Part of me wants to put up an interactive system for our model allowing you to play with e-day turnout. But with a research deadline tomorrow, that's near-impossible given the time constraints. But if you want scenarios modeled, reply with them and I'll get to it when possible.
I wrote the precinct model in python, so it's not that hard to plug in specific scenarios and model them.
If you want a scenario modeled, include the following:
1) Number of VBM votes between now and Jan 5.
2) Number of advanced votes left, and the final advanced voting margin (you can see current margins in the pinned model tweet)
3) Election day turnout as a % of total electorate.
1) Number of VBM votes between now and Jan 5.
2) Number of advanced votes left, and the final advanced voting margin (you can see current margins in the pinned model tweet)
3) Election day turnout as a % of total electorate.
Also, please include the election day margin (e.g. 60-40 R, 63-37 R, etc)
ok thanks everyone, if I haven't given you a reply or a quote tweet with the scenario, reply to the tweet or DM me if I don't notice and I'll make sure to get to it. Just give me some time, kind of swamped with other work too :)
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