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9 Jan, 6 tweets, 2 min read
X : Was AWS EC2 selling spare capacity of Amazon?
Me : No. The "selling spare capacity" myth is a myth - news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8658383
X : But ...
Me : Jesse Robbins wouldn't allow EC2 into Amazon Retail data centre. Amazon migrated to AWS EC2.
X : Yet, but ...
Me : Origin stories are best written at the time. Post event memory can be very faulty because of sequencing, perspective, biases and rationalisation. The most accurate origin story for EC2 that I know of can be found here - blog.b3k.us/2009/01/25/ec2…
X : But without ...
Me : Hypotheticals are often used to justify the importance of something which can often be explained through serendipity, luck, opportunism or even has no influence at all. We like our "grand plans" post event.
X : So how did AWS become so successful?
Me : It industrialised something that needed to be industrialised. It had fortune and more importantly competitors that utterly failed to react for 7 years. That's the real and "unbelievable" story (Bezos words).
X : Is this in response to -
Me : Yes. The most interesting aspect (highlighted by @PaulDJohnston) which is tangental to EC2 origins is "Product development ground to a halt during the transition, we froze all new features for over a year."
... that is an important and necessary lesson.

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More from @swardley

Simon Wardley Profile picture
11 Jan
X : Can you apply pace layers to maps?
Me : You can but what is where evolves. However, same rules apply to things, practices, data, knowledge and ethical values. All are forms of evolving capital. In the mapping world, we refer to this with pioneers, settlers and town planners. ImageImage
X : What's the robot for?
Me : Image from an older presentation slide, don't worry it has no relevance.
X : Is this linked to diffusion?
Me : Not simply. Evolution of a single component can consist of many hundreds of diffusion curves i.e. a virus diffuses but it also evolves.
X : Why have you got DevOps in legacy? We haven't even started yet.
Me : That's not my problem. I would take a look at serverless.
X : DevOps is serverless.
Me : Some of the practices maybe co-opted (see ITIL vs DevOps) but the new faction will decide what it is or isn't.
Read 14 tweets
Simon Wardley Profile picture
10 Jan
Whilst I'm delighted by AWS action against Parler - - and support AWS' continuous industrialisation (forcing the market to innovate and preventing rent seeking hence keeping us in the game with China) ... there was a time, long ago, that Gov would do this.
At somepoint, in the not too distant future, our society will need that discussion on the balance of "We" and "Me", to discuss the importance of utilities and learn from China - ibtimes.sg/china-ccp-nati… ... but not now, our Gov structures seem too weak, too lacking of context. Image
Unfortunately that discussion will be difficult because of the distortions in the system. Sticking within Western Philosophy, even what is "left" and "right" differs between the US and Europe. Even the basic ideas of economics and the role that China plays shows distortion. Image
Read 7 tweets
Simon Wardley Profile picture
9 Jan
X : Do you think impeaching Trump would divide US further?
Me : The Overton window has shifted so far to the far right that invading the capital is being justified by some. The DNC need to reinforce the narrative of GOP as the party of Trump and then relentlessly pursue Trump ...
... this is needed to destabilise and collapse the collective that has built around GOP in order to allow GOP itself to reform to something more centered. This must be done in conjuction with a bold and rapid agenda by the DNC. Biden will need to hit the ground running.
The tendency on the "left" (though DNC is hardly "left" by UK terms) is to build a broad church around consensus. In this case, the GOP is so far off centre and the propaganda has been such that you will need to destabilise the collective to give time for GOP to reform.
Read 6 tweets
Simon Wardley Profile picture
8 Jan
Ah @realdonaldtrump has been permanently suspended - ... that's good but unfortunately the awful echo chamber will continue to grow on Parler, a service which seems dedicated to encouraging active measures and radicalisation.
@realDonaldTrump X : You like that censorship eh?
Me : I live in the UK which has negative right to freedom of expression. It works well. I do not see any benefit in allowing people to incite hatred, violence or attempt insurrection against the democratic will.
Anyway, I'm delighted by twitter. I view this as the right stance at this point in time.
Read 4 tweets
Simon Wardley Profile picture
4 Jan
"Nobody gets a seven-year head start, and so that was unbelievable" - hbr.org/amp/2020/12/ho… ... it's not really unbelievable if you consider inertia and looked at the executives of competitors at that time i.e. IBM, Oracle, HP etc. They were all out of their depth.
What is unbelievable is that despite doing this once, despite the play being obvious (i.e. the ILC like model - trying reading AWS book on reaching cloud velocity) that AWS gets to do it all over again with serverless and competitors still react as hopelessly as the past ...
... I don't know what garbage they spoon feed these executives at business schools but it isn't working. Oh, and Lambda launched almost 7 years ago. Ok, MSFT is in there whilst Google has fumbled and gone off down a K8s dead end. The rest of the industry? ROTFLMAO.
Read 12 tweets
Simon Wardley Profile picture
4 Jan
How lockdown should work
- threadreaderapp.com/thread/1345210…
X : Do we need lockdown if we have a vaccine?
Me : Oh dear. Were to start? Lockdown buys you time to implement test, test, test and isolate. That's what we haven't done in over 7 months and still need to do -
X : Test, test, test?
Me : Test at home, test in transit, test at destination. Isolate any variation. The usual precautions etc - PPE, no excuses, no "voluntary certification" for not wearing masks, no mask under nose, troops on the street to enforce etc. Zero tolerance.
Read 15 tweets

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