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Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
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17 Jan, 5 tweets, 1 min read
2 weeks into Brexit..

..and one of its chief architects decides to leave Britain.

Douglas Carswell, former Tory & at one time only UKIP MP, has decided to forgo the delight of seeing the glorious Brexit era he helped usher in..

..he’s moved to Mississippi in the US Deep South.
2/
For disappointed “Carswell fans” don’t worry!

..you can still catch up with the latest Carswell news via the Mississippi Centre for Public Policy - a right wing lobby organisation that Douglas now heads.
3/
The Mississippi Center supports the “privatization of medical services around the world”, which seems a little strange as Carswell...

...did of course champion the £350 million a week extra Govt spending on NHS “Brexit bonus”.

Still I’m sure that’s all a misunderstanding!
4/
Did I miss something?
Oh yes - the Mississippi Centre is a hardcore litigant active in the area of “pregnancy choices” to vulnerable women which comes with mandatory wide screen TV to view your unborn baby paid for by evangelical non-profit orgs before your termination!
5/
It’s been a long road for Carswell from gifting Brexit to a happy UK populace..

..to a devotion to ending Mississippi women & girls ability to determine their own reproduction.

But, safe to say, Douglas will no doubt bring his usual gusto to the operation.

So long Douglas!

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More from @nicktolhurst

Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
17 Jan
If you are still declaring „how could leave voters have been so stupid?” – you are not just part of the problem – you don’t understand your own country.

Brexit & the survival of the English gentleman.

- A Thread –
2/
 Imagine for a moment you’re NOT the type of person that watches Newsnight, regularly reads a newspaper or went to Uni. Imagine you’re a busy person with family.

That is, imagine you're in the majority of the population.
& the governing party offer a referendum with 2 choices.
3/
To the average person why would a govt run by a party thats largely ruled the country since a century offer a choice btwn 2 options if one was stupid, self-harming nonsense?

This doesn’t seem a big point point – but its utterly central to Brexit..& one remainers often miss.
Read 12 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
16 Jan
+UPDATE+

The UK Govt plans to raise money from hauliers by taxing them £50 an hour as they park at the govt's 'inland border facilities" while waiting for Brexit customs checks.
2/
Number of media sources - including the Telegraph's Alan Tovey - now confirming the UK Govt's plans to extract money from hauliers as they are forcibly delayed waiting for Brexit customs checks.
3/
There's another issue in that the Kent Access permit - "The Kermit" - was originally set for 24 hours...

...if trade does go back to pre COVID levels then the queue of hauliers will automatically mean drivers going over the 24 hour limit & facing further fines (or "taxes").
Read 6 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
16 Jan
+UPDATE+

For the first time in 300 years...

....border guards INSIDE Gibraltar will include those from non British countries including Spain as part of EU-UK deal on Gibraltar.
2/
Confirmation also that the road linking Gibtaltar & Spain will now be widened to allow people and cars to travel freely.

Arrivals from UK will - either from air or sea - will now face checks from the EU FRONTEX Schengen border system..
3/
Gibraltar will become part of EU's passport-free travel area - the Schengen zone - though there is a different use of language from both sides on being "part of" or "connected to" Schengen.

This is because as Gibraltar can't join officially as its not an independent country.
Read 4 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
14 Jan
+UPDATE+

"Up to 1.3 million people have left the UK since the start of COVID.

This includes 1 in every 12 Londoners - triggering the biggest fall in population in peacetime history.
2/
Reported in FT today:

ft.com/content/def33c…
3/
"many foreign born nationals & high number of job losses in hard hit sectors such as hospitality, which has typically relied on overseas workers...new post-Brexit immigration rules mean EU nationals who left the UK in the past year will, in future, need work visas to return."
Read 5 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
14 Jan
1. A SNP/Labour electoral deal is non starter
2. Greens have at best plausibles chance in 3 seats - even with help
3. So comes down to LibDem/Labour - with Starmer in this is possible. Work on this has been done already & an a'ment in just 30 seats would have huge consequences...
2/
Assume current polling figures correct, Conservatives would be largest party but 20 short of outright majority - but still kingmakers.

A LibDem-Lab electoral agreement in just 30 seats would see Tories fall below 300 seats. Impossible to form a Tory govt even with coalition.
3/
I did an awful lot of grunt & physical work on this over last few years.

Its something Im still working on - but more about that soon.

Whats needs to be noted though:
The big gains come in less than 50 seats.
Dont expect it to be nationwide but the numbers are there.
Read 4 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
14 Jan
Following on from yesterday:

US media reporting Capitol Building CCTV feeds show Rep Louie Gohmert, Rep Jim Jordan, Rep Matt Gaetz, Rep Lauren Boebert, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Paul Gosar & Andy Biggs giving ‘reconnaissance’ tours to Trump supporters groups before insurrection.
2/
From Guardian today:

NJ Rep. Mikierill said in a Facebook Live broadcast she saw Republicans “who had groups coming through the Capitol I saw on 5 January for reconnaissance for the next day.” She said some of her GOP colleagues “abetted” Trump & “incited a violent crowd.”
3/
Mikierill
“I’m going to see they’re held accountable & if necessary, ensure they don’t serve in Congress".

She & other Democrats sent a letter Wednesday asking congress security officials to investigate “suspicious behavior & access given to visitors” the day before attack.
Read 4 tweets

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