These are regularly scheduled flights and nothing should infer that their intent has changed, however past flights were used extensively in the Libyan civil war and as such will be worth noting should hostilities re-intensify.
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A good example of what an RAF Sentinel R.1 battlefield surveillance aircraft flight path would look like for maximum coverage as it cruised thru Jordanian airspace just south of the Syrian border at Angels 43.
Possible geolocation of Ukraine AF An-26 crash. Note billboard in center of 2x2 lane highway. This location is 1.25 km from the end of the airbase at Chuhuiv.
That prognosis of 90% is not good. Awful thing to happen.
For those of you who have wondered what ICAO spoofing is, or why it is getting so much attention lately, here is a short description of what is going on.
1st, the callsign: a plane tracker will know from experience which are frequently used. Many air traffic radio enthusiasts over time have compiled 100s of callsigns assigned to particular aircraft. In this instance, MOJO is often seen in the Persian Gulf by refuel tankers.
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Callsigns can be a clue that a transmitter is receiving a false interrogation of its Mode-S receiver. Mode-S is a 6 digit code, using A-F letters and 0-9 numbers. Countries are assigned 3 digit prefix codes for their planes. In this case, AE0 is a code used for US mil planes.
Thread. Helicopter or ISR plane spots for the Breona Taylor protests for Wed., Sept. 23rd, 2020.
Denver.
EVANS22 is a US Army UH-72A Lakota, reg. 10-72145, ICAO AE1FA0.
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A current look at all HH-60 helicopter variants showing with full reg. and ICAO on ADSBx across the US. Most of these are near large municipalities. Many others are not transponding openly like the one in the tweet above. Those that go dark I cannot (& will not) post about.