Kajaria Ceramics concall was today at 5:30 PM

"Growth of about 20-25% coming ahead."

Here are the key highlights of the call πŸ˜€πŸ‘‡
Business Update:
β€’ Business has been reveamped and seen good growth.
β€’ Tier 2 and Tier3 has seen good growth.
β€’ Q3 turned out to be more than what we expected.
β€’ EBIDTA Margins attained a new higher.
Gas Price:
β€’ Remained same than that of past quarter. Avg Price in Northern India is 25-26 price, which was 30-31 last year
β€’ Out of this around 50% of this price is for long term

Segment:
Bathware & Sanitary is already CF +. Ply will take more 2 year for generating cash flow.
Month wise Demand:
β€’ Every month the demand is positive. In macros mgmt is looking for 20-25% of volume growth for tiles division for the next year.
β€’ Metros has bring good demand which is cool off now
Sales Diversification:

β€’ Retail: Institutional Sales has ratio of 80:20.
β€’ Out of the institutional sales 50% is the sales to government where payment is there on time while rest is to the infrastructure projects where realisation is very hard and payment is a concern as well
Export:
β€’ Export was low in the first 2 quarter. But from December export sales is picking up. December quarter company did sales of 7300 crores and this quarter company think of 12500 crores.
β€’ However margins of the export is very low with respect to domestic.
β€’ Demand of export sales is very high because America ban on China and many countries has put export ban on china which made good business for India as well.
β€’ Mgmt expects next year export sales to grow at 20-25%
Margins:
β€’ Price of Paper and Boxes have gone up, which may impact margins in next quarter
β€’ Company has two chance to increase the price or cut the distributor cost.
β€’ Company will make combination of choice expects margin to stay at ~20%.

Conti
β€’ Price increase have been 6-9%, because of value added produce and increase in the margins of the entire industry.
β€’ Price has been increased in Jan month only.
β€’ Entire industry has seen price margins growth which is double digit growth and was single digit last year.

Conti
β€’ Company this year had cut down the advertisement cost to be around 50%, which will be increased this year a bit.
β€’ Subsidiaries have started making profit. Especially the profit of Bathware which was negative since past has now making profit of around 15-20 crores.
Capex:
β€’ This year is 50-60 crores.
β€’ Next year it would be 150-200 crores.
β€’ This will not green field expansion and the next year expansion will be on the existing facility in order to increase the capacity of the exiting plant.
β€’ No existing free capacity available now
Growth Driver:
β€’ Great amount of sales is been denominated from the building infrastructure.
β€’ Bathware segment: Segment have good profit in line and now the customer have started accepting the price and the product and company expects this to remain the same.

Conti
β€’ Management expects to deliver sales to the Lok Sabha constituency which will be next growth driver.

Industry:
β€’ Market have only seen growth in the past 3 months, while before that industry was not growing and we have grown more than the market
Bathware:
β€’ There is increase in more than 30 crores from 190 crores sales this year despite being closed for 3 months.
β€’ Price of the raw material has been increased which will further passed on this customer from this year.
β€’ Even Cera and Jaguar has also increased the price
β€’ Almost 50-60 new plants are coming, out of which 40 are for GBT and only for exports.
β€’ Management is already increased 100 lines for this export.
β€’ Asian Granito has sales in export and company is already looking for domestic and export.
Price Increase:
β€’ It is not easy to increase the price of tiles, as the covid theme as not eliminated and you cannot increase the price else it would be difficult for the sales.
β€’ However company has hardened the price.
Subsidiaries Performance:
- Jax in profit
- Bathware is also profit and is postivite.
- Kosa is slight loss making but will turned positive soon.
- Vennar is loss making which we have already mentioned as the team over there is establishing strategies.
Dividend Policy-
Dividend Policy has been changed to 40% of Net Profit which was 20-25% as mentioned.

Plywood:
Ply wood is highly unorganised sector. With the 18% GST coming, mgmt expect a good amount of market from the unrogansied market and is expecting to deliver good growth
Conclusion:
β€’ There is good amount of growth coming in the future year.
β€’ Mgmt expect next 2 year to grow volumes at 20-25%, subsequent to that 15%.
β€’ There has been improvement in WC cycle.
β€’ Price of raw material have gone up but have little impact.
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