Mixed loads fish exports (groupage) now further delayed.
exporting now a process requiring 26 key steps, rather than 1 page form...teething issue perhaps for eg single loads salmon, but this level of non tariff barrier permanent structural issue for others bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla…
The structural issue is this - the UK chose GB to be a third country, with less agrifood alignment than eg NZ, and the EU’s strict import procedures for third countries are designed for niche exotic stuff mainly, not the mass import of perishable goods...
The negotiation clearly prioritised freedom [from the EU] over freeflow [of goods to it]..but Govt downplays latter, eg PM stating “there will be no non tariff barriers” and below on a visit to fishing communities ahead of GE19 “we don’t have unnecessary form filling”...
actual plan is freedom from EU regs/rules will allow faster innovation in for example genetic editing (consultation now live), trade elsewhere to offset these problems, & eventually more than offset.

But even accepting that, upsides take time, the issues are immediate/ visible..
interesting though that those visible issues concentrated in sectors which were supposed to yield immediate Brexit dividends... right now @scotfoodjames says fewer boats out, prices paid at market slump, less exports, & incredibly some boats now diverting landings direct to EU...
Not just a Scottish issue, we’ve heard similar stories from Wales and England - but how can this be dealt with?

Cash?
New markets? Not quickly enough see above..
Getting biz more prepared? Some not all problem.
Negotiating fewer checks/ veterinary agreement? Requires alignment.
Or assume problem doesn’t exist by saying “no non tariff barriers”, or that it’s relatively small problem on scale of economy (true)... though that is exact opposite of argument offered for past half decade. Also disproportionately affects Scotland just months before elections.
Other interesting developments ac to industry:

Irish/ N. Ireland fishing fleet can scoop up some catch not being caught by Scottish fleet & export directly to EU without red tape/ checks now applied

Fewer delays getting exports destined for France through French border checks
French would vehemently deny the latter point, but that’s what industry say they have experienced. Massive demand in French restaurants for GB shellfish transported within 24 hours.
Also quite naturally, this will mean we all have to eat more of what is fished here. Government-sponsored langoustine zoom cooking school?

Obviously less lucrative though than premium exports to top restaurants.
Meanwhile - Danish news back up what @scotfoodjames said about scottish boats choosing to land directly in EU at Hanstholm in Jutland, Denmark to avoid post Brexit red tape & low prices - doubling of activity 30-40% of fish sold there from scottish boats: altinget.dk/artikel/203419…

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More from @faisalislam

15 Jan
Extraordinary Scottish fisherman’s Federation letter - body most often quoted by ministers/ best access to Govt/ backers of Brexit approach now saying Govt has left it in “worst of both worlds...many in seafood supply chain fear they will not survive..” sff.co.uk/letter-to-prim…
SFF letter to PM: “You and your Government have spun a line about a 25% uplift in quota for the UK, but you know this is not true, and your deal does not deliver that...”
This was organisation that coined phrase “sea of opportunity” to describe post Brexit fishing opps, then enthusiastically taken up by Government ...

now telling PM claims on quota uplift “not true” and means “failure” to deliver promises, anger and now “chaos” for exporters ImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
11 Jan
Dutch customs on Dutch TV taking away drivers’ ham sandwiches on ferry from UK arriving at Hook of Holland, also put seized food shopping (Waitrose?) on facebook - this is a standard implication of Brexit deal, long indicated in prep documents both in UK and EU...
The interesting thing here will be how this new prohibition (without correct documentation) on free flow of even personal food exports from UK to EU (and eventually vice versa) will be applied on short straits at Coquelles? Calais? UK side juxtaposed controls? Not at all?
Dutch incredibly organised on full implications of Brexit for their customs - three years’ ago Dutch customs developed online portal explaining full implications of non-tariff barriers, advised small businesses not to use GB parts (rules of origin) etc

Read 9 tweets
10 Jan
Extraordinarily wide levels of spread over past fortnight, partic between Dec 29th and Jan 5th...
Eg Liverpool has gone from green (10-49 cases/100k) to dark purple (800+) in less than a month:
Even more noteworthy - Liverpool is now at 934 cases/100k (jan 5th) just a week before on dec 29th was 314 (ie jumped two categories in one week) four weeks before (dec 8th) it was 91.
Read 9 tweets
7 Jan
2020 up until Christmas Day saw most UK excess deaths versus previous 5 years since 1940: ONS
And adjusted per thousand population, excess deaths over previous 5 years higher already than any year since 1950 including the 1950s flu epidemic: ONS
Already in 52 weeks to Christmas Day, 2020 surpassed 600k UK total deaths for 1st time since 1918 Spanish flu epidemic (tho then population about 40m vs 67m)...unfortunately missing final week data will add few thousand - also comparison with recent years...
Read 5 tweets
6 Jan
Very sad - first time since April more than a 1000 deaths with COVID reported on daily count Image
Record in England for daily new admissions with COVID-19 3,351 on Sunday, 3,154 on Saturday, both above April peak of 3099 Image
Highest ever number of UK Covid admissions to hospital today reported for Sunday 3/1 - 3,600, topping the previous peak of 3565 on 1/4/2020 Image
Read 6 tweets
6 Jan
DJ plays the Titanic theme music at the outgoing President’s “save America” march in DC...
And - blimey the 33 year old who could be about to lose POTUS’s party the senate @ossoff was a producer on some documentaries... including the BBC 3 Stacey Dooley ones...

“US senate has a higher calling than an endless spiral of partisan vengeance” said current Majority Leader McConnell rejecting the objections to counting the electoral college votes...
Read 10 tweets

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