Assuming next week is more favorable to the GOP than current returns, our model suggests Perdue, as of right now, needs a ~63.5-36.5 statewide surge on election day...and the general was 61.2-38.8.
Not impossible! But it means they have a tougher task now than in November.
Not impossible! But it means they have a tougher task now than in November.
https://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1342181316742311937
So this means two things:
1) The GOP *definitely* has a path to victory still and if you don't believe it, you're reading too much into what you want to believe
2) The GOP is in a worse spot right now than they were in November, and they rely more on election day as a result.
1) The GOP *definitely* has a path to victory still and if you don't believe it, you're reading too much into what you want to believe
2) The GOP is in a worse spot right now than they were in November, and they rely more on election day as a result.
Reposted because I got one stat slightly wrong about the general in my last tweet that I wanted to correct
of course, thanks to @ADincgor for the stats and for the model work as usual.
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