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Thread by @Dr_D_Robertson: The Home Secretary has suggested that police should get higher priority in vaccinations. There is an article in the @guardian where this is clarified JCVI has set out their recommendation...… threadreaderapp.com/thread/1351848…
Thread by @Dr_D_Robertson: The Home Secretary has suggested that police should get higher priority in vaccinations. There is an article in the @guardian where this is clarified JCVI has set out their recommendation...… threadreaderapp.com/thread/1351848…
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Of course, there's a traditional way of rationalising these decisions. Risk is product of bad event, and likelihood of event happening. Some occupations - people providing necessary services where contact with large numbers is unavoidable, will be at higher risk.
Of course, there's a traditional way of rationalising these decisions. Risk is product of bad event, and likelihood of event happening. Some occupations - people providing necessary services where contact with large numbers is unavoidable, will be at higher risk.
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They include HCWs, teachers, transport workers, teachers…
Their risk will be raised, compared to other people of the same age, sex, and health, because their exposure, their risk of being infected, is higher.
They include HCWs, teachers, transport workers, teachers…
Their risk will be raised, compared to other people of the same age, sex, and health, because their exposure, their risk of being infected, is higher.
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Similarly, people in the "clinically extremely vulnerable" (CEV) category will be at higher exposure risk - by virtue of having to spend time, regularly, in those high risk settings, hospitals and clinic waiting rooms.
Similarly, people in the "clinically extremely vulnerable" (CEV) category will be at higher exposure risk - by virtue of having to spend time, regularly, in those high risk settings, hospitals and clinic waiting rooms.
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We can quantify the likelihood, for people of different ages and risk factors, of various bad outcomes if infected. The chance of dying (the infection fatality rate). Of hospital admission. Of needing some form of supplementary oxygen CPAP, or ventilation.
We can quantify the likelihood, for people of different ages and risk factors, of various bad outcomes if infected. The chance of dying (the infection fatality rate). Of hospital admission. Of needing some form of supplementary oxygen CPAP, or ventilation.
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If you can also quantify the risk of becoming infected, then you can multiply the risks of infection, & of bad outcomes, and use this risk assessment to identify those most at overall risk… - or to rank them, eg to decide how to prioritise vaccination or other interventions.
If you can also quantify the risk of becoming infected, then you can multiply the risks of infection, & of bad outcomes, and use this risk assessment to identify those most at overall risk… - or to rank them, eg to decide how to prioritise vaccination or other interventions.
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