A thread on SCALING IN - OUT METHOD -
What is scaling in - out?

1. Scaling in is adding on to the positions when they move in our favor (Pyramiding).

2. Scaling - out is exiting the portion of the position when the trade moves in our favor.

I have explained about pyramiding in previous tweets.
// Why use scaling out instead of exiting all position at once ?

When you are using ALL - out method where you exit positions at once, mostly you use wider Trail SL as you want to capture big moves and exit all when trail sl hits.
The problem with this method is that either you make too big or many times your medium size winners turns out to become Scratch trades.

So, when we use the scaling out method, we are trying to capture most of our medium size trades , so that they do not turn into scratch trades.
// How to use scaling out method -

Say we have to got a signal to enter in a trade, and we have to buy 1200 qty according to our Position sizing.

So, we have to divide this 1200 qty into parts, how much? It depends on you.

We can divide into 3 parts, each part 400 qty.
So initially when we get a signal to buy we will buy only 400 qty.

Now , we will wait for the stock to go in our direction and then add , we can use various methods for determining when to add, like Structure method, RR method.

I have covered these in pyramiding thread.
We add 400 qty when stock breaks above swing high, then again add 400 qty on second swing high break.

// Now we are done with 1st part, of scaling in, We now have 1200 qty.

Now comes the second part, of exiting the positions.
There are various methods we can use to decide where to exit positions.

1. Exiting using R -

• In this method we will decide the exiting levels is advance.

• Eg- We can exit 1st position at 4 R and second position at 8 R and the last qty we can trail using Swing method.
2. Exiting using swing points -

• In this method we will exit 1/3 part every time when stock breaks below swing points.
Now we know how can we use this method, now lets see how it plays out in different scenarios.

SCENARIO 1 - When stock hits our sl after entry.

• In this case we will only loose 1/3 of the total risk we are willing to take on a trade.
SCENARIO 2 - When stock moves in our direction initially but then go against us.

• In this case we will exit the 1/3 qty when stock shows weakness, break of swing low, etc.

• Exit 1/3 qty again when it breaks swing low.
SCENARIO 3 - When stock goes against us after we load full qty.
SCENARIO 4 - When we get favorable conditions.
Now, I think you may have got the idea of what we are trying to do.

Basically we are adding on the strengths and exiting portion of the positions when the stock shows some weakness.

Now, lets look at some Important points when using this method -
• SMALL LOSERS -

Because we are entering only with portion of our risk, initially we are risking very low, and you can check that most of your trades go wrong immediately after you take them.
• MORE WINNERS -

When you exit your positions at one point when you use the ALL- OUT method, Many times again the stock moves in our favor, and not everyone can do re-entry,
but when you use this you only exit part positions at once , So even after exiting part positions you can still ride the winners.

• Not Necessarily more profitable -
It is used to keep your equity curve more smoother as when you use ALL - out method you will have great fluctuations in your equity curve as you have to use wider sl to ride winners .

• Need High discretion, I have only seen discretionary traders to use this method.
These are only my views and not necessarily be yours.

Cheers,

TRADER KNIGHT
I think @SunderjiJB sir use similar kind of method and he mostly trades intraday if I am not wrong.

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More from @Traderknight007

2 Jan
A thread on Trend-lines
// What are trend-lines?

Trend-lines are support and resistance lines which are formed by connecting Important swing points.

The beauty of using them is that We can use them when stock is not Respecting the Horizontal S&R zones, they can indicate us when the trend may change.
// Things To consider while Making trendlines?

• A trendline formed by using 3 Major-Swing points is a potential trendline, But we will also use 2 points to form a trendline, will discuss how, as you read further.

• Trendline can be formed by two ways-
Read 28 tweets
27 Dec 20
A thread on Pyramiding-
What is pyramiding?

In pyramiding we add on to a position when it is going in our direction. Its basically opposite of averaging down.

MOMENTUM - Success of a pyramiding trade depend on this ingredient, the more the momentum the better pyramiding.
There are many way to enter and exit in a stock-

1. ALL IN - ALL OUT
2. ALL IN - SCALE OUT
3. SCALE IN - SCALE OUT
4. SCALE IN - ALL OUT ( I use this one)

Why traders use Pyramiding ?

More than anything what pyramiding do is keep your losers small and your winners - Big.
Read 24 tweets
24 Dec 20
A THREAD ON SL, TSL AND RE-ENTRIES-
WHERE TO PUT THE SL-

1. NEAREST PIVOT/SWING POINTS-

Normally I use this method for placing sl, In this method we use swing point for placing the SL.

As normally the stock would not try to go below previous swing point if it is to go in our direction.
2. ATR method-

Sometimes the Stock do not have any nearest pivot at time of buy, So we use this method as it gives us a level on basis of current volatility of the stock.

I use 1.5 ATR away sl , say the ATR at point of entry is 30, so I place sl
1.5 X, or 45 rs away from entry
Read 16 tweets
19 Dec 20
"A trend once established, is more likely to continue than it is to reverse"

A thread on Trend (Market structure)- Image
A trend is a path of least resistance, basically the side where the smart money is betting upon.

And our work is to be on their side, to make some money.

Why do we use trend?

In an uptrend, the sum of the rallies will always be greater than the sum of the declines.
In a downtrend, the sum of the declines will always be greater than the sum of the rallies.

How to Find the trend?

There are 3 methods which one can use-

1. Swing points method.
2. Moving averages.
3. Trend lines, channels.
Read 25 tweets
16 Dec 20
Objectivity- Undistorted by emotions or personal bias.

What is objective Trading?

Trading in which decisions are taken on pre-decide rules, decisions in objective trading are not decided by Feelings or opinions.
What is subjective trading?

It is discretionary trading, in which one uses his intuitions and Analysis to take trading decisions.

Is one superior to other?

The rules in a mechanical system are going to be decided by you, the plan is going to be made by you,
the positions sizing and all other aspects are going to be made by you.

So your psychology is going to filter the information coming towards you, even in a mechanical system as well as in discretion.

WHATS THE USE OF OBJECTIVITY-

I am a Discretionary - Rule based trader.
Read 8 tweets
15 Dec 20
Overthinking - The art of creating problems which weren't even there.

Thread on How Over-analysis leads to decision Paralysis-
What is Analysis paralysis?

In simple terms, analysis paralysis is a person's tendency to over-analyze or over-think upon a decision to such an extent that he/she fails to make a choice resulting in a paralyzed state of inaction.
How a retail trader trades-

A trader named Rahul, He know all the basics of markets, He also has made a system which gives signals on nifty, he has also encorporated good Risk management and Position sizing into his system.
Read 12 tweets

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