Merry Christmas everyone! What better way to distract yourself these days than a long thread about the largely unnoticed establishment of a vast military production infrastructure in Myanmar!
While Myanmar has maintained some military production capabilities for along time, these have traditionally been rather limited. Only in the last two decades has this infrastructure been vastly expanded with the country now mustering at least 25 factories.
These facilities are surprisingly large and usually built in remote jungle areas of the country with on-site housing for workers. Maintained by the Directorate of Defence Industries, they are known by their Burmese acronym Ka Pa Sa and numbered.
Different sources were used for geolocation. A few sites have previously been discussed in the OSINT community. Some locations were mentioned in media reports involving land disputes, others were included in reports about Myanmar's national electricity grid.
This highly recommended article by Bertil Lintner also included several locations. So here we go... issuu.com/asia_pacific_m…
Ka Pa Sa 1. 16.838736° 96.149553°
Ka Pa Sa 2. 19.928915° 95.009777°
Ka Pa Sa 3. 18.789831° 95.196294°
Ka Pa Sa 5. 18.530709° 94.992593°
Ka Pa Sa 6 and 16 should be located in this broader area 18.687068° 94.985989°
Ka Pa Sa 8. 19.659741° 95.265244°
Potentially, the location of Ka Pa Sa 9. 18.618588° 94.974167°
The vast Ka Pa Sa 10 complex. 19.955830° 94.955285°
Potentially, the location of Ka Pa Sa 11. 17.326922° 96.059000°
Ka Pa Sa 12. 19.332532° 95.090041°
Ka Pa Sa 13. 19.792797° 95.085368°
Ka Pa Sa 14. This site has been alleged to be a North Korean-built missile factory. 19.988155° 94.444311° bbc.com/news/world-asi…
Ka Pa Sa 15. 19.382914° 95.426527°
Ka Pa Sa 17. 20.240501° 95.621074°
Ka Pa Sa 18.19.801689° 95.739490°
Ka Pa Sa 19. 19.070693° 95.639281°
Ka Pa Sa 20. 20.465197° 94.203017°
Ka Pa Sa 21, whose area stretches for almost 10km. 20.949352° 94.348304°
The vast Ka Pa Sa 22 facility. 21.199831° 94.544206°
Ka Pa Sa 23. 22.142037° 94.307229°
Ka Pa Sa 24. This facility has previously been discussed as a potential CW production site. 21.498840° 94.368768° nonproliferation.org/suspect-defens…
Ka Pa Sa 25. 20.879103° 94.201113°
End.
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The Nakal is described as missile of the Badr family, which would make it a precision-guided solid-fuel short range missile. The range is given as 160km.
The Zulfiqar is supposed to have a range of 1500km and very much resembles a standard Scud in the animation, which seems a little dubious.
Some more clues on Iranian-DPRK cooperation in today's Treasury designations of individuals associated with Iran's liquid propellant entity Shahid Hemmat Industrial Group (SHIG).
The first interesting part is the mention of DPRK specialists assisting one of Iran's space launches. Considering the similarities between both countries's SLVs, this is not too surprising.
The scond one mentions Seyyed Mirahmad Noushin as being 'key to negotiations with the North Koreans on long-range missile development projects.'
A few thoughts on the recent Reuters report mentioning that "Iran and North Korea have resumed cooperation on a long-range missile project, including the transfer of critical parts." 1/9 news.trust.org/item/202009201…
What project are they referring to? Well, we don't know for sure but there are a few potential options. 2/9
The first one is Iran's apparent role in the development of North Korea's RD-250 engine clone which powers the DPRK's Hwasong 15 ICBM. Unfortunately, apart from a single treasury designation, almost nothing is known about Iran's role in the project. 3/9 treasury.gov/press-center/p…
While the Houthis' Qiam-based systems appear to be entirely smuggled from Iran, shorter range systems like the Badr 1/1P/F seem to be at least partially locally manufactured (almost certainly using Iranian components and tech though)
Which of course would not be surprising. Enabling local production by proxies / allied groups has been Iran's strategy for more than a decade now.