How lockdown should work
- threadreaderapp.com/thread/1345210…
- threadreaderapp.com/thread/1345210…
X : Do we need lockdown if we have a vaccine?
Me : Oh dear. Were to start? Lockdown buys you time to implement test, test, test and isolate. That's what we haven't done in over 7 months and still need to do -
Me : Oh dear. Were to start? Lockdown buys you time to implement test, test, test and isolate. That's what we haven't done in over 7 months and still need to do -
https://twitter.com/swardley/status/1260852712830271488
X : Test, test, test?
Me : Test at home, test in transit, test at destination. Isolate any variation. The usual precautions etc - PPE, no excuses, no "voluntary certification" for not wearing masks, no mask under nose, troops on the street to enforce etc. Zero tolerance.
Me : Test at home, test in transit, test at destination. Isolate any variation. The usual precautions etc - PPE, no excuses, no "voluntary certification" for not wearing masks, no mask under nose, troops on the street to enforce etc. Zero tolerance.
X : Back to normal by Easter?
Me : Not a chance. I'm 52 and in reasonable health. That puts 35 million people ahead of me in the queue for vaccination. At 2M per week, then we're talking May and there's still another 30M to go. Add in efficacy, supply chain, mutations etc etc ...
Me : Not a chance. I'm 52 and in reasonable health. That puts 35 million people ahead of me in the queue for vaccination. At 2M per week, then we're talking May and there's still another 30M to go. Add in efficacy, supply chain, mutations etc etc ...
... and once you're finally through that (assuming we are) then you're going to have all the long term stuff to manage, the change of practices etc. Nothing is going back to normal by Easter. That is just a daft idea, rather delusional.
X : Schools re-opening?
Me : Gosh, what can be said that hasn't already -
Me : Gosh, what can be said that hasn't already -
https://twitter.com/TanDhesi/status/1345737898256117761
There are numerous competing interests in this space, one is focused on the "Me" and commercial aspects, one is focused on the "We" and society.
The propaganda is through the roof, especially with automated artificial collectives on social media - technologyreview.com/2020/05/21/100…
The propaganda is through the roof, especially with automated artificial collectives on social media - technologyreview.com/2020/05/21/100…
If you really want to discuss schools, then you have to realise just how twisted some of the logic is in this space.
This clip remains an eye opener -
This clip remains an eye opener -
https://twitter.com/DrZoeHyde/status/1321017142578352129
X : Thoughts on UK lockdown?
Me : You mean this - edition.cnn.com/2021/01/04/uk/… ... better.
X : Not good?
Me : To be frank we should be locking down to end of May and planning on eradication. Army on the streets, home deliveries, support structures in place etc. Learn from China.
Me : You mean this - edition.cnn.com/2021/01/04/uk/… ... better.
X : Not good?
Me : To be frank we should be locking down to end of May and planning on eradication. Army on the streets, home deliveries, support structures in place etc. Learn from China.
X : Why May?
Me : Wuhan took three months, I suspect it will take us longer ... too much exceptionalism / liberalism.
X : Vaccine?
Me : At 2M a week, you're not going to vaccinate everyone before end of May. It also gives us a chance to stop lurching from one crisis to another.
Me : Wuhan took three months, I suspect it will take us longer ... too much exceptionalism / liberalism.
X : Vaccine?
Me : At 2M a week, you're not going to vaccinate everyone before end of May. It also gives us a chance to stop lurching from one crisis to another.
X : Do you think that will happen?
Me : No.
X : Do you think we will be over COVID by May?
Me : No.
X : Why so negative?
Me : I'm not. There will eventually be an "after" ... I'd just rather we got there sooner ...
Me : No.
X : Do you think we will be over COVID by May?
Me : No.
X : Why so negative?
Me : I'm not. There will eventually be an "after" ... I'd just rather we got there sooner ...
... had we actually locked down in Feb / Mar last year for 3 to 4 months ... and I mean locked down like Wuhan did in January, with a policy of test, test, test and isolate then I suspect we wouldn't be having this conversation. We are here because of choices that were made.
X : Hindsight is a wonderful thing.
Me : I've been moaning about this for the best part of a year -
Me : I've been moaning about this for the best part of a year -
https://twitter.com/swardley/status/1237727451696058375- I would just like us to effectively deal with it.
Anyway, a good source of information and guidance is always the WHO.
Delighted to see this -
Delighted to see this -
https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1346464408688422924
X : Did you see UK has vaccinated 1.3 million?
Me : Yep. Wonderful stuff.
X : Do you still think it'll take this long?
Me : I don't want to put a negative slant on this because it's remarkable but let's put this into a perspective that you might be familiar with. Long way to go.
Me : Yep. Wonderful stuff.
X : Do you still think it'll take this long?
Me : I don't want to put a negative slant on this because it's remarkable but let's put this into a perspective that you might be familiar with. Long way to go.
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