The commentary on discovery that China has moved 10,000 soldiers from Rear bases is not only misplaced as a reason to celebrate but also needs to be reviewed strategically :

1. China moved ahead with massive deployment and creating infrastructure to not only intimidate
India, but also to match and counter the Indian deployment at later stage. This scale of movement, creating bases, infrastructure, helipads etc can take heavy toll on any economy and government.

2. With series of ongoing talks, winters and overall appeal for peace and
tranquility on LAC, it’s an evident stalemate and chances of large scale ‘action’ looks a near impossible event. One cannot deny local skirmishes and boxing matches, but those have been on for decades and its front line troops’ forte. Also, there is enough boots on ground for
PLA to not worry about Indians surprising them with making a break across LAC.

3. Hence the need to keep thousands of soldiers as reserve serves no purpose especially since it’s causing a very extended and costly supply line. Also, they have the ability to move them at a short
notice, should there be a need. Hence sending them back to original bases is a very logical decision and nothing that we have managed to achieve.

4. Having said all that, with the limited info available, this could be just one formation going back after being relieved by
another, the arrival of which we have no info about. A routine military affair.

5. Lastly, there’s not much being said where the troops/ formation went. This could easily be a move to strengthen another axis or base, again focused towards India. So they didn’t ‘go back’ but
maybe relocated. Especially with coming months in mind when once snow starts to decrease, both sides might try to flex their muscles. Anticipating threat to some areas, they are doing their manoeuvring.

Post winters, the coming months will bring lot of surprises. Jai Hind !

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More from @Manik_M_Jolly

10 Jan
Even as one of the junior-most and very recent Vet here on Twitter, I’ll still say this to all my respected seniors -
1. Morality, Honesty, Commitment and Code of Conduct doesn’t come in shades. It’s absolute. The day you start behaving like a hooligan, you have earned the right
to be disrespected. And should you find yourself there, please don’t crawl your way out hanging on threads of ‘Veteran Flag’ that you yourself shred to tatters. Take the heat, apologise like man and understand that you hurt others with your words or actions.
2. The whole Country
gives us enormous respect and love. And that has very little to do with what you and I did personally. But a lot more to do with millions of soldiers before us who’ve made great sacrifices to keep this great Organization to such high standards. When we do something wrong, people
Read 8 tweets
26 Dec 20
Weekend Musings

Step by step guide on how to prove via SM photographs that you have embraced Class and crawled out of your Indian middle class origins and are ready to look down upon fellow Indians with that high society subtle and pretentious scoff and ‘OMG’!

Let’s go -
1. ‘The book I’m reading’ photograph isn’t about the book. It should have a frappe, cappuccino, anychino..basically any Barista level fancy stuff. Coz honestly neither you nor your friends understand or use French press or Colombian beans. An eatable, casually thrown around, but
make sure the label is visible. And it HAS to be some foreign brand of cookies, cheese, cake you picked up at your last Khan market visit and we’re saving for this photograph. Try Scandinavian brands. No one understands what’s written and everyone will assume it’s really fancy.
Read 18 tweets
25 Dec 20
So I’ve been watching a lot of Golf videos and reading a lot about it. Feeling confident, I joined Golfers discussion forums and started throwing advices and suggestions around to people who have been playing for decades. Soon enough, someone asked me “ It’s good that you know..
all about the type of Irons, Drivers etc etc and your science on wind etc is good..but have you ever played Golf?” I said No, but I surely can play better than all of you since I know all the theory. It’s just that I never got a chance to play and now I can’t. Since then..
no one argues with me. They let me say whatever I want to. I think I won 😊😊And now I have even started commenting on game play of some actual Professional ranked players, and whenever somebody tied to stop me, I bombard them with so much data, they back off and let me..
Read 4 tweets
9 Dec 20
#TravelDiaries Couple of years back, I was got a chance to electrify one of the last remaining unnelectrified villages in India (Dist Majuli, Assam). A small island right in middle of mighty Brahmaputra. The scenic beauty of this region is unmatched. It was a daunting task,..
that involved taking entire equipment by road and air till Guwahati, then by small vehicles to boat, then by boat to a major island, then by road to other end of island, and then by boat to our project island and finally by cycles, motorcycles and tractor to the village.
When you reach such remote areas of the world, and realise the minimalistic approach to materialism the residents of such areas have, n still satisfied, it’s eye opening and a wake up call. A big reason why I’ve always continued to work in rural electrification and water access.
Read 6 tweets
20 Nov 20
BREAKING #NagrotaAttack #OSINT

A dear friend sent this image with a smiley and said - connect the dots. So I got onto it !

Its a brilliant breakthrough to prove yet again, Pak sponsored terrorism.

The phone belongs to company called MEI, in Pakistan. Image
Here are some insights :
1. The company specialises in making communication equipment. In my yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out that there was a charger present which now looks a lot like Multi slot version of the one one shown in their brochure.
2. The bands given are.. Image
banned in India, this making tracing the communication within India nearly impossible.

3. One of their offices is INSIDE Lahore Cantt. If they were equipped there, the distance from Lahore to launching point near Nagrota is much of a stretch. This also can link how the company Image
Read 9 tweets
19 Nov 20
Looks like a major attack was thwarted by brave and timely action of Indian Army. So what all items and why were these four guys carrying so much stuff. Let’s see :

1. Assault Rifles : Looks like normal AK47 (Russian), AK56 (Chinese) and few Type 81 (Chinese). For them to ..
carry all this means -
i) were to meet some more terrorists and carry out coordinated attacks. These guys were brining in arms and ammo for them too.
ii) they were planning to hide out for long in the area. Place lot of weapons at different places. Get them from time to time,
attack, dispose off weapon and vanish in crowd.
Security forces and Int agencies on ground would know better.

2. Plastic wrapped means they i)crossed a water body with weapons on them
ii) or They were planning to
iii) the weapons were under land and snow for some time
Read 8 tweets

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