I have seen the table below being widely shared to falsely imply that deaths are no higher than normal this year
The table is both factually incorrect and misleading
Those who created it deliberately sow confusion and doubt
1/6
Firstly, a common approach used to manipulate statistics is the selective use of dates or time periods
In the table you can see that previous complete years are being compared to a partial year – only going up to week 45 of this year, which ended on 6 Nov
2/6
Secondly, having made it look like official numbers are being used, the wrong number is actually given
There had been 517k deaths registered by 6 Nov this year, not the 485k that are stated in the table
3/6
For both the MSOA and LA maps you can select areas, months, and whether to include all deaths that occurred or only those where COVID was mentioned on death certs
2/n
London had the highest COVID-related age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR) with 137.6 deaths per 100k persons (Mar-May)
This was significantly higher than any other region in Eng and more than a third higher than the region with the next highest rate (the NW)
This was another bank holiday (Mon 25 May) affected week
As a result, we expected to see a reduction in the number of deaths registered. We also hoped to see a drop in the % that deaths remained above the 5-yr weekly average
1/n
There were 9,824 deaths registered, 20% fewer than the week before
This was 1,653 “excess” deaths above the 5-yr weekly average
= 20% above what we’d expect in this week of the year, down from 24% above the week before
2/n
1,822 deaths mentioned COVID on death certificates, 19% of all deaths registered
As in the week before, this was 110% of the number of excess deaths i.e. slightly more
Deaths not mentioning COVID on death certs were slightly below the 5-yr weekly average