The PM says all frontline workers, people aged 70+ and people with serious underlying conditions will be vaccinated by mid-February. That’s 13 million, so 2 million per week. Potentially doable if GPs are supported with staff, volunteers funding and supplies. (1)
We must see a generous allowance funded by Treasury for isolation when infected or a contact. Without it, transmission will remain high increasing the risk of vaccine resistance. If not, could be the costliest mistake of the whole pandemic. (2)
Border screening must be made much tighter. Especially to identify new aggressive strains from other countries. (3)
Delays in deaths from the current surge and in the vaccines inducing immunity means this lockdown is unlikely be less than 8 weeks (4)
The Joint Biosecurity Centre have told government the NHS will be overwhelmed in 21 days without lockdown. Modelling by Karl Friston suggests considerably sooner, perhaps by Jan 12. (5)
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