1. I've had a few reach out about my comment on @ThirdWayTweet- a group I admire & have often compromised, promoted, sent student to, & even hope might reach out to me once I went free range post @NiskanenCenter. To be clear- never been a big fan of the mentality that one must
2. universally compliment an organization/person (including myself/my own work) so I'm a bit surprised to see the reaction of "you've always said great things about 3rd Way so I'm confused about what you'r "attacking" them now.
1st, a criticism is not an attack & being able to
3. separate one from the other is part of our problem in politics. Along w its many great works, the criticism I shared is that to maintain allies on the Right, my thought it that they, along w No Labels, have sometimes accepted the both sideism frame that is really relegated in
4. very small, very powerless caucus in the Party whereas in the GOP House freedom Caucus, who are measurably extreme, like Louie Gohmert and Jim Jordan are now holding key cabinet positions, including chair when the GOP was in the majority. Extremism is widespread in the GOP's
5. caucus, andI see both 3rd way & no label as critical orgs to reigning the GOP in. I also have no see an effort to distinguish that the Ds are better maintaining moderation in their caucus. This is my critique and the thing that I'd like to see these ors exerting more influence
6. over, bc at the end of the day, literally everything else that we are doing, if we cannot find a way to push the GOP back towards a more modcaucus & keep the Ds at one, there isn't much hope for containing polarization in Congress. That is what my convo about this is about
7. Again, I'm working on a quant analysis that shows we don't have a "both sides are the problem" issue. We need to fix the issue we DO have- a GOP caucus that has been radicalized. That takes an honest & clear assessment of what we're dealing it- no matter it does to our priors.
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1. As per @chucktodd's int w MI's Aty Gen @dananessel: she was surprised to find out that the National Rep Aty Gen Association (@RepublicanAGs) helped org the rally of extremists on the 6th. They are supposed to be on the side of law enforcement & even disregarding what ended up
2. happening, think about what this organization was up to. It was helping to org, it was inviting & enticing Americans to go to a rally, the theme of which was to overturn a democratic, free, fair, and verified to be free from fraud by extensive legal reviews election. Yet, the
3. Republican Party's main organization for law enforcement was there to support invalidating Joe Biden's election and overturning, literally ending democracy in America. I mean, MY GOD. This is the GOP's Aty Gen Association!! We really need the press to step up coverage of the
1. Really imp new poll from @pewresearch folks: by far the most imp data point is that Trump's approval has FINALLY responded to a political event. Trump's approve % is just 29% & that can only happen bc FINALLY some Rs have deserted him- 17 pts worth of them. This is bc some R
2. electeds like @lisamurkowski are breaking from Trump & I swear if more elected Rs do so, if @senatemajldr supports impeachment, if more Rs like @jameslankford apologize for pushing the stolen election lie R voters will continue to move bc public
1. As @nytdavidbrooks just pointed out to @SRuhle on her show, despite collapsing into a radicalism so severe they are trying to end democracy, electorally the GOP is primed for a strong cycle in 2022, something we simply CANNOT allow them to have. And one reason is in 2020 they
2. experimented w targeting low-edu voters of all races to see if they could exploit them, relying on these voters to not know the GOP's real record on race & other issues. They found they could and what they plan to bring to bear on this effort in 2022 will be huge. This is one
3. of the main reasons I'm starting @StrikePac- I'm too afraid to signal warning to the Ds and just simply hope they do something after what happened in 2020. I wanted to be SURE this gets responded to. So a massive digital effort will be made to get the truth out to these voters
1. Here is a great job by @HerreraBeutler helping avg Americans pull together/understand how Trump/GOP connects to the insurrection on the Capitol. Again, few Americans are like YOU, they don't follow news daily. They need to be reminded as to how we got here. This is why I've
2. asked the major media outlets @MSNBC@CNN@FoxNews@washingtonpost@nytimes@WSJ etc to provide clear timeline accounts that show HOW the counting of the ballots produced Biden as the winner so that people will be able to see how it went from election night leads for Trump to
3. large Biden wins in the swing states. This would be a significant public service. It would also be great for any super pacs or organizations to run ads w this, ESPECIALLY on @FoxNews & if @StrikePac had the financing right now, I would do so. BC "curing" the Rep electorate of
2. new fiscal/spending/tax/healthcare! policy is altering current law so only 50 senate votes are needed and you can bypass the filibuster. This is why I'm not that popular among the very progressive people. I like to tell people the truth, deal in reality. etc & the truth is
3. even before our sitting prez was trying to pull off a coup- our country was in BAD shape bc we stopped being capable of creating policy over a decade ago, largely, unless its for the very mundane. Look around the world at other democracies & find one that is policy polarized.
2. all elements of the Democrat's voter coalition, including Indies that lean Dem, but most esp from GIANT surges of college educated voters in the 'burbs. It also said AZ was highly likely to flip.
Though it thought GA competitive, didn't say it would for sure flip.
IMP to
3. keep in mind, when this forecast released, the election analysis world was still very much entranced with the HillBilly Eulogy, non-college educated white Trump Army theory of 2020. If what I wrote seems like a no brainer bc its almost exactly what happened, you should know,