Outside every small gold-smith's workshop, you'll find multiple people sifting through the wet waste in small metal pans.

When I was a small boi, I used to think these were cleaning agents employed by the shopkeeper. I was told that these people were..
..people were in fact there on their own volition. So the smol boi in me concluded that they were 'freelance cleaners' of sorts. Maybe the gold-smith would pay them later out of good will. Apparently they were sifting the gutters in the hopes of..
..hopes of finding small gold filings that may have chipped off while the gold-smith was working on making the ornaments

"Quite interesting", the smol boi in me I thought "free money, no investment other than the metal plate, no risk, just sift the dirt and catch the gold"

But,
..none of these 'freelance cleaners' seemed to look awfully well off, so I enquired, how frequently do they find these small gold flakes and what do they do with it?

I was told that...
..that, they only found the gold flakes infrequently, but since their cost of living was low, they could subsist on it. "Must make sense for them", I thought.."otherwise why would be doing it day in and day out for years"

So I asked one of them..
"..kuch mila" (any luck today?)
"abhi tak nahi" (not yet..)

"Pichle mahine mila hoga?" (maybe, last month?)
"nahi..mere chacha ko pichle saal mila tha" (uncle found last year)

Almost everyone relayed the same story, so..
..so it seems that since hearing the story of this lucky uncle, an entire generation was in the gutters searching for their golden destiny there.

So I asked the gold-smith, don't you mind it, in principle, that people search and keep your gold flakes?

He said..
"I don't mind. When any of them finds a small piece of scrap gold, he sells it back to me for a few bucks. The flakes inevitably fall of while working on the ornaments, I consider it a rounding off error and buy it back at a fractional cost. A procedural cost of doing business"..
And so it goes with stock trading. An FII with 5000cr in pension funds buys an asset from a DII with a similar stature. On the day the trade is executed on the open market, the ticker fluctuates up and down due to the buy-sell transactions. And..
..Intraday traders watch that 1% volatility and get in with their sifting pans in the hope of catching a few scraps. Not realizing that 5000cr worth of securities have changed hands. What they got from entering at 9:30 and exiting at 3:30 were mere scraps. Then they..
..they take home the 500rs earned that day and declare themselves winners, open trading classes, Whatsapp groups Telegram channels, to teach others how to make it big, like they did. And more people jump in the gutter with their own sifting pans..
The folklore of one random incident where someone struck gold & made 5% intraday becomes the default sales pitch for an intraday trader's job description. It becomes sufficient incentive to become a scavenger instead of a participant, when you could just as well be a participant.
If you have a basic education, can read and write, do basic math, then you can read balance sheets and become a stake holder in businesses by investing in them. There's no need to get out there at 9:30 every morning with a small pan in your hands.
Go with a bucket, once a year; Buy the gold, not the scraps. 🙏

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More from @techlunatic

23 Jan
"A stock that I was watching at 500 has zoomed to 1000; I've missed it.."

No you haven't.

Even if you had caught it at 500, you'd be adding subsequent year's installments at 1000, 1500 & so on. You didn't miss the stock, you just missed your first installment.

Take it now 🤷‍♂️
Missing the lowest bottom price does not mean missing the stock. The company isn't going to shut down tomorrow. If anything, take the higher price as a confirmation of your investment thesis. Pay it and dust yourself up.
On the other hand, a stock that you feel proud of catching at the lowest bottom could turn out to be ITC, ONGC, SBI, NBCC, Hudco

Good companies raise their ticket prices faster. There's no need to rue this fact. Embrace it, pay the price, buy a ticket and ride that 🚀 to the top
Read 4 tweets
23 Jan
SALES :

2018 sales : 505 cr
2020 sales : 956 cr

3Y Sales growth : 38% CAGR

PROFIT :

2018 profit : 47 cr
2020 profit : 69 cr

3Y Profit Growth : 21% CAGR
Current year results :

2021 H1 Sales growth : 55%
2021 H1 Profit growth : 131%
Read 11 tweets
22 Jan
Internet/software sector view : LTTS and IndiaMart lead the pack.
Sector sales :

LTTS leads the pack.
Sector profits :
Read 6 tweets
22 Jan
Asset Management companies, a bird's eye view : 🧵

India has lowest AUM as a % of GDP
The AUM of Mutual Fund Industry grew at the rate of 24% CAGR from the year 2014.

AUM has increased to 30 trillion from less than 10 trillion 5 Years ago and slated to grow to 100 trillion by 2030.

In India there are total 44 AMCs, and only 4 are listed companies.
Top 5 AMCs account for appx 60% of the AUM.
Read 10 tweets
22 Jan
Alright bhailog, the aforementioned 'short term bad news/crash' event referred in the quoted tweet below has arrived as anticipated.

As was clearly stated a month ago 'current CMP (480) is bad for lumpsum'.

Snipe for Biocon in the killzone : 360 to 330.
Per my experience, a -10% gap down opening usually leads to subsequent multi-week bearishness in any stock, so don't pounce on it today. If it's falling, let it capitulate. Take keen interest in Biocon ONLY once it touches 360.
For kitten's sake, don't become bearish on Biocon only because of the price movement. Our ultimate goal is still to BUY it.

Now all the bearish news will flood the forums. Learn to recognize the pattern of news, and tune it out. Use this fall as a live learning example. 🙏
Read 8 tweets
22 Jan
About a month ago I had tweeted that Abbott could be had at better prices in coming months, while VGuard, Schaeffler, WABCO are already at their best prices.

Surfing forums today to find people saying

"Abbott le ke trap ho gaya"
"VGuard upar bhag gaya, kis level pe entry kare?"
Aisa mat karo, plis.🙏

Decide WHAT to buy first, then decide what PRICE to catch it based on its individual merits

Don't change your thesis & go bearish on a good stock when it goes down 20-30% (normal volatility range). Either average it, or wait it out. Don't act in a jiffy.
You only truly get *trapped in bad companies, and not due to bad prices in good companies. Good companies always rebound in 3-4 quarters. Use the time to buy more, guilt-free

Trapped* = your capital underperforms not just the Index but even PPF rate of returns over long periods.
Read 4 tweets

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