When people say "Valuation doesn't matter" is precisely the time we need to be more cautious and know the difference between (Intrinsic) Value & (Mkt) Price.

Excellent Site based on A. Damodaran's "The Little Book of Valuation"👏

@dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid

people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/New_H…
Topics ⬇️

✔️Intrinsic versus Relative Value
✔️Time Value of Money and concept of Discounting
✔️Accounting 101
✔️Mechanics of using Intrinsic Value versus Relative Value
Characteristics, Value Drivers & how to Value Co.'s in various stages of their Life Cycle

✔️Young Growth Co.'s
✔️Growth Co.'s
✔️Mature Co.'s
✔️Declining & Distressed Co.'s

Valuing Co.'s in few other Sectors
✔️Financial Services
✔️Commodities & Cyclicals
✔️High Intangible Assets
For those really interested in long-term investing in Individual Businesses, after few years of learning and experience in particular sector, you can get better at identifying quality Companies/Management.
What trips Investors up and is more impactful over the long-term is

1⃣ When you invest for a low valuation, purely based on backward looking Financials w/o giving enough importance to it's quality and future.
2⃣ When you don't invest in High Quality and high growth Company that you understand well, only due to seemingly high valuation (and still don't invest in it realizing your mistake, just because it has already run up a lot since you first looked at it).
Two things to keep in mind w.r.t Valuation are

1⃣It's highly dependent on the Industry, Life stage of the Co,Quality of the Business/Mgmt, growth rates etc. So quickly concluding something is cheap/expensive (based on the Price multiple) while ignoring everything else is silly.
2⃣Even if the stock price is supposed to be focused on the cash flows over the long-term from that specific Business, the short term valuation can be all over the place depending on the Market sentiment, Fed/Gov policy, momentum/hype etc.
Understanding all these nuances can help investors avoid the daily noise, focus in stable/quality/growth areas, & act when Price is favorable vs Intrinsic Value.

Overall, the above link is fantastic for those patient & independent enough to learn the Core concepts. 👍

/END

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More from @RamBhupatiraju

31 Dec 20
My holdings going into 2⃣0⃣2⃣1⃣ (not recommendations).

No idea how their stocks will perform in 2021, but fairly confident of their strong Business performance in the next few years (well, in most cases) in the normal or social-distancing scenarios. Image
Before someone comments

This is a mashup of TWO portfolios (hence the higher # of Co's).

Personally, I like a mix of mostly growth Co's with some stable/high quality Co's and few dividend focused Co's.
Just like investing is a highly personal journey (based on our goals, risk tolerance, time horizons, capabilities & strategies), the optimal # holdings in each Portfolio is also very subjective.
Read 15 tweets
31 Dec 20
Great article on some important lessons from Warren Buffett. 👏

Below thread has the 15 lessons/quotes and my comments for each.

medium.com/swlh/16-lesson…
1⃣ “We want the business to be (1) one that we can understand, (2) with favorable long-term prospects, (3) operated by honest and competent people, and (4) available at a very attractive price.”

Understand the company, the industry, the team, and the price. Solid points.
2⃣ “We ordinarily make no attempt to buy equities for anticipated favorable stock price behavior in the short term.”

Filter for and buy Co's with a long-term lens. Get used to under and over valuation in the short term (and ignore when not related to Co performance).
Read 17 tweets
29 Dec 20
Good introductory article for those interested in Behavioral Finance.

Stuff we should care even more about, when Markets and our Portfolios are at All Time Highs.

corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/know…
The differences between Theory and Markets.
Classification of decision-making biases and errors in the above article.
Read 5 tweets
27 Dec 20
Excellent in-depth article about Moats by @CBinsights👏

Studying the Moats/Management (real engines behind enduring growth & returns of great Co's over time) is a fascinating subject.
@richard_chu97 @saxena_puru @FromValue @dhaval_kotecha @adventuresinfi

cbinsights.com/research/repor…
Content ⬇️
Network Effects🕸️ : Marketplace, Data and Platform
Read 9 tweets
27 Dec 20
Just sharing this great blog "The Good Investors - Singapore" & some of my fav articles. (Not sure if they are on Twitter).

Very interesting/useful stuff for individual, long-term investors.👏

@saxena_puru @Gautam__Baid @dmuthuk

1⃣ 17 Investing Lessons

thegoodinvestors.sg/saying-goodbye…
Pts from above article.
2⃣ 24 Things Every Investor Should Know About Investing (To Become Better)

Some great pts on
✔️Market facts
✔️Investing psychology
✔️How to invest

thegoodinvestors.sg/things-every-i…
Read 8 tweets
25 Dec 20
Investing in its purest sense (Analysis of Intrinsic value, buying with Margin of Safety) has been out of fashion recently, but here's an excellent resource for anyone interested in learning the core concepts.
h/t @Vintage_Value👏

@dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid

vintagevalueinvesting.com/wp-content/upl…
Content ⬇️

✔️Main Concepts of Value Investing

✔️Famous Value Investors (Graham, Buffett, Schloss, Klarman, Marks, Burry...)

✔️How to value a Stock

✔️Qualities of Great Companies (Enduring, High ROIC, Economic Moats)

✔️Behavioral Finance

✔️Recommended Reading.
Core concept
Read 8 tweets

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