1/27 De-Risking Hotel Acquisitions Thread 4: Business Plan, B+C, Minibar, IRD, and Other Revenue

We’ve got a good one for you tonight folks! #SteveHarveyImpression
2/27 We’re going to start with Banquets + Catering (B+C) revenues, then hit on the small F+B sources – minibar and in-room dining (IRD) – and then move on to other revenues.
3/27 Since we’re trying to hit a bunch of things and I’ve been exceptionally long winded (2021 goal – learn how to edit writing for Twitter) I’ll try to be a bit more concise on each.

First, B+C.
4/27 There are two ways I analyze B+C revenues: (i) per square foot; and, (ii) cover counts / check averages / add-ons.
5/27 If I’m looking at speculative new development OR doing a quick “sniff” test on an acquisition, PSF is the way to go – if my deal works at $450 PSF but my comps are $300 PSF, I know I’ve got a problem (and vice versa).
6/27 When you have an established set of B+C spaces and can make more accurate comparisons among spaces, going the cover count route is more accurate.
7/27 This means you’ll need to comp by space (e.g. ballroom-to-ballroom) and amenity (e.g. A/V system to A/V system), understanding the types of groups you’re going after and what the add-ons are.
8/27 You’ll have this for your own comps, but you may not get details for your potential acquisition until you’re under an LOI and in formal DD – that’s ok.
9/27 As part of your renovation planning, understanding the types of groups you’re going after and tailoring your reno dollars to their appeal is critical – corporate users and weddings have very different use cases for a ballroom, and being more tailored to one or the other…
10/27 …(depending on your positioning) can make material difference. Also, it’s important to understand what business is on the books post-acquisition for renovation planning purposes, and it’s worth getting as much info as you can on groups from prior years.
11/27 Finally, when I’m doing DD on B+C biz, if there is a local CVB or equivalent, I like to spend some time with them. They’re a good source of knowledge and insight, and (depending on the market, etc.) can be a great source of business.

Now Minibar.
12/27 The old adage is “minibar loses money”, and this is generally true in practice but doesn’t need to be true in theory. With that said, I tend to think it’s more of a pain than its worth.
13/27 The technology to make these run efficiently is finicky at best, and customer disputes of charges are time consuming and painful – either to guest experience (they really didn’t use the item) or bottom line (they really did).
14/27 If you’re going to have a minibar experience, here are some best practices: (a) focus on margin – where legally possible, booze and candy are your best bet; (b) the tech is finicky, but it helps… automate data collection where you can; and, (c) this is a GREAT area for…
15/27 …local partnerships – local breweries / wineries / distilleries… local snack makers… even local water bottlers… can help with building community connection and reputation.
16/27 IRD! IRD sucks. Cut it entirely where possible, or to the bones where not. That’s it. That’s the tweet.

Had a deal where cutting IRD put a few hundred k back into profit b/c it was losing so much $$. Let me say this here b/c I’m so explicitly saying “cut”. Don’t be a jerk.
17/27 Be fair to your employees, offer them fair severances, etc. If you have a union, but forthright with the union and work with them on a settlement. This is someone’s livelihood, and that person deserves respect.

Other Revenues. Ahh, other revenues.
18/27 So many possibilities here. You could run a spa, a parking operation, a gift shop, a retail boutique, leased retail, on and on and on. A few sporadic notes, and I’m happy to address specific questions (on this and literally everything else).
19/27 Don’t run spas unless you have to – hire a 3rd party, or (if possible) lease them out.
20/27 If you’re in an urban location, farm your parking out to 3rd parties and take a commission… this is even better if you can lease them the garage space in your building, but if not, make sure they have ample space nearby and let them at it.
21/27 You may make less $, but your insurance will go down and your employment risk will go down. If you have surface parking that’s currently free – try charging a couple bucks a night.
22/27 $2 or $3 may annoy some people, but most will pay without thinking, and it’s free $$ at that point. Vitrines! I genuinely wonder if retail vitrines are still a thing given how messy retail is, but when I’ve looked at hotels with them in the past I love them.
23/27 Small glass-enclosed display cases in public areas rented out (at nominal $ amounts, usually) to local retailers who display their wares. I’m a big fan for a few reasons, namely the risk-free income and the ability to drive brand partnerships and associations.
24/27 Lastly, the Resort Fee / Urban Amenity Fee. So much that could be said here. Let’s separate the two. At a true Resort, particularly one offering towels / pool chairs / beach chairs / etc., it’s a reasonable charge.
25/27 In an urban destination (NYC, SFO, LA), well… does it feel scummy? Yes. Do we charge it when we have things we can offer to try to justify it (e.g. free wifi, F+B credit, local retailer discounts, etc.)? Yes. When my competitors stop, I’ll stop.
26/27 With that said, I do think there’s a point to be made about nickeling and diming at the tippy-top luxury level (e.g. Four Seasons, Aman, Six Senses) where you should just wrap it into a essentially price-insensitive rate, but that’s another convo for another time.
27/27 Next up over the weekend: OpEx! We’ll talk potential for complexing operations and all sorts of fun stuff.

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More from @somehotelguy

7 Jan
1/25 De-Risking Hotel Acquisitions Thread 3: Business Plan, F+B Outlets

Now that we’ve talked Occ + ADR, let’s talk about some of the more fun areas of a hotel – the F+B outlets. Full Disclosure – I’m not a “restaurant and bar guy” professionally.
2/25 I work closely with them on hotel acquisitions and developments, and have learned quite a bit about how they think about outlets, but I’m not an expert here (other than at the eating and drinking part – I’m seriously, seriously good at that).
3/25 Hopefully some actual experts step in to correct me where I’m wrong, and to fill in the inevitable gaps! Tomorrow, we’ll hit on banquets + catering, then the smaller departments (in-room dining / mini-bar) and other revenue opportunities.
Read 26 tweets
5 Jan
1/20 De-Risking Hotel Acquisitions Thread 2: Business Plan, Top-Line

We’ve already talked a bit about underwriting, both top-line and expenses, but here’s where we’ll try and connect the numbers to actual business planning.
2/20 Each potential acquisition presents a different turnaround story, and those stories are myriad and varied. For our purposes, we’ll try to hit on a wide variety of items that will help us find and confirm our turnaround story. This one will focus on Occ + Rate.
3/20 Once I’ve established where my post-renovation hotel should sit within its competitive set, I need to start finding the business to get there. What types of customers are in the market, and what drives them, are the first two questions I need to answer.
Read 21 tweets
4 Jan
1/17 De-Risking Hotel Acquisitions Thread 1:

First focus is on the value-add, and narrowing my risk profile there. The renovation is likely driven mostly by the new brand’s PIP and any material requirements of the new operator, along with any value add items my team identifies.
2/17 Before getting to anything specific process-wise, this is absolutely critical: TOUR THE HOTEL WITH AN ENGINEER. Take as much time as you want. See as much as you can. Take good notes. Take photos.
3/17 Do not rely on seller reps as to conditions, mechanicals, etc. Initially post-tour, I’ll generally price out the PIP as-is with a couple trusted purchasing agents, adding consultant fees, installation, contingency, and warehousing / tax / freight markups based on prior…
Read 18 tweets
4 Jan
1/8 On Due Diligence - a multi day thread:

When pursuing a new hotel acquisition with a capital partner, I do my best to identify and box in risks as part of a rigorous due diligence process.
2/8 I don’t believe I can ever truly de-risk, but by identifying the unknowns and having a plan to address, I can ensure a higher likelihood of success.
3/8 It also affords me the opportunity to present a capital partner a thoughtful plan and to be open and forthright about the risks. I find it helps me answer the partner’s questions, even the ones I hadn’t anticipated.
Read 8 tweets
29 Dec 20
1/20 EXPENSE UNDERWRITING PART II:

If a deal passes muster with a purely ratio based analysis, I move on to a more detailed expense underwrite.
2/20 Here I staff out each department on an FTE (full time equivalent) basis, calculate expenses that can be easily calculated (e.g. travel agent commissions, credit card commissions, etc.), and then a POR / PAR accounting for the remaining portions of each department.
3/20 Since staffing expenses can constitute as much as 70% of operating expenses, this gets you to a much higher level of confidence in your expense model.
Read 21 tweets
28 Dec 20
1/ - When you’re looking at costs in a hotel P&L, there are MANY ways to project. How do I do it? I’ll talk through two ways, the early-on quick way and the more detailed slow way. There’s a third (zero based budgeting), but honestly, I don’t do that - the operators do.
2/ First, the early-on quick way... Ratio Analysis! The more detailed method will follow tomorrow. Each hotel department can be thought of as variable in one of three ways - Per Available Room (PAR), Per Occupied Room (POR), and Expense Ratio (%).
3/ Expenses that vary with Occ (e.g. the Rooms department) I focus on POR forecasting. Expenses that vary with the size and type of hotel (e.g. Admin & General) I focus on PAR forecasting. Expenses that vary with revenue (e.g. a management fee) I focus on % forecasting.
Read 8 tweets

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