The PM's Covid-O committee meets on Tuesday afternoon to agree enforced hotel quarantining for arrivals in the UK - British and foreign - for 10 days. A huge move that "pretty much closes the borders”, says one Govt source. But I'm told much still to be decided on the details (1)
The biggest unresolved issue among Cabinet ministers is who must quarantine? The options are down to two. 1. Targeted: only travellers who've been in high risk countries - backed by Raab and Shapps - or 2. Blanket: all coming into the UK - favoured by Patel and Hancock (2)
But there are many other questions also vexing ministers tonight. High among them, how long should it last? Ensuring a vaccine exists for every variant first could mean a very, very long time. Some ministers tonight want a defined exit strategy to stop it being never-ending (3)
Then there is whether to exempt anyone, from job creating businessmen to compassionate cases coming for a funeral? Plus, all travellers must pick up the £100 a night tab themselves, but shouldn't the state pick up the bill of a penniless returning NGO worker? (4)
That hypothetical was passed around Whitehall at length today I hear. Then there is the capacity issue, with just 10,000 hotel rooms around Heathrow and 8,000 daily arrivals a day (which will drop). Should arrivals be limited to room numbers are available? (5)
How also do you stop hotels from coming covid incubation centres where the virus quickly spreads among all? And when do you introduce the policy, after a grace period that sparks a stampede to get home, with some new variant cases among them? (6)
Finally, what more will Govt need to do to support the tourism and aviation sectors that will be decimated yet further by it? All in, a catchy idea but a giant headache of a policy to implement with tank traps in front of it everywhere. More on @TimesRadio after 7am (7)

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More from @tnewtondunn

26 Jan
AstraZeneca's CEO Pascal Soriot hits back at EU tonight:
- EU's supply is 3 months behind UK's because they signed contract 3 months later
- AZ isn't holding back supply to profiteer because it sells doses for the same not-for-profit price everywhere
repubblica.it/cronaca/2021/0…
- on AZ breaching its contract with the EU: "Our contract is not a contractual commitment. It's a best effort. The contract is very clear. Our commitment is, I am quoting, 'our best effort'".
- and on anti-EU bias to favour others like the UK?...
Soriot: "We're not doing it on purpose. I'm European. I have Europe at heart. Our chairman is Swedish, is European. Our CFO is European. I mean, many people in the management, you know, are European. So we want to treat Europe as best we can."
Read 4 tweets
20 Jan
"Congratulations Mr President". Joe Biden has been sworn in as the 46th President of the United States. Listen to his inauguration speech live here:
thetimes.co.uk/radio/live
President Biden: "We've learned again that democracy is precious. Democracy is fragile. But at this hour, democracy has prevailed".
Biden: "The forces that divide us are deep and real. But let's start afresh - all of us. Hear one another, listen to one another again. Every disagreement doesn't have to be a force for total war".
Read 6 tweets
20 Jan
Why have 1st dose vaccinations dropped by a third down to 200,000 a day this week? That rate means the PM will miss his Feb 15 target. There is serious concern in Govt over Pfizer's announced delay to supply as it reorganises production. But I'm told that is not the reason (1)
Instead, there has been a big push to finish vaccinating care homes, and they take more time (4 to 6 hours each), hence slowing the overall effort. No10 has been promised that vaccination numbers will go up again today to closer to 300k again (2)
Ministers also think they CAN now mitigate the temporary Pfizer supply lull - which hasn't kicked in yet - with increased supply from AstraZeneca. One senior source says it will be “very very tight”, but they should “just be ok” (3)
Read 4 tweets
18 Jan
Will Easter be the new Xmas, albeit a thin one? This is the PM's new hope, I'm told. He has privately shared an aspiration to see restrictions begin to ease by Good Friday (April 2), to allow families some small contact again. But there is tension with Chris Whitty though (1)
It is weeks away yet, but ministers have begun to put together a plan for the unlock. The CMO is adamant any end to the lockdown must be 1. conditions dependent (deaths down, pressure off the NHS etc), and 2. very careful and in slow degrees with pauses to test them (2)
That means no dates stated, and no promise of Easter offered. This tension emerged briefly during last Friday's press conference when Whitty and Johnson clashed briefly in public over the definition of 'Spring' - is it pre or post Easter (3)
Read 6 tweets
12 Jan
Rules about exercise is today's lockdown row, but the rate by which hospital admissions are now increasing all over the UK feels altogether more worrying. A brief thread... (1)
NHS Providers CEO @chrishopson warned the Health Committee this morning he now fears this wave's peak will no longer subside in Janaury, but now extend into early or mid February because of the increased transmissibility of the new strain (2)
Rates of increase are now slowing in London, the SE and East of England to only(!) 3% more admissions daily now, but they are rocketing in the Midlands, NW and SW. In the NW alone, daily growth rate in hospital admissions now above 7%. ht @davewwest for this graph (3)
Read 6 tweets
10 Jan
Deputy Chief Constable Paul Netherton, National Police Lead for Civil Contingencies, tells G&T: "As we left the previous lockdowns and went into tiers, the message was confusing. The pubic thought 'oh, I can do more. Now everybody knows what the rules are".
@TimesRadio
Do the police have enough powers to enforce lockdown? Paul Netherton: "There is no power to stop people travelling, or walking down the street. But we can stop people to ask them what they're doing".
Are you concerned not enough people are abiding by the lockdown rules at the moment? Paul Netherton: "Yes, I am. We need to get the R rate down".
Read 4 tweets

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