- Company being the first one to launch Remdesivir and the whole portfolio for covid 19
- Company is no.2 in lung leadership. Will try to unlock the complex generics in US.
- Growing faster than the average market growth.
- Trying to bring respiratory technology in China and in Brazil.
- There is a fair amount of unlocking through digitalization.
- ESG to improve in future. Becoming carbon neutral and water neutral.
US business
- Were able to add
- would be doubling the revenue in US.
- The pipeline is nicely diversified , now the products are diversified into respiratory + injectable around 30%
Indian market: One india strategy
- To cosumerize the business.
- Generic business is no.1 in india.
- Brand is moving from generic business to consumer business.
- Goal is to keep beating market growth by expanding the depth in portfolio.
- There has been a deeper distribution system because the generic business is moving faster than expected.
- Synergizing the distribution channel for prescription, trade generics, and consumer health.
Consumer wellness
- Goal is to make 12- 15% of revenue in next 3 to 5 years. Right now ots around 5 percent.
South African business
- Going relatively fast in CNS and respiratory business.
- Nice portfolio in HIV.
Emerging markets
- Solid partnership are present in these market.
Digital initiative
- Can unlock a great potential in profit through digitalization
- Automation in manufacturing and digitization of data.
- Company is re imagining the business to be more digital.
ROIC story
- Capital is being diverted to respiratory division. Comaony likes this category.
- 50 to 60% will come from new launch of products and rest would be through cost control.
- In india company want to expand a bit but the major focus is to push the revenues higher.
Respiratory portfolio
- The company has a para 4 filing and has a partnership with a generic company.
Future acquisition
- Company is open to acquisition which would be easy to digest
- India and us business are very attractive but company is not seeing huge potential in capital allocation towards acquisition.
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1/ A person named Jeffery earns 100 dollars per month and has an expenditure of 120 dollars monthly. He has a very good reputation in the society. So, he takes a loan of 1k dollars for a month and this 1k cash is invested in new business ventures.
2/ For the next month, he pays his liability back by taking a loan from another person for 1.5k dollars. The loan of 1k is paid back and the remaining 500 dollars are invested in another business venture.
Warren- Relative PE moves up, people expect company prospects to be better than peer companies. Absolute PE of the companies moves up in respect to earning power of the company.
- When you have an increased profit, people get more enthusiastic about a specific business or a specific industry, they will push up the relative P/E ratio for that stock or industry.
- This is not like Olympic diving, it doesn’t have any difficult factors.
Warren - You cannot pay too much, at least in the short run, for businesses. No matter how wonderful a business is, there is always a risk that you will pay where it will take a few years for the business to catch up with the stock.
- If you understand businesses and feel very certain about them and if you decide they’re fairly priced and they have marvelous prospects, you’re going to do very well. Don’t pay too much for a business which is run by outstanding managers in the short run.
- Estimation of Intrinsic value of a business
- Book value & Intrinsic value
- How to read the annual report
- Allocation of capital
- Diversification
A Long thread 🧵👇
How to estimate value of a business
Warren - Evaluate the stream of cash over all of the years in the future discounted back at an appropriate interest rate.
- There is a lot more to intrinsic value than book value or P/E ratio and if anybody gives you the simplified formula for figuring out, forget it. A person needs to understand the business well, the mgt., over the years.
Warren - It has been a flip of the switch in terms of national behaviour, national psyche. I do think that the range of possibility has narrowed down.
- Virus is not as lethal as it might have been. We do not know exactly what happens when you voluntarily shutdown a substantial portion of your society. In 2008 our economic train went off the tracks and this time we just pulled the train off the tracks and put it on the siding.
Charlie Munger's & Warren Buffett's wisdom on
- Moat of the business
- Berkshire Investment Ideology
- Initial Stage of research analysis
- On Economics
- Warren: The company is not getting richer just by issuing shares, the company gets richer when the company gets at least as much value in a business as the value of shares that are issued.
- They do not do the transaction keeping in mind the accounting treatment, the deal is done based on the requirement of buyer and seller and then explain to shareholders whatever accounting peculiarities may arise out of the transaction