The current strategy to beat Coivd is not working.

Cases and hospitalizations are at record highs.

Every city, county and state has been hit.

It is time to ask, what's wrong with the current strategy?

What can we do differently?

Places with tight restrictions and high mask usage have been hit as hard as places without.

We've been doing the same thing for almost a year now.

Mass PCR testing, masks and social restrictions are not the answer.

Which begs the question, what is a viable solution?
Vaccines are here, so the most at risk should be vaccinated as soon as possible.

There are some who believe, however, that even with vaccines, it won't be safe to return to normal.

Let's not debate the science, for now.

Let's focus on a viable solution…
The biggest issue today is testing.

PCR tests take 2-10 days to get results.

Which makes their value almost worthless.

There is also the issue with false positive results.

And a lot of people just don’t get tested.

So what's the alternative?
There are low cost rapid tests available today.

Even lower cost alternatives are waiting FDA approval.

Results are available in minutes.

They are sensitive enough to detect when someone is infectious.
Tests can be done at home, work, school, or before you travel.

Take a test if you don't feel well, think you've been exposed, even before you go out.

If you are positive, you'll know it immediately.

They are using rapid tests at the TX Capitol today.
At $1 each, tests can be mass distributed to every household.

They can be given out in packs of 20.

Tests can be taken multiple times per day, if necessary, to catch a growing virus.
Distribution, education, testing, immediate results.

That's the answer.

No more waiting, isolation or unnecessary quarantine.

No more arguing the science on who may or may not be infectious.
Some key points:

Rapid tests do detect asymptomatic cases.
They are >98% sensitive vs PCR.
Tests can be taken at home.

Which means people will be less likely to transmit to others.

False positives can also be avoided.
Will this stragegy work?

What we are doing today is not.
Who's behind this science?

Over 50 infectious disease professionals, from both sides of the debate actually agree!

You can learn more here:
Instead of pointing out what's wrong.

Let's change the narrative.

The capabilities are there today.

Let's push for a viable solution.

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More from @GrumpyOldFrog1

30 Dec 20
Given @JudgeClayJ & @DCHHS aren't going to update the weekly summary tables, I'll explain why they stopped being transparent.

The failure to protect LTC residents has been a big part of the increase in hospitalizations and deaths...
@JJKoch @JWP03 @Johnson4Dallas @GovAbbott
Total cases are up 70% in Dallas County in the last 10 wks.

LTC cases are up 169% in Dallas County in that same timeframe.

This has led to a 70% increase in LTC deaths.
Dallas County used to report the # of LTC cases in its summary update with the table below.

Nov 3rd was the last time they showed it, right as the LTC cases started to rise. Fortunately the data is now available via DSHS.
Read 8 tweets
22 Oct 20
The IFR for Covid is trending down in the US.
It is now around 0.20% for the entire country,
And trending lower…

The US got off to a very bad start, i.e., NYC, which skewed the #'s, and everyone's perception on the IFR.
(see below)
The "To Date" IFR is around 0.30-0.36%
This is what most "experts" use for their models, some are still higher.

The 30/60/90 day IFR is around 0.20%
That's 40% lower.

But what about…
Testing went up and thus cases went up.
And fatalities fell.

So of course the IFR went down, right.

Well yes...and no...
Read 9 tweets

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