Canada - The average age of a death by or with covid-19 is higher than life expectancy.

Deaths among those over 80 account for 70.4% of deaths by/with covid-19, but only 51.1% of all deaths (all causes) in 2019.

#COVID19 #covid19canada Image
If you are under 70, your risk of dying after being infected with SARS-CoV-2 is lower than your annual risk of death.

If you are over 70, your risk of dying after being infected is slightly higher than your annual risk of death. Image
Canada – Case survival rates (= 100% - case fatality rate) by age. Image
The 80+ age cohort accounts for 51% of all-cause deaths in Canada and 70% of deaths from or with Covid-19, but only 4% of the population.

In contrast, children account for 22% of the pop. but only 1% of all-cause deaths in Canada and 0% (0.02%) of deaths from or with Covid-19. Image
Among > 80 in Canada, there were 8,939 deaths of all causes in 2019 and 750 deaths from or with Covid-19 per 100,000 people in 2020-21.

In contrast, among children, there are 36 deaths of all causes in 2019 and 0 (0.04) deaths from or with Covid-19 per 100,000 people in 2020-21. Image
Here we have the total number of deaths in Canada over the past five years. The most recent 12 months of data do not suggest a spike in deaths out of line with historical trends. Image
Zooming out nationally over the past decade, we see that it's perfectly natural for deaths in one year to exceed deaths in the previous year.

***This does not necessarily = excess deaths.***

Look how often the blue growth line is above 0%. Image
So deaths are rising.

Is that due to population growth?

Population aging?

It's a bit of both, but not covid.
Here we have the chart you saw earlier now expressed as a rate per 100,000 people. Generally, a flatter trend in death rates would suggest that population growth may be a key factor driving growth in total deaths. Image
Across the decade, again we see that when we adjust for population growth, the growth trend is weaker but still there - the aging of the population is likely the primary factor.

Deaths are rising in absolute and relative terms, suggesting a combo of population growth and aging. Image
Here is a simple chart of deaths and death rates since 1900, using data collated by Wikipedia (to 2019) and collected by Statistics Canada (2020). Image
Too early to draw conclusions on what this means but here are leading causes of death in Canada over the past 5 years.

Many recent deaths remain unclassified in the "information unavailable" column and will presumably will properly attributed over time. Image
Here is the same, presented as rates per 100,000 population to account for population growth.

A key question to address as this data evolves is the degree to which deaths attributed to covid-19 have substituted for deaths attributed to other causes. Image

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More from @Milhouse_Van_Ho

21 Jan
Mise à jour du Québec.

#covid19Qc #covid19canada #COVID19

Nombre total de cas et de décès liés à Covid-19 au Québec. Image
Les deux paramètres les plus importants à surveiller: les décès et hospitalisations aux soins intensifs. Image
Les deux paramètres les plus importants à surveiller: les décès et hospitalisations aux soins intensifs. Image
Read 11 tweets
20 Jan
"The crisis has taken a "devastating toll" on teenagers and young adults...Many are losing hope for the future because of a disrupted education, a shrinking jobs market and isolation from their friends and loved ones."

telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/01/1…
"The impact on people not in work, education or training was even worse, as 40 per cent said they felt "unable to cope with life" and 48 per cent "can't see an end" to their unemployment."
"A major Oxford University study, published on Tuesday, also shows that stress and depression among parents increased during the last lockdown, with researchers warning about the strains of home-schooling."
Read 4 tweets
19 Jan
Greater Toronto and Ottawa. And Windsor-Essex.

#COVID19toronto #covid19ottawa #COVID19Ontario #COVID19
Greater Toronto.
Greater Toronto - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line).
Read 13 tweets
13 Jan
Greater Toronto.
Greater Toronto - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line).
Read 12 tweets
12 Jan
Ontario covid-19 cases, deaths, and testing.

#COVID19Ontario
Weekly all-cause deaths and deaths with/from Covid-19 in Ontario, including % of deaths attributed to Covid-19.
Note: Covid-19 is often not a wholly distinct and separate cause of death as there are other medical conditions involved in many cases.

There are also cases in which it is not even a cause of death, but the individual had tested positive sometime prior to their death.
Read 18 tweets
11 Jan
It's ok to change your mind about lockdowns.

Countries like Japan show that it's possible to combat a virus without compromising civil rights.

"Japan attracted world notice for neither imposing a lockdown nor obsessively testing asymptomatic people."

japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2021/0…
"COVID-19 accounted for only 0.3% of all deaths. There were seven times as many suicides and 40 times as many flu and pneumonia deaths."
"Japanese shouldn’t take Western criticism too seriously. The mainstream media has been on a mission to cheerlead the lockdown narrative."
Read 10 tweets

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