If u are looking to enter a scrip just before the breakout
what would u look for?
How would u identify scrips just before breakout?

Here are a few pointers
Carefully understand the them and use at ur own discretion
(All comments r compiled from a question i posed)

1/23
Price is testing the same resistance repeatedly since long.
But now in recent times it's forming multiple candles near the same resistance with low volume.
Observe it and see for opposite move.
As soon as u get a positive candle, get in to it.

2/23
1. Volume buildup (vol > when resistance point created) along with, increase in OI, increase in delivery % on HTF
2. On LTF, price stalling around breakout area for at least 1-2hr.
3. No major events.

3/23
Stock reaching breakout LVL with HL-HH
Contraction of price and volume near it especially near 20 days ma.
If there is any breach of the latest HL it should be followed by a bullish candle with good volume.
Left side of the chart has a rally with a very steep slope of ma.

4/23
Number of wide range green bars with high volumes.
If stock is at its ATH then it adds more conviction bcz there wont b supply after that point

Consolidation below the resistance, volume of the candles & strong bullish candle closing at near highs just below the resistance

5/23
Triangle/volatility contraction pattern and gradual reduction in volume.

Relative strength of the index.
Volume Contraction
Supertrend turning positive/Ichimoku Conversion line crosses base line or Price crosses above cloud.
Gain from 52 Week low.

6/23
Stock should undergone consolidation between narrow range multiple times,
Final rally in narrow range before breaking out should supported with high volume moves.

7/23
Wide range bullish candel with good volumes and next couple of candles narrow range or long tails visible at midpoint of wide range candel and volumes should contract.

8/23
1. HH & HL structure on lower time frame.
Above resistance there should not be any important moving average.
2. If there is any consolidation on ltf & if price break down consolidation & that candle if close again in consolidation area will buy on that candle itself.

9/23
Context of the movement before Consolidation i.e. candle and volume bar Size and then fake breakout in the consolidation zone for an entry.
1) HL formation
2) Volatility contraction
3) Buildup near resistance

10/23
1. Weekly Volume
2. How the current Candle formed compare to last 6-8 weeks
3. If able to cross Monthly/Weekly Resistance
4. Recently any stake increased by Promotor/ Others
5. Need to wait for Pull back and sustain followed should close by above BO candle

11/23
Stock must be near ATH or 52High
It must already be in stage 2
The base should be spread out at least over a month
The ATH has been tested at least 1-2 times
Volume contraction on right side near ATH
Favorable market and sector

12/23
Left a demand zone at bottom of range with positive momentum divergence.
An outsider candle at bottom may also be considered as an odd enhancer.
HH & HL should be there on higher time frame.

13/23
Stock outperforming benchmark index
Stock outperforming sectoral index
Volume dry up on small pullbacks

14/23
1. Previous low should not be broken which confirms buyers are active.
2. Many or atleast one long wick candle with less volume in higher low areas
3. Nice consolidation with volume buildup in lower time frame near the resistance.

15/23
1. HH, HL on lower time frame after recent pullback.
2. Rsi greater than 60
3. Volume increasing trend

Consolidation near the resistance.
If the consolidation is tight and over 20ema, it generally explodes.

16/23
1 - Stock being in clear uptrend
2 - Price within a constructive base pattern
3 - higher than normal delivery %
4 - Pocket pivot

17/23
At Demand zone or Supply zone pullback 1st time
Draw a horizontal line and see how many times the stock has reversed from there the more the resistance the higher the probability of a breakout

18/23
How long it has been acting as resistance?
Stock is making higher low?
Stock is contracting well?? I meant volatility
Stock is having more of red or green volumes.

Look for rising volume, at least higher than last BO point.

19/23
When price hits the Resistance falls down and then forms a cup pattern where price consolidates and then moves with Volume expansion on wide range candle.
Also look at the broader market performance, test of supply and shakeout candle for perfect breakout to happen.

20/23
Strong buying vol with reducing or low selling vol
Drying vol during consolidation
Final shakeout to absorb weak longs
Unusual activity by insiders before a big move (Price & Volume actions)

21/23
1: Momentum towards breakout price
2: wide range closing
3: Price holding levels near to breakout for sometine
4: Volume increasing
5: Round number price action.

22/23
1. Consolidation near resistance zone and above 20 EMA without falling.
2. Candle sizes and corresponding volume.
3. Entry can be Fake break down in lower time frame in consolidation near resistance zone.

23/23

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More from @ProdigalTrader

20 Dec
How would u obejectively determine 'Bullish Stocks"
in case if u want to create a mechanical scanner for that

here are 15 directives for that

1st time making ATH after 6-12 months consolidation

1/8
Weekly TF
No breach of previous swing low.
RSI above 70 for continuous time duration
Never breached and closed below 34 week ema.
RS comapre to sectoral index is highest.
Sectoral index is at 52 week high.
Daily:
Position be taken on breakout of consolidation

2/8
Stocks which were trading continuously above 200 EMA,
Monthly RSI >60, Weekely RSI>60,
Market structure on monthly basis HH HL

Stock schould be above daily/weekly/monthly above ichimoku cloud
Relative strength out performing

3/8
Read 8 tweets
17 Dec
How to identify if an instrument trading sideways?

here are a few pointers

1. stock is stuck between swing high and low or SR zones which are in very tight range

2. Anchored vwap from last swing high and swing low converges each other and price howering near by

1/8
3. Short term moving average crosses long term MA several times in both direction in short period

4. Price crossing 200sma several times with flat 200sma with average or below average volume

5. Contraction of price structure & formation of chart patterns

2/8
6. RSI trapped between 60 and 40 for long period & ADX measuring below 20

7. False break out on either sides at support n resistance

8. Price is overlapping between Ichimoku clouds, and taken/kejun and clouds are flat

3/8
Read 8 tweets
14 Dec
Elliott wave theory says price moves in 5 waves up and 3 waves down
Let’s concentrate on the 5 wave up move part.

Here wave 1 is analogous to the first higher high after deeper correction. Here trend reversal sets in.

1/7
It followed by a deep correction in the form of wave 2. Having made a higher low in wave 2,
wave 3 confirms above the top of wave 1.
That’s supposed to be the strongest price move in the entire cycle.

2/7
This followed by a very shallow correction which usually lesser than 50% of the entire wave 3,
usually its lesser than 40% even.
This shallow pullback is a signal that another strong up move is on the cards.
That wave 5 which terminates the up move cycle.

3/7
Read 7 tweets
2 Dec
here is a sensible plan, which i would follow

u were in cash bcz market wasnt supporting delivery trades with long bias. So this is the primary factor u need ur analysis to b based upon.
The best tool to guage the market health is market breadth

1/13
such as advance/decline ratio, % of scrips abv 200 SMA, number of scrips at yearly highs etc. The idea behind it is find out a general condition which held true in the past bullish phases in the market.

2/13
Suppose in the past bull markets, there were >70% scrips abv 200SMA till the bull market finishes. So u can form a thesis that once we have this data coosses abv 70% critical level, u would be able to assess that market is starting a new bull market stage.
3/13
Read 13 tweets
23 Oct
Components of a focussed trading journal

A trading journal isnt just about recording basic trade details
Its a live market forward test report as well.
For that u need to assess & analyse various facets in trading separately

Here are the components of trading journal

1/12
1. Trade-specific details

The entry, SL, exit price/time,
Traded instrument,
Trade direction,
The result of the trade etc.

2/12
2. Analysis

logic behind the entry, SL and target levels.
Potential reasons for why trade might not work
Review of the same after trade completed.
Notes on scope of improvements etc.

3/12
Read 12 tweets
22 Oct
designing a #tradingsystem

Price- Bar/Candlestick/Heike Ashi
Supply Demand - Volume, Vwap, Volume Weighed MA
Momentum - Rsi/Macd/Stoch
Volatility - Bollinger Band/Keltner Band/ATR
Support/Resistance - Swing Pivots, MA, HVN, DP, Weekly/Monthly HLC

1/4
Use one from each category

Do not overload with multiple tools from same category
For example,
do not use stochastic and macd together.
Both measures momentum.
And both are imperfect in its own way.
Same goes true with other tools as well

2/4
One system to start with I would suggest here

Candlestick charting for price
Volume for supply and demand
Macd for momentum
Bollinger band for volatility
Swing Pivots for Support/Resistance

This is a good logical start

3/4
Read 4 tweets

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