
On climate policy JG & MV assert "our preference for an incremental process of muddling through with polycentric governance" as somehow counter to my views, Hulmes, Hartwell etc.
Actually, this perspective is identical to my own, example from The Climate Fix below
And that of Hulme:
And, ironically enough, the notion of "polycentric governance" favored here was in fact imported into climate discussions from cultural anthropology by the late Steve Rayner 30 years ago
Indeed it seems we all end up in the same place: "The oblique strategies advocated by Hulme and Pielke are a promising response to this and other challenges, but these strategies require greater attention to the urgency inherent in superwicked problems"
JG & MV conclude:
Indeed:
Regardless these quibbles, I (& no doubt the participants in The Hartwell Paper 2010) appreciate the engagement by @jg_environ & @michaelvandenb6 with these ideas which are still kicking around in policy debates a decade later
🙏 /END
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1-Integrate science advice with other forms of advice
Me-Honestly, we would all be better off if we just started using the phrase "expert advice" rather than "science advice" (2021 goals!)
2- Gov't needs to better explain trade-offs
Me- This points clearly to the need for expert advisors to offer decision alternatives, with judgments of expected costs & benefits of alternative courses of action as well as the bases for those judgments, uncertainties, trade-offs.
Big role for direct air capture in the Omnibus Bill, including creation of a new Direct Air Capture Technology Advisory Board in DOE - apparently, it is coming rules.house.gov/sites/democrat…
Interesting
Act includes a prohibition on asking federal scientific advisors their political party affiliation or voting history
New paper finds risks of natural disasters going down (1970-2019) for both people and property (even as financial risks increase with more wealth) sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
It also has a nice one-paragraph summary of most recent IPCC conclusions on "natural hazards (not disasters)"
A nice addition to the magnum opus literature of mine published earlier this year:
2020 Atlantic hurricane season ends today
Here are updated CONUS normalized losses through 2020
2020 ranks 15th of 121 years
Based on @JessicaWeinkle et al nature.com/articles/s4189…