1. So many stories coming out revealing that Brexiteers sold Brexit on lies and that reality of Brexit is turning out - just as experts had warned - to be a fiasco and an enormous act of economic self-harm for UK. I’ll keep track of some in this Brexit reality thread🧵 👇
2. Brexit reality: Scottish fish 🐟 exports 👇
4. #BrexitReality 🧵: sometimes no lines mean no trade is happening h/t @DavidHenigUK
5. #BrexitReality 🧵: rotting oranges due to delays on GB-NI trade with new border on Irish Sea
6. #BrexitReality 🧵: massive new costs for food and drink sector due to Brexit red tape
7. More on the new Brexit border on the Irish Sea and the empty shelves in Northern Ireland from the great @hayward_katy
8. #BrexitReality 🧵"Hauliers say N. Ireland's supply chain could collapse within days." Thank the lying Tory Brexiteers! (h/t @Arnold_Platon
for this one. Please tweeps send more of these, I'll add them to the thread)
9. #BrexitReality 🧵: cars become more expensive thanks to Brexit! (h/t @Alex__Mircea )
10. #BrexitReality 🧵: and of course no such thread could ignore the episode of the confiscated ham sandwich
11. #BrexitReality 🧵: the interesting thing here is the @BBCNews headline. They claim these are 'surprising' consequences of Brexit, when in fact experts warned for years of exactly these sorts of disruptions bbc.com/news/55633632
12. #BrexitReality 🧵: great video emphasizing how @BorisJohnson lies about introducing checks on BG-NI trade & how @BBCNews fails to call out Gove on that
13. #BrexitReality 🧵: Let's not forget that a key promise of lying Brexiteer referendum campaign was that Brexit would free UK of EU red tape. Instead UK business is now being strangled by new Brexit red tape.
14. #BrexitReality 🧵: Scottish shellfish can't get to EU market. "We are fighting for survival here just like every other exporter around Scotland. Get it sorted and get it sorted now."
16. #BrexitReality 🧵: and the damage to financial services in the UK is already beginning to show: “London lost 6.3 billion euros ($7.7 billion) in daily stock trades to EU venues on Jan. 4, the first business day after the transition period.”

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More from @rdanielkelemen

19 Nov 20
Lots of smoke & mirrors in fight over rule of law. Here's my take in @POLITICOEurope on what's really going on: "If European leaders want to escape this autocracy trap, they must begin by standing up forcefully to regimes that try to hold the EU hostage"🧵
politico.eu/article/time-t…
2. First, on how we got here, it all goes back to @EPP appeasement of their pet autocrat Orbán over past decade. "The EPP has protected Orbán for political gain... But this week its pet autocrat turned against his long-time protectors" They are now reaping what they sowed.
3. As those who follow me know, I've been writing about this for years - most recently in my Article on "The European Union's Authoritarian Equilibrium" - summarized here:
Read 20 tweets
13 Jul 20
A quick, depressing 🧵 on what to expect in next steps toward autocracy in Poland. I hope @fromTGA is right and Poles will defend their democracy. However, I think things will get much worse and Poland will become an autocracy like Hungary 1/n
So far Kaczyński’s PiS government has been following the standard elected autocrat’s playbook very closely, following Orbán’s example of how to get away with building an autocracy inside the EU. Here are the steps: 2/n
As @fromTGA said, so far PiS focused on capturing the courts, turning state media into propaganda arm, & demonizing opposition. Next key steps will be to suppress vestiges of independence in lower ranks of judiciary & to establish PiS control over private media 3/n
Read 10 tweets
14 May 20
@ChristophMllers Hi Chistoph. Let me clarify (& this is clear in the linked articles): 1. I never say & don't mean to imply that judges of BVerfG or those supporting their position are racists or autocrats. My point is that BVerfG is advocating a nullification doctrine like Calhoun's 1/n
@ChristophMllers 2/n. also my point isn't that the esteemed BVerfG is anything like the captured constitutional courts of HU or PL (the latter isn't even a court as @ProfPech has shown). My point is that if they can nullify, it gives an excuse for those others to do the same
@ChristophMllers @ProfPech 3/n. and as i say in thread and articles, if all 27 constitutional courts can simply nullify what deem to be ultra vires EU acts/ ECJ rulings, then the EU legal order can't survive.
Read 5 tweets
11 May 20
1. A long 🧵 on what is going on & what is at stake in dispute between @EUCourtPress & @EU_Commission & German @BVerfG. It is a showdown over question of "Kompetenz Kompetenz", & the survival of EU legal order is at stake. The ECJ is right & BVerfG's position is untenable
2. First a quick reminder of most recent developments...a few days ago Germany's constitutional court @BVerfG issued a ruling concerning German participation in @ecb QE programs, in which it blatantly rejected an ECJ ruling. Here was my take w/ Fabbrini
3. The @EUCourtPress reacted with a highly unusual press release, not commenting on the case explicitly, but reminding everyone that its rulings are binding on national courts & that the ECJ alone has authority to rule on whether EU institutions' actions violate EU law
Read 28 tweets
4 Apr 20
Orbán's latest ploys using emergency powers... some quick thoughts. He will starve local govs of revenue by taking away motor vehicle tax. He can then find ways to transfer funds back to Fidesz controlled local govs while screwing opposition controlled ones like Budapest 1/n
The party funding move will cripple opposition parties' finances. His party Fidesz doesn't need the money as he uses state resources to support it in other ways - through state media, state run propaganda campaigns etc 2/n.
Smart takes on this from @panyiszabolcs & @shaunwalker7 - watch for their reporting on these developments. 3/n
Read 5 tweets
2 Apr 20
With his corona coup, Orbán abandoned any pretense of being a democratic leader. Given that his electoral autocracy was already secure, why did he risk inflaming tensions with the EU by moving to outright dictatorship? My take in @monkeycageblog + a 🧵 👇washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/…
Many have claimed Orban just used coronavirus to kill Hungarian democracy. But that is not quite fair, since Orbán had already killed Hungarian democracy some time ago. Still, this week’s developments do mark a profound change - from sham democracy to blatant dictatorship
Given that his grip on power in Hungary already seemed secure, why did Orban risk rocking the boat & antagonizing the EU? To understand Orbán’s latest power grab, one must consider means, motive and opportunity.
Read 15 tweets

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