Jon Worth Profile picture
12 Jan, 5 tweets, 2 min read
Pieces like this from @AnnikaJoeres frustrate me

Please what has Delli *practically* done to save night trains?

Don't get me wrong, she's a decent MEP, and it's good to have a green in this position, but what practical change has EP made happen?…
Also there is no commitment in the Council to keep night trains. Scheuer's summit was basically him giving some publicity to ÖBB. DB and SNCF still want as little to do with night trains as possible.
DB's night trains were CityNightLine, not NightJet.

And the TRAN Committee does not administer a €40bn budget.
There are loads of things the EP could be doing on night trains - not least properly investigating the issues why no one other than ÖBB and RegioJet want to really run them, and checking track access problems. But the EP is not doing that - or not systematically.
Perhaps the aim was to profile Delli, which is fair enough, but in which case the title of the piece is rather wrong. The people in Europe saving night trains are ÖBB, Snälltaget, RegioJet, and Austria's environment minister Gewessler.


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More from @jonworth

13 Jan
2021 is the end of Angela Merkel's time as Chancellor of 🇩🇪

The process to choose her successor starts this week

This 🧵 will explain all the important stages of this rather complex process!

1/25 Image
There are three stages to this:
1️⃣ Merkel's CDU Party choses a new Party Leader on 16 Jan (tag: #CDUVorsitz)
2️⃣ Later in spring Members of the Bundestag of CDU and CSU choose who will be Chancellor Candidate
3️⃣ Bundestag Election 26 Sep, followed by coalition negotiations

1️⃣ CDU choses new Party Leader

Merkel has not been CDU party leader since 2018. Current leader - Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer - is stopping. 1001 Delegates at a party conference taking place digitally 15-16 Jan choose new Leader, in 2 rounds of voting. 3 candidates running

3/25 Image
Read 26 tweets
5 Jan
To those saying that those who have got their public health advice wrong earlier in the pandemic should put up their hands and apologise... a little cautionary lesson from another sector

A short 🧵

Public health is not my thing

But Brexit is

And throughout 2019 and 2020 I have been trying to make predictions as to what will happen in that story. Lives do not depend on this, only my professional reputation (marginally) does

The three series of #BrexitDiagram I made in 2019 were extraordinarily accurate

Series 1/2…

Series 3…

Series 4…

Each series got that stage of Brexit right

Read 12 tweets
3 Jan
I wrote a 🧵 earlier about the state of the race to become the leader of the CDU (and probably become Merkel's successor as Chancellor of Germany)

This follow up thread explores one aspect more deeply: the interplay between candidates and polls

So what's the starting position?

CDU is 3% ⬆️ in the opinion polls now, compared to their result in 2017. But that 36% is a good bit below the 41.5% they secured in 2013.

In other words: 36% is good, but not stellar.

2/13 Image
Recall that the 33% from 2017 caused Merkel to be replaced by AKK as CDU party leader, so disappointed was the party with that result.

30% would result in some very serious questions being asked about the party's strategy.

Read 13 tweets
3 Jan
OK, so it's a fortnight away - the "Digital Party Conference" of the CDU to decide who the next party leader will be

And whoever wins this is going to have a good chance of being Chancellor, succeeding Merkel after the election in September this year
There are three main candidates in the running - all middle aged men from Nordrhein Westfalen
- Friedrich Merz
- Armin Laschet
- Norbert Röttgen
So who's going to win?

For ages it looked like Laschet was the clear front runner. Prime Minister of Nordrhein Westfalen (NRW), and with a kind of folksy-beergarten manner, it looked good for him.
Read 11 tweets
2 Jan
This is a deeply unpleasant reaction to @petergumbel’s very personal piece.

“Wink wink nudge nudge” - what is that, Matt? It might have escaped you that the piece says “My grandparents, who fled Nazi Germany for Britain”.

Would you *dare* say that about a minority?
Or - putting it another way - how dare those of us who’ve (thank goodness) never had parts of our family slaughtered by a dictatorial regime ever presume to judge how future generations of those families react at the personal level?
Also the piece says this: “Xenophobia and racism, presumed to be banished to the margins of public life, made an ugly return to the mainstream”

Which it has.
Read 5 tweets
31 Dec 20
UK academic takes the absolutist position of a provocative French journalist, and uses this as a mirror for his own absolutist position that the EU has not reflected about the impact of Brexit

The same academic is then criticised for this position - because that there has been *no* reflection in the EU is not the case - but then twists the words of those responses

For the record here is the search - not a single person replied to Menon saying the EU was perfect…
Read 7 tweets

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