Since I have received many questions and crazy accusations, on this last day of 2020 let me give you a random collection of thoughts to close out this year. 1/n
1. I miss Asia. It's awesome. Most countries have a sense that things are getting better and that opportunities exist. From people starting businesses to sending their kids to better schools, there is a vibrancy and optimism that is infectious 2/n
2. Americans are a whiny narcistic self absorbed lot that rather then get down to a task and make things happen are content to complain ad nauseum. The world don't owe you $#!+. Get down to it and get on with it 3/n
3. I was wrong about some key things about corona but also right about some key things. Compared to public health experts I'm probably about even. 4/n
4. I don't really identify with either party. I am pro-immigration and anti-death penalty. I am a foreign policy hawk. I am pro-market but believe anti-trust regulation needs more focus. Socially liberal but think wokeness is idiotic. My issue views do not align with either 5/n
5. Journalists lie. Straight up lie. Not fudge, not slant, straight up bald faced lie. "Never trust a journalist, not even me." --Well known journalist at major outlet to me. Words to live by. Journalists lie. 6/n
6. Foreign policy "experts" in DC are experts because they are credentialed not because they really know the subject area. I don't understand how you can be a country expert and really never have lived there 7/n
7. I am pro-ally and pro-international institution but also believe most "allies" the US thinks they have are not really allies and that most international institutions range from irretrievably failed to compromised. Total rethink is needed on these issues 8/n
8. Lying is at the heart of democracy not antithetical to it. You don't get votes by telling people hard truths. You get votes by telling people what they want to hear. This is why all...ALL.....politicians lie. Always and forever. 9/n
9. I'm sure most China engagers and open letter writers are nice people. They are however completely and entirely without a doubt fundamentally wrong. 10/n
10. Like plutonium I am amazed at the half life of bad ideas. China engagement has failed. Failed. It has not turned out as predicted. Period. EU is signing a treaty based upon this premise and university professors continue to believe in it. 11/n
11. Humans in our data and information driven age wildly over estimate our ability to understand our surroundings and control outcomes. 12/n
12. I would much rather get the issue right than please a specific political party or superior. I do not think about who I will align with when I form an opinion or study an issue. That's called biasing work if you do that. 13/n
2021 here we come!

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More from @BaldingsWorld

29 Dec 20
When you're analyzing economics or foreign policy you start from the place of it had better damn well be right or at least wrong for the right reasons and not some partisan or biased hackery. The EU deal with China is exposing the charlatanry of the Acela Corridor chattering 1/n
Because it was absolutely never based in getting it right or based upon what are the facts saying, it was based in nothing more than political reactionism. The so called think tank talent had no insight into what politics or policies these countries faced which hinder 2/n
Cooperation but rather is board game view of the world and some political talking points. I have written often about how everyone is for allies but there is not understanding of what motivates or interests those allies have. I'm all for international institutions 3/n
Read 5 tweets
28 Dec 20
Very fair and common question but to be honest I don't like this question because it has almost no relation to policy/actual action and everything to do with the PR spokesperson. We should never equate policy with politics. Reframe this question about policy 1/n
If we focus on the policy actions, I think the US has every reason to be very proud of its actions over the last four years. Let me emphasize this does not mean a full throated endorsement, I does not mean I would have done everything the exact same way, however, the policy 2/n
within foreign policy I think is a strong record that has really been at the forefront of changing the discussion specifically about China but also expanding on previous changes. Let's go over a couple. First, USG has challenged China directly across a range of policy 3/n
Read 12 tweets
18 Dec 20
I forget who said it but one of the truisms of the Trump era was that Trump enemies always sunk to his level and lower. In foreign policy it seems like most everyone automatically lost 20 IQ points because the thinking is so poorly though through. Let's take one example 1/n
The buzz word dominating Acela Corridor think tanks and media (neither the brightest lights in the house) is "allies" to challenge China. As an amorphous vacuous meaningless cliche it's wonderful. However, it stems not from an realistic appraisal of the foreign policy 2/n
Landscape but from a critique of Trump (leave aside the accuracy for now) and a desire for boring peace, love, and kumbaya. The reality is that for numerous reasons, all these supposed "allies" are not nearly the "allies" our media and think tank overlords suppose 3/n
Read 11 tweets
16 Dec 20
There is astounding poverty of foreign policy thinking. It is both Trump obsessed and gratuitously narcissistic in US political self absorption. Virtually any geopolitical problem you cite will NOT be fixed by changing the President. Let's go down a quick list of hits: 1/n
South Korea is governed by a kumbaya singing Pyongyang appeaser who wants the US to put personnel at risk giving it a blank check while he actively tries to give goodies to a totalitarian mad man. That's not changing with a new President 2/n
China is governed by an unabashed totalitarian wannabe that will not negotiate on anything but how low you will bow to recognize their supremacy. That's not changing with a new president 3/n
Read 9 tweets
12 Dec 20
Another great data leak by the IPAC team on CCP members in UK companies and government institutions. A couple of important things about this database are important to note 1/n
dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9…
First, these CCP members are in senior ranks at all the major multinationals with access to key IP and IT security. In other words, MNCs are dealing with the CCP and infiltrated by the CCP at all levels. 2/n
Second, this data was offered to ALL major US outlets and all passed. Think about that: all major US outlets passed on a CCP membership list with work information! Why does this matter? Many reasons. Let me give you one: a recent executive order blocks CCP members and 3/n
Read 5 tweets
9 Dec 20
I never cease to be amazed at how bad the foreign policy takes from Acela Corridor Galaxy Brains™️ are and I think I've narrowed it down to two specific issues. First, they have limited technical knowledge about the issues they are actually pontificating on. 1/n
I read an article just recently by a noted outlet on a topic that should have focused on technical hurdles to realizing a solution but turned out to be nothing more than basically a Risk board game analysis of forming alliances and moving troops into Kamchatka. 2/n
The fundamental problem is that the analysts are pontificating about something they have no idea about technically. Rather than discuss the technical hurdles it was board game analysis of alliances and resources from conquered lands. In the areas I focus on, there is a severe 4/n
Read 8 tweets

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