Ontario covid-19 cases, deaths, and testing.

#COVID19Ontario #COVID19
Weekly all-cause deaths and deaths with/from Covid-19 in Ontario, including % of deaths attributed to Covid-19.
However, Covid-19 is often not a wholly distinct and separate cause of death as there are other medical conditions involved in many cases.

There are also cases in which it is not even a cause of death, but the individual had tested positive sometime prior to their death.
Ontario total weekly deaths 2010-2020.
Covid-19 has been a crisis in Ontario's long-term care (LTC) system vs. among the general public.
Deaths among long-term care residents (0.5% of the Ontario population) account for 61.2% of all Ontario deaths from/with Covid-19.

If the Covid-19 fatality rate for long-term care homes was applied to the Ontario population, the province would have now had over 502,000 deaths.
The 80+ age cohort accounts for 52% of all-cause deaths in Ontario and 69% of deaths from or with Covid-19, but only 4% of the population.

In contrast, children account for 22% of the pop. but only 1% of all-cause deaths in Ontario and 0% (0.02%) of deaths from or with Covid-19.
The two most important metrics to watch: deaths and ICU occupancy from or with covid-19.
The two most important metrics to watch: deaths and ICU occupancy from or with covid-19.
The number of hospitalizations linked to covid-19 in Ontario has generally not approached levels commonly observed for influenza and pneumonia.
Ontario hospitalizations from or with covid-19.
As data on daily new hospitalizations is not publicly available, this is the average daily net change in hospitalizations (ICU and non-ICU).
A note on hospitalization data: This may include those who have had a positive test result after being hospitalized for a different reason.
Ontario - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line). (Daily reported deaths divided by average daily cases over prior 28 days.)
The silver lining of mass PCR testing: a falling CFR.

Ontario – Cumulative case fatality rate (CFR). The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line). (Cumulative reported deaths divided by cumulative cases.)
Ontario – Case survival rates (= 100% - case fatality rate) by age.
Ontario Fall/Winter season: May be able to declare a peak when average week-over-week growth reaches zero.

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More from @Milhouse_Van_Ho

1 Jan
I'll be starting a thread on the #inspirational political and entertainment leaders we have lost to #COVID19 in 2020.
RIP Erin O'Toole. Forever in our hearts.

RIP Tom Hanks and Rita Wilson. Gone but not forgotten.

news.com.au/entertainment/…
Read 23 tweets
31 Dec 20
Nombre total de cas et de décès liés à Covid-19 au Québec.

#covid19qc #COVID19 #COVID19Canada
Les deux paramètres les plus importants à surveiller: les décès et hospitalisations aux soins intensifs.
Les deux paramètres les plus importants à surveiller: les décès et hospitalisations aux soins intensifs.
Read 10 tweets
29 Dec 20
Here we have the total number of deaths in Canada over the past five years. The most recent 12 months of data do not suggest a spike in deaths out of line with historical trends.
Zooming out nationally over the past decade, we see that it's perfectly natural for deaths in one year to exceed deaths in the previous year.

***This does not necessarily = excess deaths.***

Look how often the blue growth line is above 0%.
So deaths are rising.

Is that due to population growth?

Population aging?

It's a bit of both, but not covid.
Read 16 tweets
28 Dec 20
Thread - Ontario employment by sector (private, public, self-employed), unadjusted for seasonality.

Private-sector employees have borne the brunt of lockdowns in Ontario.

Total employment, 2016-20 YTD:
Ontario employment by sector (private, public, self-employed) indexed to January 2016 (e.g., value of 110 means growth of 10%):
Ontario employment by sector (private, public, self-employed) indexed to June 2020 when the @fordnation government was formed:
Read 5 tweets
28 Dec 20
Greater Toronto and Ottawa together account for 54.8% of Ontario’s population but 75.9% of Ontario deaths by/with covid-19.

#COVID19Ontario #covid19toronto #covid19ottawa
Greater Toronto (population: 7,077,933 or 48.0% of Ontario):

Total deaths by/with covid-19: 2,933 (414 deaths per every million people in the region or 0.04%)

67.0% of Ontario deaths by/with covid-19
Greater Toronto - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line).
Read 11 tweets

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