Our major new analysis of the EU-UK trade deal highlights ten areas that must be addressed urgently to deal with non-tariff trade barriers looming come January 1st. bestforbritain.org/2020tradereport
Although the Johnson deal is better than a WTO arrangement, it will still result in ‘considerably higher barriers’ to trade.
@DavidHenigUK identifies areas of concern ranging from regulatory challenges and data issues to membership of the Erasmus scheme and climate change.
“This deal was negotiated at speed, and it shows. It is far from the comprehensive deal voters were promised”
“it is woefully thin on services that account for the lion’s share of our economic power, and it bares little resemblance to a modern trading agreement.”
“But the foundations have been laid, and now the serious building work must begin. This report prioritises the next ten storeys that the UK and EU should layer on top of the deal, to protect our consumers, workers and businesses.”
The ten priority recommendations are:
1. Secure data adequacy and deepen provisions on digital trade
2. Establish regulatory dialogues, starting with financial services, as part of financial services equivalence
3. Develop new trade rules for modern challenges, such as climate change, animal welfare and antimicrobial resistance
4. Maintain membership of European standardisation bodies
5. Reach Mutual Recognition Agreements to address testing of industrial goods, and veterinary equivalence for food products
6. Explore membership of major European regulatory bodies on issues such as aircraft safety (EASA)
7. Expand cumulation of rules of origin for preferential tariffs either with Japan or PEM (Pan-Euro-Mediterranean) countries
8. Reconsider UK participation in Erasmus
9. Re-establish mutual recognition of professional qualifications
10. Cooperate in renewing the global trade system
@DavidHenigUK has said: “The new UK-EU agreement offers a framework with some essential elements such as the absence of tariffs, basic rules on business travel, and a structured dialogue.”
“But it falls far short in supporting modern trade, in particular in tackling non-tariff barriers, and UK-based businesses need much more.”
“A strong trade relationship requires more than a Free Trade Agreement, which is why countries that aspire to trade extensively – typically neighbours – build deep relationships.”
“We will continue to be neighbours, and should seek to be good neighbours and heavy traders. Relations have taken a knock in the last four-and-a-half years, and it is time to start rebuilding them.”
Tell your MP to read this report and fully scrutinise this deal hey-mp.uk
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An extension to the current transition arrangements can be achieved by agreement w/ EU or as part of a phased deal implementation. Whatever the mechanism (& whether it's called extension, an implementation period or a deferment) we need extra time. Here's how that could work👇1/8
Firstly, the govt gave up our automatic right to an extension in June - & offering this is beyond Barnier’s remit - so it’d need to be signed off by the EU27 & wld need a legal opinion from European Court of Justice. 2/8
Secondly, the EU uses a legal basis for every treaty it strikes. For the current withdrawal agreement & transition period (which started when we left on 31 Jan 2020), the EU used Article 50. 3/8
Polling from Best for Britain shows extension has more than 2-to-1 backing. With Covid and Brexit double whammy getting worse, voters 'know UK is out of time'.
Only 18 per cent of voters back a no-deal outcome. Among Labour and Lib Dem supporters, that figure is a mere 4 per cent. Even among Leave voters, more want an agreement than favour no deal.
In May we produced a comprehensive report analysing the joint impact of a no-deal Brexit and covid-19. This is what we found 👇
The industries at particular risk of this double whammy are the manufacturing, banking, finance and insurance sectors
That’s 6.9million jobs in sectors such as manufacturing, banking & finance, distribution, hotels & restaurants and other services that could be affected
Back in October we published a report assessing the domestic impact of a no-deal, we found that the cost of basic goods would increase dramatically bestforbritain.org/britain2021
Using the gov’ts own figures set out in the UK global tariff regime earlier this year, we calculated that the cost of staple goods like tinned tomato and pasta would be subject to a 10-20% increase in cost
The average packet pasta would cost 65p, up from 53p
About a third of Scottish lamb goes for export, and 98% of that is to the European Union. French chefs highly value uplands-grazed lamb. There's a metaphor somewhere in there for the Brexit talks.
But for sheep farmers, this isn't metaphor. This is their future. The average tariff on sheep meat is 48%. It is not a flat rate: instead, there's a fee per kilo and a percentage of the value.
And the more it is butchered and processed, the higher the tariff on entering the European Union. One minister suggested sheep farmers could shift to beef, to replace Ireland's sales of beef into the UK. (He didn't offer suggestions on what Ireland's beef farmers should do.)